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Official Trade Thread -- Part XL

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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1721 » by payitforward » Tue May 11, 2021 3:52 pm

doclinkin wrote:...consistently Bertans has the among the best on/off +/- effect on his team. This year behind only Gafford after sifting garbage time players. Last year behind only Garrison....

There's no resolving this, doc, as there's always one more "fact" to point to.

As I say, the metric you use to judge Davis is completely different from the one you use to judge Bryant. You just confirmed it: the metric you use to show that Davis is better than Bryant also says that he's better than Russell Westbrook. & Bradley Beal. I.e. it's ok to use it to downgrade Bryant, but you wouldn't use it to downgrade Russ or Brad.

Overall, Davis Bertans is having something of an off year. All the same, he has really improved his numbers from his horrible start. He deserves a lot of credit for that.

I think Davis is overpaid at $16m, but my point in this little discussion is not to downgrade him. Not at all. My point is that the metric you use to downgrade Bryant is one that's made up just for him. You don't use it on Davis Bertans. & you don't use it on Brad or Russ.

Thus, when Bryant gets a rebound or hits a three it goes on your list of things that make him "look efficient." When someone else does one of those things, it's good.

But a rebound and a made shot have the same value no matter whose name is attached to them.

If one wants to downgrade a player, there's always a way. For example, I could make the point that Bryant plays against starters, Davis against back-ups -- an argument that's been made here many times to downgrade other players. But, it's irrelevant. Bryant has flaws, so does Davis. & they both have strengths. You can't claim the strengths are irrelevant in the case of one guy not the other.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1722 » by DCZards » Tue May 11, 2021 4:07 pm

Dat2U wrote:Anyone wanna kick the tires on Cam Reddish this offseason? I killed him during the draft process and he's been just as bad as I thought he might be but he does have all the tools to be high end 3&D guy and is still very young. I don't think he'd cost too much to aquire and could be a good reclamation project for Russ & Brad on the cheap.

If I could get Reddish on the cheap I’d be all over it. He was getting some quality playing time early in the season where you could see flashes of his potential…but has been inactive with an Achilles issue since late February.

ATL might consider Cam expendable given that he seems stuck behind guys like Bogdan, Hunter, Danilo, Huerter. But I’m guessing the Hawks would want at least a promising young player who fills a need or a late first round pick for Reddish given that he was the 10th pick in the draft just two years ago and is only 21.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1723 » by Ruzious » Tue May 11, 2021 4:45 pm

JAR69 wrote:I guess we can scratch Bazemore off the 3 and D list.


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Lol, yeah I don't think Bazemore will be invited to the Beal's on Christmas. Beal really should tone that down a few levels - though that was definitely a foolish comment by Bazemore.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1724 » by pcbothwel » Tue May 11, 2021 4:45 pm

DCZards wrote:
Dat2U wrote:Anyone wanna kick the tires on Cam Reddish this offseason? I killed him during the draft process and he's been just as bad as I thought he might be but he does have all the tools to be high end 3&D guy and is still very young. I don't think he'd cost too much to aquire and could be a good reclamation project for Russ & Brad on the cheap.

If I could get Reddish on the cheap I’d be all over it. He was getting some quality playing time early in the season where you could see flashes of his potential…but has been inactive with an Achilles issue since late February.

ATL might consider Cam expendable given that he seems stuck behind guys like Bogdan, Hunter, Danilo, Huerter. But I’m guessing the Hawks would want at least a promising young player who fills a need or a late first round pick for Reddish given that he was the 10th pick in the draft just two years ago and is only 21.


Yuck... Reddish does nothing well. Decent man defender with tools, but poor awareness that makes itself even more apparent in his poor rebounding and the fact that he averages more turnovers than assist.

He has shot ~650 3PA between college and the pros, where he hits about 32% of them. So I dont see the "3" and the "D" appears to be based on reputation and not production.

Paying him 4.6M & 6M for the next two years is negative value.

We basically get the identical production from Hutchinson.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1725 » by 9 and 20 » Wed May 12, 2021 2:39 am

After the Jerome Robinson Experience (which sounds like the name of a band), I don't know about bringing in Reddish as a potential bounceback candidate. I get that they're completely different people and players. Maybe watching Robinson play was traumatic enough that I have PTSD.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1726 » by 9 and 20 » Wed May 12, 2021 3:09 am

After Russ breaks the triple double record may not be the best time to bring this up, but -

What if we sold high on Westbrook this offseason? Not sure Tommy would do it, or be allowed to do it. He'd definitely bring back more than we had to give up for him, I'd think. Would the Knicks trade a bunch of stuff for him, for example? The Clippers?

