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Official Trade Thread Part XLVII

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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1241 » by nate33 » Thu Jul 31, 2025 1:23 pm

Frichuela wrote:So, according to the Athletic we are not allowed to trade with NY to get our 2026 1st fully back, unless we surrender our PHO pick swap. Therefore, it is a 100% fact that we will aim hard for a bottom 4 record as this fully guarantees we are at 8 or better after the lottery.

“ Long story short: If the Wizards reacquire their 2026 conditional first-round pick from the Knicks, the Wizards would upset the original terms of their pick swap with the Suns. Therefore, to strike a deal with the Knicks, league sources said the Wizards first would have to proactively decline their 2026 first-round pick swap with the Suns.”


https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6526077/2025/07/31/wizards-2026-first-round-pick-knicks-suns/?source=user_shared_article


Ha!

I was right about that one!

doclinkin wrote:
nate33 wrote:What's an interesting question is what happens with the Suns swap if we made a deal with NY to increase the protections on the pick or remove the pick obligation altogether?

In theory, the Suns made the swap with us knowing that the swap could only conceivably have mattered if we finished in the bottom 8. So, if they assumed they were a sure bet to finish with the 9th pick or worse, they were in no danger of having to give up the swap. However, if we now make a trade that changes the protections on that pick, does Phoenix have to honor them?


Unless they got it in writing on the deal PHX is SOL. The deal is the deal. They made the deal thinking it wouldn’t convey because they were going to be winning multiple championships. What they thought or hoped makes no difference. The Wiz have a right to swap the pick if they have a pick to swap. Period.


GoneShammGone wrote:
nate33 wrote:
bsilver wrote:Why was it impossible for the Suns to pick below 8, if both teams were below 8?
It was always possible we could get total control of the pick. Is there some detail in the trade that says the pick swap is only valid for a 1-8 protected pick? The only language I see is “2026 first round pick swap” .

It was impossible for Phoenix to be swapped to a position below 8 because if our pick was below 8, we wouldn't own it. Phoenix understood that concept going into the trade and presumably valued the cost-benefits of incorporating the pick swap accordingly. Then, we retroactively altered the downside risk of the swap. Should they be responsible to honor the deal if we changed it retroactively? (Again, this is all under the assumption that make a deal with New York right now to regain full control of the pick. That probably won't happen, so this is just a hypothetical discussion.)


But the protections on the pick could always be changed, no? They must have understood that was a possibility (in this hypothetical scenario.). Unless the pick swap somehow prevents the pick from being used in a subsequent transaction (like a lien on a home...)?

For example, are we allowed to trade next years pick (along with its protections)? I don't see why not... so if we can trade it away, it seems reasonable to think that we could "bring it back" by making a deal to expand the protections, or get the pick outright. One way helps Phx, the other way hurts Phx. Doesn't seem fair that they would only be able to benefit from a transaction involving the pick.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1242 » by payitforward » Thu Jul 31, 2025 4:50 pm

In short...

We can't have a pick swap w/ Phoenix unless we have a pick.
Unless our pick is 1-8, we don't have a pick.

If the pick goes to NY, does the right to swap it w/ Phoenix convey as well? That would be tragic!
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1243 » by nate33 » Thu Jul 31, 2025 6:49 pm

payitforward wrote:In short...

We can't have a pick swap w/ Phoenix unless we have a pick.
Unless our pick is 1-8, we don't have a pick.

It's not just that. It's also that even if we arranged a deal right now with NY to regain full control of our pick, we wouldn't then be able to swap it with Phoenix, because Phoenix made the swap deal under the pretense that they lacked significant downside risk - that the worst they could do is fall to #8.


payitforward wrote:If the pick goes to NY, does the right to swap it w/ Phoenix convey as well?

No. Phoenix only swapped with the the portion of the pick owned by us (spots 1-8). The swap they made with us simply does not apply if the pick is #9 or higher.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1244 » by payitforward » Thu Jul 31, 2025 7:52 pm

Thanks for the clarification, nate!
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1245 » by long suffrin' boulez fan » Tue Aug 5, 2025 10:13 pm

Probably should have dug up the Mystx thread for this, but man, Winger and Co are ruthless. Traded all Star Brittany Sykes for a first when the team is on the cusp of the playoffs
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1246 » by 9 and 20 » Wed Aug 6, 2025 9:13 am

This pick swap thing is weird to me - that Phoenix can assume that they won't pick any worse than 8th because that's how we protected the pick in another, unrelated trade. If they wanted protection for their own pick swap, wouldn't they have to write that into the trade for their pick swap?

