Predict the Wizards Record '14-'15 season

[dangermouse]

I havent predicted the conference standings yet, so here goes:

1. Cavaliers
2. Bulls
3. Wizards
4. Toronto

havent decided on the rest yet. i think it will be close between us and da Bulls. I think Rose stays healthy this year though.

[mohammed10]

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[dckingsfan]

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Bleacher Report 51 and 3rd.

[JWizmentality]

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Whoever comes out with the best record is coming from the West. Period! It will not be Chicago or Cleveland

[FreeBalling]

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Bleacher Report 51 and 3rd.

Sounds like a wise selection.

[hands11]

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Whoever comes out with the best record is coming from the West. Period! It will not be Chicago or Cleveland

There could be four 50 win teams in the East this year. And the lower 4 of the top 8 look more competitive.

I don't expect 7x 50 win teams in the West this year. If they have to do battle against each other and that is tougher, and the top 8 in the East are stronger, I expect that to show up in less wins for the West.

All that said, SAS is still a well oiled machine and OKC should be dominate again. Neither CHI or CLE are established so you are probably right about the best record coming out of the West.

[Higga]

50 wins or bust.

[Dat2U]

Not sure why the East is considered stronger...

Miami downgraded significantly.
Indiana lost their only perimeter weapons.
Brooklyn got worse.
New York downgraded.

We've improved our front line depth but lost our best perimeter defender.
Toronto is basically the same.
Detroit added some shooters but still have a poorly constructed roster and Monroe now doesnt want to return.

Boston, Milwaukee, Orlando & Philly are all still in tank mode.

That leaves Chicago, Cleveland, Charlotte (Stephenson helps slightly) & Atlanta (Horford returns). Four teams up, four teams down and 7 teams that shifted some chairs on the deck but are basically the same

Cleveland & Chicago are class of East but not class of league. A step below the elites of West. Charlotte, Atlanta, Washington & Toronto would struggle to make 8th seed in West but all have outside chance to make East Finals and win 50 games but most likely won't, maybe one of those teams reaches the 50 win threshold.

Miami, Brooklyn, Detroit & Indiana all look like their fighting for mediocrity, a .500 record and one of the last two playoff spots.

Outside of Love coming East... there's very little to suggest that the talent has evened between the two conferences.

[dckingsfan]

Note: If you share a win record, tie is determined by ECS

Wins

57 - deneem4
56 - jeffsays
55 - leswizards, TheBabyMaker
54 - Wizardspride, stevemcqueen1
53 - dangermouse, Hidden Eye
52 - CntOutSmrtCrazy, AFM, hands11, MOrgil, barelyawake, JWizmentality
51 - FreeBalling, sfam, diaboliQ_Mo, Higga, bgroban, Bleacher Report
50 - nuposse04, 2Mas, TheKingOfVa360, CobraCommander, DCZards, WallToWall, jivelikenice, Higga
49 - thricethefun, gesa2, BarnabyJones, Jimmy Recard
48 - miller31time, KevinFCheng, jmrosenth, keynote, long suffrin' boulez fan, McFilthy, Illmatic12, Kanyewest, dandridge 10, nate33
47 - DCKingsFan, The Fax, Jay81, Nigel Tufnel, Severn Hoos, The Fax
46 - penbeast0, montestewart, DaRealHibachi, mohammed10
45 - Ruzious, Nivek, J-Ves, Earth2Ted
44 - MJG, verbal8
43 - Dat2U, queridiculo, TGW
42 - FAH1223, Chocolate City Jordanaire
40 - BigA

ECS

1st -
2nd - leswizards, deneem4, stevemcqueen1, bgroban
3rd - miller31time, CntOutSmrtCrazy, 2Mas, FreeBalling, hands11, McFilthy, sfam, BarnabyJones, Illmatic12, JWizmentality, Bleacher Report
4th - gesa2, DCZards, J-Ves, montestewart, The Fax, mohammed10, dandridge 10, nuposse04, nate33
5th - DCKingsFan, verbal8, long suffrin' boulez fan, Earth2Ted
6th - Nivek
7th
8th - BigA

[mohammed10]