Westbrook has been amazing, but he is at an age where guys drop off fast.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1727 » by SUPERBALLMAN » Wed May 12, 2021 3:12 am

So with the Wizards now officially all in on the Westbrook - Beal combo for the next couple years, perhaps it's worth considering addressing the SF position via trade instead of draft. A player I've liked is Jerian Grant. Detroit is in last place 20-50 and not going anywhere fast. Grant is contracted the next 2 yrs fitting in perfectly with our Westbrook -Beal window, and is the same age as Beal. Off the top of my head I'm wondering if something like Bertans, Hutchison & our 1st gets it done? A starting 5 of Westbrook, Beal, Grant, Rui, Bryant, with Gafford & Deni off the bench.... ???
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1728 » by Silvie Lysandra » Wed May 12, 2021 3:16 am

i think bertans has more value to the wizards than any team in the nba
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1729 » by WallToWall » Wed May 12, 2021 5:04 am

Well, Kawhi Leonard will be FA in 2021. Are we able to use the bi-annual exception to sign him or any player? I think we are ~ $16M under the tax, but I'm not sure if thats the only condition to use the bi-annual.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1730 » by Dat2U » Wed May 12, 2021 1:00 pm

payitforward wrote:
doclinkin wrote:...consistently Bertans has the among the best on/off +/- effect on his team. This year behind only Gafford after sifting garbage time players. Last year behind only Garrison....

There's no resolving this, doc, as there's always one more "fact" to point to.

As I say, the metric you use to judge Davis is completely different from the one you use to judge Bryant. You just confirmed it: the metric you use to show that Davis is better than Bryant also says that he's better than Russell Westbrook. & Bradley Beal. I.e. it's ok to use it to downgrade Bryant, but you wouldn't use it to downgrade Russ or Brad.

Overall, Davis Bertans is having something of an off year. All the same, he has really improved his numbers from his horrible start. He deserves a lot of credit for that.

I think Davis is overpaid at $16m, but my point in this little discussion is not to downgrade him. Not at all. My point is that the metric you use to downgrade Bryant is one that's made up just for him. You don't use it on Davis Bertans. & you don't use it on Brad or Russ.

Thus, when Bryant gets a rebound or hits a three it goes on your list of things that make him "look efficient." When someone else does one of those things, it's good.

But a rebound and a made shot have the same value no matter whose name is attached to them.

If one wants to downgrade a player, there's always a way. For example, I could make the point that Bryant plays against starters, Davis against back-ups -- an argument that's been made here many times to downgrade other players. But, it's irrelevant. Bryant has flaws, so does Davis. & they both have strengths. You can't claim the strengths are irrelevant in the case of one guy not the other.


You keep comparing Cs to non-Cs which is silly exercise. You compare Cs to other Cs not to Fs who have a totally different role. A C by their size and the nature of their role should be more productive as they generally bigger and closer to the basket. Also because of their role, their impact defense is outsized compared to other positions as they are often the last line of defense.

Bertans is a stretch 4. He does that job well. Even when he's not knocking down shots, defenses still must account for him because of his range. It would be great if he rebounded & defended well but then he'd probably be a max player if he still shot as well as he does and did every thing else.

Bryant is strictly a 5. He's much better rebounder & defender than Davis so sure he looks great in that light or if you compare him to other Fs. But compare him to other starting Cs in the league. Where does his rebounding & defense stand? I view him as a below average defensive C and that was before the injury.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1731 » by pcbothwel » Wed May 12, 2021 1:10 pm

SUPERBALLMAN wrote:So with the Wizards now officially all in on the Westbrook - Beal combo for the next couple years, perhaps it's worth considering addressing the SF position via trade instead of draft. A player I've liked is Jerian Grant. Detroit is in last place 20-50 and not going anywhere fast. Grant is contracted the next 2 yrs fitting in perfectly with our Westbrook -Beal window, and is the same age as Beal. Off the top of my head I'm wondering if something like Bertans, Hutchison & our 1st gets it done? A starting 5 of Westbrook, Beal, Grant, Rui, Bryant, with Gafford & Deni off the bench.... ???


