ImageImageImageImageImage

The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread

Moderators: LyricalRico, nate33, montestewart

Surprised?

YES
32
89%
NO
4
11%
 
Total votes: 36

User avatar
gambitx777
RealGM
Posts: 10,544
And1: 1,988
Joined: Dec 18, 2012

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#201 » by gambitx777 » Sat Feb 19, 2022 12:54 pm

Here is the thing. At 13 mill a year Kuz is a fine player. He's paid for what he is at the moment. And it's a fair price. Now if he wants 25-30 when his deal comes up then you're in trouble.

Sent from my SM-G991U1 using RealGM mobile app
User avatar
FAH1223
RealGM
Posts: 16,288
And1: 7,382
Joined: Nov 01, 2005
Location: Laurel, MD
       

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#202 » by FAH1223 » Sat Feb 19, 2022 7:56 pm

Damn! I thought Kuzma’s contract in 2023-24 was a regular year but it’s a player option!

He’s definitely testing free agency but unless he makes a jump to like Tobias Harris levels, I don’t know what that bidding war looks like
Image
smoothSeph
Pro Prospect
Posts: 928
And1: 619
Joined: May 15, 2019
     

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#203 » by smoothSeph » Sat Feb 19, 2022 8:12 pm

FAH1223 wrote:Damn! I thought Kuzma’s contract in 2023-24 was a regular year but it’s a player option!

He’s definitely testing free agency but unless he makes a jump to like Tobias Harris levels, I don’t know what that bidding war looks like

Harris is a good comparison because he got paid at 26 I believe. Harris got 36 mil per year and was only putting up 20 and 8.

Kuzma is putting up 16 and 9. I see no way his market is less than 25 mil to be honest. And that might be generous.
User avatar
FAH1223
RealGM
Posts: 16,288
And1: 7,382
Joined: Nov 01, 2005
Location: Laurel, MD
       

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#204 » by FAH1223 » Sat Feb 19, 2022 8:35 pm

smoothSeph wrote:
FAH1223 wrote:Damn! I thought Kuzma’s contract in 2023-24 was a regular year but it’s a player option!

He’s definitely testing free agency but unless he makes a jump to like Tobias Harris levels, I don’t know what that bidding war looks like

Harris is a good comparison because he got paid at 26 I believe. Harris got 36 mil per year and was only putting up 20 and 8.

Kuzma is putting up 16 and 9. I see no way his market is less than 25 mil to be honest. And that might be generous.


It's going to be interesting to see what the cap spike will look like in 2024 and onwards. The new TV deal should be signed then.
Image
payitforward
RealGM
Posts: 24,636
And1: 9,116
Joined: May 02, 2012
Location: On the Atlantic

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#205 » by payitforward » Sun Feb 20, 2022 2:25 am

smoothSeph wrote:
FAH1223 wrote:Damn! I thought Kuzma’s contract in 2023-24 was a regular year but it’s a player option!

He’s definitely testing free agency but unless he makes a jump to like Tobias Harris levels, I don’t know what that bidding war looks like

Harris is a good comparison because he got paid at 26 I believe. Harris got 36 mil per year and was only putting up 20 and 8.

Kuzma is putting up 16 and 9. I see no way his market is less than 25 mil to be honest. And that might be generous.

Harris is not a model for Kuzma, & 2 numbers ("20 and 8") doesn't represent how deeply a FO looks into players! Nor does the two players' ages mean what you seem to assume it does, since Harris was drafted when he was fully two years younger than Kuzma.

In any case, it's likely Kuzma will be traded before this becomes an issue.

edit: I don't understand why to worry about whether it'll be possible to hold on to Kyle Kuzma...?
User avatar
doclinkin
RealGM
Posts: 15,056
And1: 6,794
Joined: Jul 26, 2004
Location: .wizuds.

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#206 » by doclinkin » Sun Feb 20, 2022 3:52 pm

payitforward wrote:In any case, it's likely Kuzma will be traded before this becomes an issue.



Doubt it. Scuttlebutt after the trade deadline was that teams said the Wiz were making every player available except Beal and Kuzma.
NatP4
RealGM
Posts: 14,779
And1: 6,010
Joined: Jul 24, 2016
         

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#207 » by NatP4 » Sun Feb 20, 2022 5:25 pm

Let him test FA and put up empty numbers and he overpaid for some other team
pcbothwel
Head Coach
Posts: 6,213
And1: 2,778
Joined: Jun 12, 2010
     

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#208 » by pcbothwel » Sun Feb 20, 2022 6:01 pm

Kuz as a 13M expiring do-it-all forward is great value for a contender. He can guard multiple positions and eat up possessions/minutes for a top heavy team. But we are not that team, so we should look to move him.

