Ruzious wrote:dckingsfan wrote:Ruzious wrote:Sigh. Then that puts more pressure on the effectiveness of the vaccine. It's gotta be closer to 100% effective, and I'm not sure that's realistic.
So, I am going to argue that even having 50% of folks taking the vaccine would be very helpful. I would argue that many more than we though have already been exposed to the virus and were asymptomatic.
There is a line of thinking that even with a mask, you are exposed to small amounts of the virus, when that happens you have a better chance of having a mild case (kind of like a vaccine).
It would definitely be helpful. I'm just wondering if it would be helpful enough to justify opening everything up and take away the need for masks and social distancing.
I think the right question is: how long would it then take to have enough herd immunity to justify opening everything up.
I think the right answer is: the slower the adoption, the longer we stay locked down either through government action or individual action.
But:
Example (that doesn't answer your question): if you make it a requirement to get vaccinated to go back to school, that would then reduce the risk (substantially) to open schools. And that is one thing that is greatly delaying this reopening.
Does that mean folks would fly and go back to dining out? Probably incrementally until the numbers fell significantly.
What is funny (in a not so funny way) is that if we had all adopted masking, it would have a very similar effect as a vaccine.