cammac wrote:closg00 wrote:WILL ROY MOORE WIN BECAUSE OF GLORIA ALLRED? CONSERVATIVES SAY LAWYER HANDED VICTORY TO ALABAMA SENATE CANDIDATE
http://www.newsweek.com/will-roy-moore-win-because-gloria-allred-conservatives-say-lawyer-handed-742866
As-soon I saw the Allred's face in Alabama I let out a huge groan, it wasn't going to matter what the victim had to say about Moore. Allred made a big mistake by not putting the full information about the year-book entry out early. The totality of all of the to other evidence and witnesses will now be ignored. In any case, I never believed that Moore was going to lose.
I am one who is going against the popular belief that Moore will win!
#1 He was never that popular in Alabama to start with in that his last election against a Democrat he only won by 3%.
#2 I also acknowledge that he will get a significant amount of the "Born Again Vote" the question is what % of the that vote will turn out.
#3 His remarks about slavery and Doug Jones has appeal within the black community because his convictions of the KKK should invigorate a higher turnout and that community represents 26% of the population with Hispanics and other minorities another 3%.
#4 Jones has invested heavily in a ground game where Jones hasn't and Virginia is a perfect example of the importance of getting people to the polls.
#5 The ruling class in Alabama is PRO Jones solid Republican white suburbs in the major cities like Birmingham have signage 10 to 1 for Jones. They realize that Moore will inhibit growth in a already poor Alabama economy. They will vote with there wallets.
#6 For the 1st. time ex felons will be allowed to vote and those who do will vote Democratic.
#7 The popularity for Jones crosses party lines with a Super Pac run by Evan McMullin who is EX. CIA and ran a independent campaign in Utah has injected $500,000 into the Jones campaign.
#8 Polls are showing 40% of white women support Jones and will that 40% be more motivated to turn out than the other 60%?
The cities and suburbs of Birmingham, Huntsville, Mobile and Montgomery will decide the election.
The big question mark is how popular Trump still is in Alabama since February his national appeal has dropped about 12 to 15 points depending on the polls and that has been verified in special elections in states like Montana, SC, Georgia and Kansas which are a heavily "Red States".
The good news is that even if Moore wins it is a stain on the Republican Party.
I'm still predicting a Jones Victory of 4 to 5% and will eat crow if he doesn't just not Jim Crow.
if i lived in alabama i would vote for moore and the very next day begin to demand he be removed and alabama hold another special election.