Pass... Grant rebounds like Beal and passes like Rui. His ball handling is mediocre at best and shows no in between game (37% FG% from 3-16 feet). After a scorching start that caught everyone by surprise, he's come back to earth. Over the last 30 games, Grant is averaging: 21 / 4 / 2 on a TS of 53% and 31% from 3.

Quite simply, he is Rui but with less upside and making 20M. A straight up swap of him for Bertans would probably result in a net loss in productivity.
At the very least, our bottom quintile 3-point shooting team would drop even more and make us far less versatile offensively.
Giving up our 1st further erodes our upside, future, and depth.

I would be against it, but if it happened I would look to have Detroit add 37 and 51 as well so we can fill out the roster. Draft Ayayi and Bassey and move forward.

Now, trading Hutch and our 1st for Bey would certainly get my interest...but doubt Detroit would do that.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1732 » by nate33 » Wed May 12, 2021 1:19 pm

The only small forwards out there that interest me and might also be obtainable in a trade are the guys from San Antonio. They've got both Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson and they don't have a young PF to build around for the future. Something involving one of those guys for Deni Avdija could make sense. Avdija strikes me as a guy who would thrive in the San Antonio system.

Obviously, Johnson is more valuable than Avdija so we would have to include incentive. But Vassell straight up for Avdija might make sense for both teams.

I'd sniff around to see if Otto Porter is obtainable for MLE money, but the contract would have to have protection from his injury risk. Ultimately, I suspect some other team would outbid what I'd be willing to pay.

If none of that pans out, we're just going to have to hope that Avdija gets better. Under a new coach, things could look different. Also, there's a good chance we land a SF in the draft.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1733 » by Dark Faze » Wed May 12, 2021 1:39 pm

SUPERBALLMAN wrote:So with the Wizards now officially all in on the Westbrook - Beal combo for the next couple years, perhaps it's worth considering addressing the SF position via trade instead of draft. A player I've liked is Jerian Grant. Detroit is in last place 20-50 and not going anywhere fast. Grant is contracted the next 2 yrs fitting in perfectly with our Westbrook -Beal window, and is the same age as Beal. Off the top of my head I'm wondering if something like Bertans, Hutchison & our 1st gets it done? A starting 5 of Westbrook, Beal, Grant, Rui, Bryant, with Gafford & Deni off the bench.... ???


Can't see why Detroit would say no. For me it's a coin flip in terms of whether we come ahead in terms of value in the deal. It's completely dependent on how you feel about what's available at #14/15. Wagner + Bertans could provide more value on day 1 than Grant potentially. You'd think Westbrook's opinion would carry a lot of weight as well.

nate33 wrote:The only small forwards out there that interest me and might also be obtainable in a trade are the guys from San Antonio. They've got both Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson and they don't have a young PF to build around for the future. Something involving one of those guys for Deni Avdija could make sense. Avdija strikes me as a guy who would thrive in the San Antonio system.


OG Anunoby would be a terrific get. However, I think the Raptors would scoff at Bertans + 14/15 for him. He's a difficult player to trade for.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1734 » by Ruzious » Wed May 12, 2021 1:52 pm

nate33 wrote:The only small forwards out there that interest me and might also be obtainable in a trade are the guys from San Antonio. They've got both Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson and they don't have a young PF to build around for the future. Something involving one of those guys for Deni Avdija could make sense. Avdija strikes me as a guy who would thrive in the San Antonio system.

Obviously, Johnson is more valuable than Avdija so we would have to include incentive. But Vassell straight up for Avdija might make sense for both teams.

I'd sniff around to see if Otto Porter is obtainable for MLE money, but the contract would have to have protection from his injury risk. Ultimately, I suspect some other team would outbid what I'd be willing to pay.

If none of that pans out, we're just going to have to hope that Avdija gets better. Under a new coach, things could look different. Also, there's a good chance we land a SF in the draft.

