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Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread

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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1661 » by mhd » Mon Jul 1, 2019 4:02 pm

nate33 wrote:
Rainwater wrote:I don't see Jabari coming back. I have been trying to deny the fact they are rebuilding but it really looks like it after the sign and trade. I believe Beal will be dealt at some point as well, maybe by mid season.

I don't think they have any intention whatsoever of trading Beal. Beal is hanging out at the gym watching the team workout prospects in the offseason. The dude is invested in this team.

I think Beal is fully on board with a 1-year tank and reload strategy.

I don't think the team is all that enamored with Jabari Parker. But I do think there's a chance he comes back simply because we have Bird Rights and can pay him more. We can't sign anyone else for more than $3M or so. If Jabari slips through the cracks in free agency and nobody wants him for $8M a year or more, I could see the Wizards retaining him as an asset.


What about doing a reverse BYOD trade?

In essence, trade Mahinimi+a future 2nd (amongst the many we just acquired) for a lower expiring to give us some breathing room? Candidates would be Plumlee/Solomon Hill from Atlanta.
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Re: 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1662 » by Kanyewest » Mon Jul 1, 2019 4:55 pm

nate33 wrote:In this mock, Detroit ended up offering a 3-year $24M offer to Sato. The guy representing the Wizards inexplicably declined that offer and went on to sign Ish Smith to a 2-year $8M deal. Another alternative PG option for us, Corey Joseph, got 3 years $21M in Phoenix.

As predicted, the center market was pretty cheap because of the high supply and limited demand. Favors went to the Celtics. Horford to Dallas. Cousins to Sacramento. Valanciunas and Zubac stayed put in Memphis and LA respectively. Noel went to LA for the Room Minimum. WCS went somewhere, I can't remember. There just wan't any demand for Bryant when his name was called. Thomas Bryant was ultimately retained for 3 years $14M. Frankly, if that was the market dynamic, I would have locked up Bryant for 4 years. That guy is going to be a major value at that price. I'm convinced he will get better and better.

I haven't finished the third part yet so I don't know where guys like Jabari and Jeff Green went.


This is the 2nd season in a row that the mock offseason predicted a free agency signing. Last year it was Dwight (I believe they gave him a 1 year deal in the mock offseason) and this time it is Ish Smith. I think both times the Wizards overpaid a bit compared to the mock offseason counterparts but at least these podcasts makes some accurate predictions.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1663 » by nate33 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 5:00 pm

mhd wrote:
nate33 wrote:
Rainwater wrote:I don't see Jabari coming back. I have been trying to deny the fact they are rebuilding but it really looks like it after the sign and trade. I believe Beal will be dealt at some point as well, maybe by mid season.

I don't think they have any intention whatsoever of trading Beal. Beal is hanging out at the gym watching the team workout prospects in the offseason. The dude is invested in this team.

I think Beal is fully on board with a 1-year tank and reload strategy.

I don't think the team is all that enamored with Jabari Parker. But I do think there's a chance he comes back simply because we have Bird Rights and can pay him more. We can't sign anyone else for more than $3M or so. If Jabari slips through the cracks in free agency and nobody wants him for $8M a year or more, I could see the Wizards retaining him as an asset.


What about doing a reverse BYOD trade?

In essence, trade Mahinimi+a future 2nd (amongst the many we just acquired) for a lower expiring to give us some breathing room? Candidates would be Plumlee/Solomon Hill from Atlanta.

Based on the direction we've gone since Sheppard has taken over, I don't see us sacrificing future assets for current assets.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1664 » by Kanyewest » Mon Jul 1, 2019 5:03 pm

Shanghai Kid wrote:I understand that Durant is a way better shooter than John, but it is interesting to see the contrast in how people see Durant post achillees and how they see John.

Obviously Durant is starting at a higher level of ability, but relatively speaking most appear to think he's still going to be a top 5-10 player.

Any talk of John Wall seems to suggest that literally his career might be over. John is a full two years younger than KD but I guess it's just the whole "relying on speed" dynamic.

Cheering for John to prove people wrong.


I hope so but I don't even think Wall playing like a top 30 NBA player when he went down with his injury. Durant was arguably the best player in the world when he suffered that injury. People are assuming that there will be a significant drop off with Durant but are optimistically hoping that he will be a top 8-13 player. If Wall drops off then this contract looks really bad. Wall would have to get back to his peak in 2016-17 to make this contract look less foolish. Wall will literally have to play better than he did at any point of his career to justify that contract when the Wizards gave him the super max.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1665 » by 80sballboy » Mon Jul 1, 2019 5:26 pm

Looks like Utah will now waive him so here's another point guard of the backup variety
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https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/netora01.html
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1666 » by nate33 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 5:29 pm

80sballboy wrote:Looks like Utah will now waive him so here's another point guard of the backup variety
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https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/netora01.html

If we end up with a guy like that, I'd really prefer not to have Ish Smith at all.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1667 » by FAH1223 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 5:47 pm

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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1668 » by nate33 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 5:53 pm

FAH1223 wrote:
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The trade talk may be about helping Miami clear space to pull off that Jimmy Butler deal.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1669 » by 80sballboy » Mon Jul 1, 2019 5:53 pm

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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1670 » by nate33 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 5:57 pm

80sballboy wrote:
Read on Twitter

Ouch.