Note: If you share a win record, tie is determined by ECS

Wins

57 - deneem4
56 - jeffsays
55 - leswizards, TheBabyMaker
54 - Wizardspride, stevemcqueen1
53 - dangermouse, Hidden Eye
52 - CntOutSmrtCrazy, AFM, hands11, MOrgil, barelyawake, JWizmentality
51 - FreeBalling, sfam, diaboliQ_Mo, Higga, bgroban, Bleacher Report
50 - nuposse04, 2Mas, TheKingOfVa360, CobraCommander, DCZards, WallToWall, jivelikenice, Higga
49 - thricethefun, gesa2, BarnabyJones, Jimmy Recard
48 - miller31time, KevinFCheng, jmrosenth, keynote, long suffrin' boulez fan, McFilthy, Illmatic12, Kanyewest, dandridge 10, nate33
47 - DCKingsFan, The Fax, Jay81, Nigel Tufnel, Severn Hoos, The Fax
46 - penbeast0, montestewart, DaRealHibachi, mohammed10
45 - Ruzious, Nivek, J-Ves, Earth2Ted
44 - MJG, verbal8
43 - Dat2U, queridiculo, TGW
42 - FAH1223, Chocolate City Jordanaire
40 - BigA

ECS

1st -
2nd - leswizards, deneem4, stevemcqueen1, bgroban
3rd - miller31time, CntOutSmrtCrazy, 2Mas, FreeBalling, hands11, McFilthy, sfam, BarnabyJones, Illmatic12, JWizmentality, Bleacher Report
4th - gesa2, DCZards, J-Ves, montestewart, The Fax, mohammed10, dandridge 10, nuposse04, nate33
5th - DCKingsFan, verbal8, long suffrin' boulez fan, Earth2Ted
6th - Nivek
7th
8th - BigA

Fascinating at how far this team has come in a relatively short amount of time. This time last year, I think most of us were doubtful of even reaching the postseason. Now, most if not all are predicting the playoffs.

[dckingsfan]

Fascinating at how far this team has come in a relatively short amount of time. This time last year, I think most of us were doubtful of even reaching the postseason. Now, most if not all are predicting the playoffs.

This year

Code: Select all

Mode        48


Last year

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Mode        44


[nuposse04]

I think we could also potentially get to the ECF this season as well pending our draw.

Say we land a 4-5 match-up vs Miami. I expect to win that in 6 regardless of homecourt. Now, if CLE is the top seed, our postseason is probably over. If Chi has somehow managed to sneak ahead, I still like our match-up positionally over CHi.

[dckingsfan]

I think we could also potentially get to the ECF this season as well pending our draw.

Say we land a 4-5 match-up vs Miami. I expect to win that in 6 regardless of homecourt. Now, if CLE is the top seed, our postseason is probably over. If Chi has somehow managed to sneak ahead, I still like our match-up positionally over CHi.

It is early but... I am equally worried about Chicago and Cleveland. I think Chicago is now very deep and Rose looks healthy.

[Wall34]

We should win 50 games if Wall and Beal improve and Porter plays good minutes off the bench...I just hope our guys are healthy for the most part.

[blazinskillz]

49 wins. Ecf.

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[payitforward]

Except we're not returning the same team—that's a fallacy unless you think Ariza was chopped liver last year.

Ariza was not only the best defender on this team, he was one of the best defenders in the NBA. You don't just lose a player like that and expect the replacement to do as good a job.

It's not the same team, it's a better team. We can't expect anyone to exactly replace Ariza's role on the team, but I think it's likely that in the aggregate our offseason moves + player improvement should result in an increase in the W column.

Replacing Ariza and Booker with Pierce, Blair and Humphries would be more or less a wash -- if the total minutes were the same. But, they aren't. Pierce will probably play @7-800 fewer minutes than Ariza, but Blair and Humphries should easily make up the gap, as Booker played only about 1500 minutes. So, in fact, there might be a little improvement overall from those moves.

But, in fact, we might be more than a little better overall -- keep in mind that we started last season with Vesely and Maynor. We wound up with Gooden and Miller in their spots. I.e. the team we ended the season with was pretty different from the one that began the season; it was a more productive team, and our record over the last 30 games showed that.