Do these extra constraints also apply to the upcoming first round pick we have from Portland for Deni, that also has some protections and odd provisions?
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1247 » by 9 and 20 » Wed Aug 6, 2025 9:26 am

DeAaron Fox to us next year for Corey Kispert. Fox goes into our cap space in a salary dump trade. Fox high salary offset a little bit by us dumping Kispert. Still leaves room for another signing (I think), plus another high draft pick - hopefully this dude Peterson who looks amazing.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1248 » by nate33 » Wed Aug 6, 2025 12:48 pm

9 and 20 wrote:This pick swap thing is weird to me - that Phoenix can assume that they won't pick any worse than 8th because that's how we protected the pick in another, unrelated trade. If they wanted protection for their own pick swap, wouldn't they have to write that into the trade for their pick swap?

They probably did, or it was written in the trade by default. The swap was top 8 protected because, at the time, we only owned the pick for swapping if it was in the top 8. Why should they have to go out of the way to include an extra clause to protect them from a potential future change in our rights to the pick?
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1249 » by nate33 » Wed Aug 6, 2025 12:54 pm

9 and 20 wrote:DeAaron Fox to us next year for Corey Kispert. Fox goes into our cap space in a salary dump trade. Fox high salary offset a little bit by us dumping Kispert. Still leaves room for another signing (I think), plus another high draft pick - hopefully this dude Peterson who looks amazing.

It might be worth consideration, but we will have to see how things shake out this season. Will Bub step up and look like a starting PG? Will Fox look like the All-NBA player of 3 years ago or like the meh player of the last 2 seasons? Will we land a guy in the draft capable of playing PG, like Peterson?
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1250 » by payitforward » Wed Aug 6, 2025 7:54 pm

No thanks on DeAaron Fox -- not nearly as good as advertised. He's had a few good years, a bunch of meh years, and a couple of bad ones.

At his very best he's never been one of the top ten PGs in the league.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1251 » by gambitx777 » Thu Aug 7, 2025 5:34 am

payitforward wrote:No thanks on DeAaron Fox -- not nearly as good as advertised. He's had a few good years, a bunch of meh years, and a couple of bad ones.

At his very best he's never been one of the top ten PGs in the league.
That contract might be worse than the beal one was. I think we need to see how our back court looks this year of we take a jump and it looks like the return of the wall beal era cuz we have a demon a PG and a true stud at 2 then maybe we can start leaning in to winning but it all depends .

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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1252 » by pcbothwel » Thu Aug 7, 2025 3:29 pm

gambitx777 wrote:
payitforward wrote:No thanks on DeAaron Fox -- not nearly as good as advertised. He's had a few good years, a bunch of meh years, and a couple of bad ones.

At his very best he's never been one of the top ten PGs in the league.
That contract might be worse than the beal one was. I think we need to see how our back court looks this year of we take a jump and it looks like the return of the wall beal era cuz we have a demon a PG and a true stud at 2 then maybe we can start leaning in to winning but it all depends .

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You could argue that the NTC makes Beal's worse, but Beal is a better player archetype in that he can play off ball. With lead ball handlers like Fox, the moment they fall below AS/All-NBA level they become a bench player. See Wall, IT, Russ, Kemba, etc.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1253 » by tontoz » Thu Aug 7, 2025 7:55 pm

Not interested in Fox and i think they really f'd up giving him that contract. He isn't that good and is getting in the way of their last two top 5 picks.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1254 » by Dark Faze » Fri Aug 8, 2025 3:44 pm

Fox takes the pressure off of those guys and ideally gets the team into the playoffs as a late seed. Spurs fans are ready to start winning now. The season is long and both those guards will get plenty of opportunities to develop, particularly as big guards that can play the two as well.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1255 » by dckingsfan » Fri Aug 8, 2025 4:43 pm

tontoz wrote:Not interested in Fox and i think they really f'd up giving him that contract. He isn't that good and is getting in the way of their last two top 5 picks.

Dark Faze wrote:Fox takes the pressure off of those guys and ideally gets the team into the playoffs as a late seed. Spurs fans are ready to start winning now. The season is long and both those guards will get plenty of opportunities to develop, particularly as big guards that can play the two as well.

You guys are both correct, IMO.

The contract was too big for his skills.

There will be plenty of time for all three guards. Vassell will get time if there is an injury to one of those three and they have Waters and McLaughlin secondary backups if something goes really wrong.

The key will be Wemby of course. Looks like he will play some PF next to Kornet this year. What an absolute nightmare that will be...

They are also pretty deep at forward with Bryant, Sochan, Champagnie, Vassell and Barnes.

But it is the west...
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1256 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Fri Aug 8, 2025 5:13 pm

dckingsfan wrote:
tontoz wrote:Not interested in Fox and i think they really f'd up giving him that contract. He isn't that good and is getting in the way of their last two top 5 picks.

Dark Faze wrote:Fox takes the pressure off of those guys and ideally gets the team into the playoffs as a late seed. Spurs fans are ready to start winning now. The season is long and both those guards will get plenty of opportunities to develop, particularly as big guards that can play the two as well.

You guys are both correct, IMO.

The contract was too big for his skills.