I'd rather have 2 years of Payton at $8M per than 2 years of Ish at $6M per. If Payton continues to play like he did down the stretch with the Pelicans, he'd be movable for value next summer. Ish will be, at best, worth his contract, but he'll never be a positive asset.

I don't want to dwell too much on Ish criticisms though. A 2-year $12M contract, even if it was a mistake, isn't that big of a mistake in the scheme of things. It's no Andrew Nicholson or Ian Mahinmi. If Ish was making the Room Minimum of $4.5M a year, it would seem like a reasonable deal. We are only overpaying him by maybe $1-2M a year. Not a big deal.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1671 » by Kanyewest » Mon Jul 1, 2019 6:19 pm

nate33 wrote:
80sballboy wrote:
Read on Twitter

Ouch.

I'd rather have 2 years of Payton at $8M per than 2 years of Ish at $6M per. If Payton continues to play like he did down the stretch with the Pelicans, he'd be movable for value next summer. Ish will be, at best, worth his contract, but he'll never be a positive asset.

I don't want to dwell too much on Ish criticisms though. A 2-year $12M contract, even if it was a mistake, isn't that big of a mistake in the scheme of things. It's no Andrew Nicholson or Ian Mahinmi.


Ish Smith reminds me of the strategy to lock up Maynor- instead of taking a more patient approach. Although I suppose the Wizards could still land a quality point guard for cheap.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1672 » by payitforward » Mon Jul 1, 2019 6:20 pm

nate33 wrote:
Rainwater wrote:I don't see Jabari coming back. I have been trying to deny the fact they are rebuilding but it really looks like it after the sign and trade. I believe Beal will be dealt at some point as well, maybe by mid season.

I don't think they have any intention whatsoever of trading Beal. Beal is hanging out at the gym watching the team workout prospects in the offseason. The dude is invested in this team.

I think Beal is fully on board with a 1-year tank and reload strategy.

I don't think the team is all that enamored with Jabari Parker. But I do think there's a chance he comes back simply because we have Bird Rights and can pay him more. We can't sign anyone else for more than $3M or so. If Jabari slips through the cracks in free agency and nobody wants him for $8M a year or more, I could see the Wizards retaining him as an asset.

Absolutely! Once we get into reasonable $$ we can start looking at his positives, of which the most important is that he is still only 24. So, he fits the pattern of team decisions so far. His game has the "wild & crazy" thing too -- which fits Doc's vision of what we'll be next year (I agree!).

What's next???
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1673 » by nate33 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 6:36 pm

Interesting:

Read on Twitter


I don't know if Ish was definitely signed using the MLE, or if that determination technically hasn't been made yet. But if he was signed using the MLE, then it's an indication that they still want to hang onto Parker's Bird Rights.

Essentially, by signing Ish the the MLE they would have limited themselves to just $3.2M in flexibility (the remainder of the MLE) instead of renouncing Parker, signing Ish with cap room, and having the $4.5M Room Exception at their disposal.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1674 » by deneem4 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 6:57 pm

2 more solid vet forwards/bigs and we can make the playoffs
Pay your beals....or its lights out!!!
Bron, Bosh, Wade is like Mike, Hakeem, barkley...3 top 5 picks from same draft
mike, hakeem and Barkley on the same team!!!!
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1675 » by doclinkin » Mon Jul 1, 2019 6:59 pm

Kanyewest wrote:
Shanghai Kid wrote:I understand that Durant is a way better shooter than John, but it is interesting to see the contrast in how people see Durant post achillees and how they see John.

Obviously Durant is starting at a higher level of ability, but relatively speaking most appear to think he's still going to be a top 5-10 player.

Any talk of John Wall seems to suggest that literally his career might be over. John is a full two years younger than KD but I guess it's just the whole "relying on speed" dynamic.

Cheering for John to prove people wrong.


I hope so but I don't even think Wall playing like a top 30 NBA player when he went down with his injury. Durant was arguably the best player in the world when he suffered that injury. People are assuming that there will be a significant drop off with Durant but are optimistically hoping that he will be a top 8-13 player. If Wall drops off then this contract looks really bad. Wall would have to get back to his peak in 2016-17 to make this contract look less foolish. Wall will literally have to play better than he did at any point of his career to justify that contract when the Wizards gave him the super max.


Or John would have to play better defense and give us about 80% of his production at the other end, and then the rising tide of other players contracts catch and pass Wall so it doesn't look as bad as we feared when compared to the average player rewards around the league. As is what usually happens when you ink a good player long term.