Nic Batum could be a short-term solution, but he'd probably prefer to stay in LAC. Obviously, we'd rather have a long-term solution. I think we end up using the 3-some of Avdija, Rui, and Bertans as combo forwards - without much offensive distinction between the 3 and 4. A college player I like that nobody talks about is Sam Hauser - a sharpshooter - not a great defender, but he's had great coaching. It's possible we pick Corey Kispert - who's like a much more popular Hauser.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1735 » by payitforward » Wed May 12, 2021 2:13 pm

SUPERBALLMAN wrote:So with the Wizards now officially all in on the Westbrook - Beal combo for the next couple years, perhaps it's worth considering addressing the SF position via trade instead of draft. A player I've liked is Jerian Grant. Detroit is in last place 20-50 and not going anywhere fast. Grant is contracted the next 2 yrs fitting in perfectly with our Westbrook -Beal window, and is the same age as Beal. Off the top of my head I'm wondering if something like Bertans, Hutchison & our 1st gets it done? A starting 5 of Westbrook, Beal, Grant, Rui, Bryant, with Gafford & Deni off the bench.... ???

You don't mean Jerian Grant. You mean Jerami Grant.

I can't see a reason to trade for Grant. He is not very productive, & he's overpaid. & even if he was worth his $$, the $4m more than Davis that he costs would be enough to make it tough to build out the roster effectively.

Above all, I would never give up a R1 pick for someone like him.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1736 » by payitforward » Wed May 12, 2021 2:45 pm

Dat2U wrote:
payitforward wrote:
doclinkin wrote:...consistently Bertans has the among the best on/off +/- effect on his team. This year behind only Gafford after sifting garbage time players. Last year behind only Garrison....

There's no resolving this, doc, as there's always one more "fact" to point to.

As I say, the metric you use to judge Davis is completely different from the one you use to judge Bryant. You just confirmed it: the metric you use to show that Davis is better than Bryant also says that he's better than Russell Westbrook. & Bradley Beal. I.e. it's ok to use it to downgrade Bryant, but you wouldn't use it to downgrade Russ or Brad.

Overall, Davis Bertans is having something of an off year. All the same, he has really improved his numbers from his horrible start. He deserves a lot of credit for that.

I think Davis is overpaid at $16m, but my point in this little discussion is not to downgrade him. Not at all. My point is that the metric you use to downgrade Bryant is one that's made up just for him. You don't use it on Davis Bertans. & you don't use it on Brad or Russ.

Thus, when Bryant gets a rebound or hits a three it goes on your list of things that make him "look efficient." When someone else does one of those things, it's good.

But a rebound and a made shot have the same value no matter whose name is attached to them.

If one wants to downgrade a player, there's always a way. For example, I could make the point that Bryant plays against starters, Davis against back-ups -- an argument that's been made here many times to downgrade other players. But, it's irrelevant. Bryant has flaws, so does Davis. & they both have strengths. You can't claim the strengths are irrelevant in the case of one guy not the other.


You keep comparing Cs to non-Cs which is silly exercise. You compare Cs to other Cs not to Fs who have a totally different role. A C by their size and the nature of their role should be more productive as they generally bigger and closer to the basket. Also because of their role, their impact defense is outsized compared to other positions as they are often the last line of defense.

Bertans is a stretch 4. He does that job well. Even when he's not knocking down shots, defenses still must account for him because of his range. It would be great if he rebounded & defended well but then he'd probably be a max player if he still shot as well as he does and did every thing else.

Bryant is strictly a 5. He's much better rebounder & defender than Davis so sure he looks great in that light or if you compare him to other Fs. But compare him to other starting Cs in the league. Where does his rebounding & defense stand? I view him as a below average defensive C and that was before the injury.

I don't disagree with any of this, Dat. & I didn't compare Bryant to a non-C -- or to anyone, really.

There is nothing even slightly complicated about understanding Thomas Bryant -- except the factor of his injury, of course. He is an outstanding offensive Center & a good not great rebounder. He's not a good defensive Center. None of this is debatable.

You want to trade him for value, sure! Why not? Every player should be available in a trade -- it's all about the deal you can get.

As to understanding the value of a defensive Center, I don't need to have it pointed out to me: let me remind you that I pushed over and over for us to acquire Jarrett Allen -- for precisely that reason.

I'll also mention that I was high on Daniel Gafford in the runup to the '19 draft & would have been delighted to grab him at #33 had we made the draft moves I was hoping for (trade down w/ Boston followed by the same deal as they made with Philly).