Gooden/Miller's play was outstanding as we all saw. The question is only whether they'll play at that level over a full season. That seems unlikely -- last year, they both came in fresh to a league of players who'd been at it for 2/3 of a season. Not this year.

Miller's 400 minutes as a Wizard were the most productive he's had in many years. Still, he's always been very productive, so the up-tick wasn't huge. He's unlikely to be as good as last year, but he's still likely to be quite good!

Gooden is another story. His 400 minutes for us last year was one of the most productive stretches of play in his whole career. Assuming we'd want to play him @18 minutes a game, as we did last year, that's about 1500 minutes. He hasn't played 1500 minutes in a season at that level in a long, long time. Gooden peaked with the Cavaliers about 9 years ago! His best season since then was '09-10 (for the Mavs & Clippers).

But... we have Humphries and Blair, so we may not need Gooden for more than insurance minutes.

So, are we a better team? We're better than the team that started last year, but it's not clear that we're better than the team that played the final 30 games and the playoffs last year. It's not a lock that we're as good as that team, for that matter! Tho we might be.

[Ruzious]

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Whoever comes out with the best record is coming from the West. Period! It will not be Chicago or Cleveland

Even with the Period, I think you're wrong. Cleve and Chicago have the benefit of playing more games in the East. Cleveland will have the best record in the NBA next season. Bet the mortgage, the wife, and the first born son.

[JWizmentality]

For those on the board who have yet to participate, this may help:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2147 ... ree-agency

Whoever comes out with the best record is coming from the West. Period! It will not be Chicago or Cleveland

Even with the Period, I think you're wrong. Cleve and Chicago have the benefit of playing more games in the East. Cleveland will have the best record in the NBA next season. Bet the mortgage, the wife, and the first born son.

Heresy!!

[Severn Hoos]

Note: If you share a win record, tie is determined by ECS

Wins

57 - deneem4
56 - jeffsays
55 - leswizards, TheBabyMaker
54 - Wizardspride, stevemcqueen1
53 - dangermouse, Hidden Eye
52 - CntOutSmrtCrazy, AFM, hands11, MOrgil, barelyawake, JWizmentality
51 - FreeBalling, sfam, diaboliQ_Mo, Higga, bgroban, Bleacher Report
50 - nuposse04, 2Mas, TheKingOfVa360, CobraCommander, DCZards, WallToWall, jivelikenice, Higga
49 - thricethefun, gesa2, BarnabyJones, Jimmy Recard
48 - miller31time, KevinFCheng, jmrosenth, keynote, long suffrin' boulez fan, McFilthy, Illmatic12, Kanyewest, dandridge 10, nate33
47 - DCKingsFan, The Fax, Jay81, Nigel Tufnel, Severn Hoos, The Fax
46 - penbeast0, montestewart, DaRealHibachi, mohammed10
45 - Ruzious, Nivek, J-Ves, Earth2Ted
44 - MJG, verbal8
43 - Dat2U, queridiculo, TGW
42 - FAH1223, Chocolate City Jordanaire
40 - BigA

ECS

1st -
2nd - leswizards, deneem4, stevemcqueen1, bgroban
3rd - miller31time, CntOutSmrtCrazy, 2Mas, FreeBalling, hands11, McFilthy, sfam, BarnabyJones, Illmatic12, JWizmentality, Bleacher Report
4th - gesa2, DCZards, J-Ves, montestewart, The Fax, mohammed10, dandridge 10, nuposse04, nate33
5th - DCKingsFan, verbal8, long suffrin' boulez fan, Earth2Ted
6th - Nivek
7th
8th - BigA

I guess I'll stick with my 3rd place in the East, but mostly because I expect the Raptors to take a small step back. Cleveland & Chicago will be the class of the conference, Wiz/Raps/Heat/Hawks fighting for 3-6.

[dckingsfan]

I guess I'll stick with my 3rd place in the East, but mostly because I expect the Raptors to take a small step back. Cleveland & Chicago will be the class of the conference, Wiz/Raps/Heat/Hawks fighting for 3-6.

I think I would add Charlotte to the list of 3-7. They improved themselves from last year's 43 win team, mostly in terms of depth:

PG: Walker/Neal
SG: Stephenson/Henderson
SF: MKG/Williams
PF: Zeller/Vonleh
C: Jefferson/Biyombo