So the real question is: can John get back to being a good player. I for one don't rule that out. He's motivated, more mature, and has a chip on his shoulder. Plus: when has he ever had a PF who is a threat to score? Or a stretch 5? He's a pass first guy who has been passing to who? Bradley Beal and that's about it. In TBjr and Hachimura he has two players who attack without hesitation and finish at a high efficiency rate. And who have good hands in motion. The John Wall pick and roll action made Gortat look like one of the most efficient players in the league. And Gortat couldn't hop a tictac. Or shoot outside of six feet.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1676 » by nate33 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 7:08 pm

John needs to have a Jason Kidd style second-half of his career. He'll need to focus on his cerebral strengths and a lot less on his physical strengths. He'll need to devote more energy on defense and become a better catch-and-shoot player on offense so he can rest more on that side of the court. He'll need to adapt his gifts at seeing the angles to instead be a guy to make off-ball cuts and generate those angles for the ball handler.

It's certainly possible, but I'm not sure it's probable. As I've said before, I think Wall's identity is that of a ball dominant PG. It's who he is. He's the star that sets everyone up. He's the guy that leads the league in time of possession every year. He doesn't have to be the guy that scores 25, but he absolutely wants to be the guy that gets 11 assists. For Wall to succeed in his second basketball life, his new role will be a rich man's Satoransky - a guy that plays high energy defense, makes hard cuts, keeps the ball moving, hits a catch-and-shoot when the opportunity presents itself. Wall can do all that as well as Sato plus run a fast break much better. But that type of guy is a guy whose positive impact doesn't necessarily show up in the box score and isn't always noticed by the average fan. I'm not sure Wall's ego can accept that.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1677 » by gambitx777 » Mon Jul 1, 2019 7:10 pm

I like ish Smith. Payton gets hurt a hell of a lot. Ish is a solid high character vet who stays on the floor. I like the deal. Now if we use the make we have the rest of the mle and the bi yearly. If we use cap room we get the 4.5 room. So it's 2 3 mill ish contacts or 1 4.5 ? I still really like JV from Europe and the rest of the MLE should be enough to get him. Leaving us the BLE to get another vet.

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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1678 » by Kanyewest » Mon Jul 1, 2019 7:18 pm

doclinkin wrote:
Kanyewest wrote:
Shanghai Kid wrote:I understand that Durant is a way better shooter than John, but it is interesting to see the contrast in how people see Durant post achillees and how they see John.

Obviously Durant is starting at a higher level of ability, but relatively speaking most appear to think he's still going to be a top 5-10 player.

Any talk of John Wall seems to suggest that literally his career might be over. John is a full two years younger than KD but I guess it's just the whole "relying on speed" dynamic.

Cheering for John to prove people wrong.


I hope so but I don't even think Wall playing like a top 30 NBA player when he went down with his injury. Durant was arguably the best player in the world when he suffered that injury. People are assuming that there will be a significant drop off with Durant but are optimistically hoping that he will be a top 8-13 player. If Wall drops off then this contract looks really bad. Wall would have to get back to his peak in 2016-17 to make this contract look less foolish. Wall will literally have to play better than he did at any point of his career to justify that contract when the Wizards gave him the super max.


Or John would have to play better defense and give us about 80% of his production at the other end, and then the rising tide of other players contracts catch and pass Wall so it doesn't look as bad as we feared when compared to the average player rewards around the league. As is what usually happens when you ink a good player long term.

So the real question is: can John get back to being a good player. I for one don't rule that out. He's motivated, more mature, and has a chip on his shoulder. Plus: when has he ever had a PF who is a threat to score? Or a stretch 5? He's a pass first guy who has been passing to who? Bradley Beal and that's about it. In TBjr and Hachimura he has two players who attack without hesitation and finish at a high efficiency rate. And who have good hands in motion. The John Wall pick and roll action made Gortat look like one of the most efficient players in the league. And Gortat couldn't hop a tictac. Or shoot outside of six feet.


I think this is the one I am the most concerned about. I think John Wall gave up on defense in the 2nd half of the 2016-17 season, perhaps due to the toll of playing the entire games that left him fatigue by the time the postseason came around and hasn't looked the same on that end since. I think he has been the weak link defensively in the starting lineup over the last two playoff series (at least until Otto got injured and then the Wizards had to rely on an inexperienced Kelly Oubre in game 6 against Toronto)

He looked like he was dealing with an injury so he has to recover from that as well as his Achilles injury which he wasn't able to do in 2018-19 .

I'm also not sure if Brook can coach Wall up to play defense. Maybe Wittman didn't discourage Wall to take those mid-rangers but he did seem to do better on that end (or maybe it was just Nene making up for his defensive mistakes plus the spacing has changed a lot since then).

Yeah, I suppose if Rui could do better than Nene/Morris scoring 14 ppg on higher efficiency. Bryant as a stretch 5 could be interesting if he gets his 3 point percentages up. I suppose the Wizards had guys like Mike Scott- hopefully Bryant can become a better defender.

I think Wall can get better however I am not sure I can buy into the hype either especially after waiting for improvements over the last few offseasons. I think he can get back to where he was but I am not buying him getting back to becoming a top 15 player yet. Hope he can prove me wrong.
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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1679 » by 80sballboy » Mon Jul 1, 2019 7:24 pm

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Re: Wizards 2019 Offseason Thread 

Post#1680 » by 80sballboy » Mon Jul 1, 2019 7:25 pm

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