There will be plenty of time for all three guards. Vassell will get time if there is an injury to one of those three and they have Waters and McLaughlin secondary backups if something goes really wrong.

The key will be Wemby of course. Looks like he will play some PF next to Kornet this year. What an absolute nightmare that will be...

They are also pretty deep at forward with Bryant, Sochan, Champagnie, Vassell and Barnes.

But it is the west...


Kelly Olynyk will always be open for threes. The Spurs will be interesting.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1257 » by dckingsfan » Fri Aug 8, 2025 6:08 pm

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:
tontoz wrote:Not interested in Fox and i think they really f'd up giving him that contract. He isn't that good and is getting in the way of their last two top 5 picks.

Dark Faze wrote:Fox takes the pressure off of those guys and ideally gets the team into the playoffs as a late seed. Spurs fans are ready to start winning now. The season is long and both those guards will get plenty of opportunities to develop, particularly as big guards that can play the two as well.

You guys are both correct, IMO.

The contract was too big for his skills.

There will be plenty of time for all three guards. Vassell will get time if there is an injury to one of those three and they have Waters and McLaughlin secondary backups if something goes really wrong.

The key will be Wemby of course. Looks like he will play some PF next to Kornet this year. What an absolute nightmare that will be...

They are also pretty deep at forward with Bryant, Sochan, Champagnie, Vassell and Barnes.

But it is the west...

Kelly Olynyk will always be open for threes. The Spurs will be interesting.

I am not sure how much PT he will get but... one very interesting side point you bring up is that he will be open and in the SA scheme he will be open for corner 3s.

Fun factoid. He shot .600 from the corner last season (although on low volume). Still :o

They will be able to have their three guard rotation with Wemby and other 3 point shooters around them. The problem is going to be that none of Fox, Castle or Harper shoot the 3 well.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1258 » by nate33 » Fri Aug 8, 2025 6:17 pm

Olynyk is washed. The guy is unplayable defensively.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1259 » by JAR69 » Sun Aug 17, 2025 10:31 pm

Since it is dead season, here is a trade for everyone to hate. In fact, two versions:

To WAS: Kuzma, 2031 FRP swap rights
To MIL: McCollum
(This works in the both the Spotrac and RealGM trade checkers)

or

To WAS: Kuzma, minimum filler (AJ Green or Andre Jackson), 2031 MIL FRP
To MIL: McCollum, AJ Johnson
(This would likely need to be two separate trades, but that's fine)

Wizards acquire a potentially highly valuable post-Giannis FRP or swap. The cost is Kuzma's $20.3 million in 26-27. We also lose CJ, who is likely a better team vet than Kuzma, who seemingly interefered with development of several players when he was here. There are ways to remedy that. Kuzma helps the tank more, and might be traded yet again for something. AJJ is fun and I'm a fan, but he's not likely to develop into a key piece.

MIL acquires a floor spacer and good teammate for Giannis. With the East wide open this year, this would help them have a real shot of getting to the finals. And in the second iteration, they get back a young player they bleated about losing in the last Kuzma trade.

Have at it. There are lots of reasons not to do this. But I'm looking at the long-term future, and getting MIL's 2031 pick (either outright or swapped) moved us further into OKC draft capital acquisition territory.
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Re: Official Trade Thread Part XLVII 

Post#1260 » by penbeast0 » Sun Aug 17, 2025 11:41 pm

JAR69 wrote:Since it is dead season, here is a trade for everyone to hate. In fact, two versions:

To WAS: Kuzma, 2031 FRP swap rights
To MIL: McCollum
(This works in the both the Spotrac and RealGM trade checkers)

or

To WAS: Kuzma, minimum filler (AJ Green or Andre Jackson), 2031 MIL FRP
To MIL: McCollum, AJ Johnson
(This would likely need to be two separate trades, but that's fine)

Wizards acquire a potentially highly valuable post-Giannis FRP or swap. The cost is Kuzma's $20.3 million in 26-27. We also lose CJ, who is likely a better team vet than Kuzma, who seemingly interefered with development of several players when he was here. There are ways to remedy that. Kuzma helps the tank more, and might be traded yet again for something. AJJ is fun and I'm a fan, but he's not likely to develop into a key piece.

MIL acquires a floor spacer and good teammate for Giannis. With the East wide open this year, this would help them have a real shot of getting to the finals. And in the second iteration, they get back a young player they bleated about losing in the last Kuzma trade.

Have at it. There are lots of reasons not to do this. But I'm looking at the long-term future, and getting MIL's 2031 pick (either outright or swapped) moved us further into OKC draft capital acquisition territory.


The pick is valuable and we can always waive Kuz. It will cost us the remainder of his contract but if he's stinting the development of young players, then it would be worth the money cost. On the flip side, we lose the ability to use all that cap space next season.

I don't think an expiring CJ is worth it to Milwaukee though.
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