That would have netted us Mr. Unnameable, Keldon Johnson & Daniel Gafford instead of Rui Hachimura. Since, each of those 3 guys individually is a better player than Rui Hachimura, I think it's fair to say that would have been a good move. It's also fair to say that I don't know that the trade with Boston would have been possible. All in the past in any case....

As to Bertans -- he is relevant only as an example to point out that you can't employ two totally different kinds of metrics to critique one guy & praise another.

Of course you are right that, even using the same metric, you can't simply line up two columns of numbers to compare the players. You'd have to place your understanding of the two players' numbers in the context of their different positions. You make a solid point about that.

But, such a comparison can certainly can be done -- otherwise it would be essentially impossible to know how to trade guys who play different positions.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1737 » by gambitx777 » Wed May 12, 2021 8:13 pm

I wanted the pg on the team this year any way !
payitforward wrote:
SUPERBALLMAN wrote:So with the Wizards now officially all in on the Westbrook - Beal combo for the next couple years, perhaps it's worth considering addressing the SF position via trade instead of draft. A player I've liked is Jerian Grant. Detroit is in last place 20-50 and not going anywhere fast. Grant is contracted the next 2 yrs fitting in perfectly with our Westbrook -Beal window, and is the same age as Beal. Off the top of my head I'm wondering if something like Bertans, Hutchison & our 1st gets it done? A starting 5 of Westbrook, Beal, Grant, Rui, Bryant, with Gafford & Deni off the bench.... ???

You don't mean Jerian Grant. You mean Jerami Grant.

I can't see a reason to trade for Grant. He is not very productive, & he's overpaid. & even if he was worth his $$, the $4m more than Davis that he costs would be enough to make it tough to build out the roster effectively.

Above all, I would never give up a R1 pick for someone like him.


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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1738 » by 9 and 20 » Thu May 13, 2021 8:25 am

Number one thing we need to do in the offseason is upgrade the coach. Number two, if we're just improving the at the margins, is upgrade the forward position. There should be no point next season where we have to play Westbrook or Beal at small forward.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1739 » by Illuminaire » Thu May 13, 2021 3:56 pm

DCZards wrote:
Dat2U wrote:Anyone wanna kick the tires on Cam Reddish this offseason? I killed him during the draft process and he's been just as bad as I thought he might be but he does have all the tools to be high end 3&D guy and is still very young. I don't think he'd cost too much to aquire and could be a good reclamation project for Russ & Brad on the cheap.

If I could get Reddish on the cheap I’d be all over it. He was getting some quality playing time early in the season where you could see flashes of his potential…but has been inactive with an Achilles issue since late February.

ATL might consider Cam expendable given that he seems stuck behind guys like Bogdan, Hunter, Danilo, Huerter. But I’m guessing the Hawks would want at least a promising young player who fills a need or a late first round pick for Reddish given that he was the 10th pick in the draft just two years ago and is only 21.


Augh, no! Dat, trust your instincts and pre-draft analysis. Or post draft analysis. Cam is exactly what we thought he would be - a guy who looks the part but can't actually play.

Zards, he's stuck behind other players because he's not as good as them. He wasn't very good in college, and he's even worse in the NBA. Some key things to consider:
- He's a "shooter" who can't shoot. He only managed 33% from range in his rookie here. He's down to a sizzling 26% in his sophomore, on nearly 5 attempts a game. This is not a fluke.
- He makes the team offense worse. His TO:A ratio sucks. He doesn't provide spacing. He doesn't draw many fouls.
- He's a young player, but not as young as people think. He's actually a full year or more older than most other freshmen from his draft class. That's not a huge thing by itself, but when you combine it with how ineffective he is as a player...

Aside from "youth" and the elusive promise of potential, there is just nothing about Cam Reddish to indicate he can be a starting player on a dangerous team. If he was a 2-4m/year contract that cost nothing to acquire? Sure. But sending out assets to get him? Don't do it!
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1740 » by Dark Faze » Thu May 13, 2021 4:49 pm

I wonder what Otto Porter's actual value is these days. It may be lower than I suspect. He's already reached "play for rebuilding tank team" status and got shown the door.

But in terms of the *fit* here in Washington, being a low usage efficiency god at SF is exactly what we need. We'd just need 20 minutes a night from him, as we'd presumably draft a SF.

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