That said, Im not sure we get the best value for him until the next deadline. In the meantime, I do think his rebounding and ability to bully ball smaller wings will be a nice fit next to KP
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,173
And1: 22,590
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#209 » by nate33 » Sun Feb 27, 2022 2:31 pm

Who is the better player?

Image

Spoiler:
Player A is Kyle Kuzma per 36 minutes when on the floor without Beal
Player B is Bradley Beal per 36 minutes when on the floor without Kuzma
User avatar
long suffrin' boulez fan
General Manager
Posts: 7,837
And1: 3,626
Joined: Nov 18, 2005
Location: Just above Ted's double bottom line
       

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#210 » by long suffrin' boulez fan » Sun Feb 27, 2022 3:19 pm

nate33 wrote:Who is the better player?

Image

Spoiler:
Player A is Kyle Kuzma per 36 minutes when on the floor without Beal
Player B is Bradley Beal per 36 minutes when on the floor without Kuzma


Good comparison Nate. And it doesn’t even include defense. Kuz has been underrated on that end. He’s not a stopper by any means, but he can tolerably guard 3-5 and can switch onto any one in a given possession.
In Rizzo we trust
DCZards
RealGM
Posts: 11,137
And1: 4,986
Joined: Jul 16, 2005
Location: The Streets of DC
     

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#211 » by DCZards » Sun Feb 27, 2022 3:42 pm

nate33 wrote:Who is the better player?

Image

Spoiler:
Player A is Kyle Kuzma per 36 minutes when on the floor without Beal
Player B is Bradley Beal per 36 minutes when on the floor without Kuzma


You left out FT%.

Kuz has played much better than I think any of us expected. I said from before the season began that he was the new piece that I was most “intrigued” by.

I’m glad to have both Kuz and BB on my fav team. Maybe the foundation of something to build on…especially if KP can ever get and stay healthy.

Imagine if we had a true PG…someone who could allow BB to focus on playing SG and better D.
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,173
And1: 22,590
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#212 » by nate33 » Sun Feb 27, 2022 3:52 pm

DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:Who is the better player?

Image

Spoiler:
Player A is Kyle Kuzma per 36 minutes when on the floor without Beal
Player B is Bradley Beal per 36 minutes when on the floor without Kuzma


You left out FT%.

Kuz has played much better than I think any of us expected. I said from before the season began that he was the new piece that I was most “intrigued” by.

I’m glad to have both Kuz and BB on my fav team. Maybe the foundation of something to build on…especially if KP can ever get and stay healthy.

Imagine if we had a true PG…someone who could allow BB to focus on playing SG and better D.

FT% (and attempts) are factored in TS%.
User avatar
Chocolate City Jordanaire
RealGM
Posts: 54,605
And1: 10,337
Joined: Aug 05, 2001
       

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#213 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Tue Mar 1, 2022 2:09 am

DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:Who is the better player?

Image

Spoiler:
Player A is Kyle Kuzma per 36 minutes when on the floor without Beal
Player B is Bradley Beal per 36 minutes when on the floor without Kuzma


You left out FT%.

Kuz has played much better than I think any of us expected. I said from before the season began that he was the new piece that I was most “intrigued” by.

I’m glad to have both Kuz and BB on my fav team. Maybe the foundation of something to build on…especially if KP can ever get and stay healthy.

Imagine if we had a true PG…someone who could allow BB to focus on playing SG and better D.
Last season the Hawks drafted a pure point guard and buried him so far behind Trae young I believe his name is Springer.
Tre Johnson is the future of the Wizards.
User avatar
gesa2
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,263
And1: 394
Joined: Jun 21, 2007
Location: Warwick MD
       

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#214 » by gesa2 » Tue Mar 1, 2022 2:19 am

Springer went to the Sixers CCJ. I think you’re thinking of Sharif Cooper. Dat2U loved him if I recall.
Making extreme statements like "only" sounds like there are "no" Jokics in this draft? Jokic is an engine that was drafted in the 2nd round. Always a chance to see diamond dropped by sloppy burgular after a theft.
-WizD
payitforward
RealGM
Posts: 24,636
And1: 9,116
Joined: May 02, 2012
Location: On the Atlantic

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#215 » by payitforward » Tue Mar 1, 2022 3:20 am

nate33 wrote:
DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:Who is the better player?

Image

Spoiler:
Player A is Kyle Kuzma per 36 minutes when on the floor without Beal
Player B is Bradley Beal per 36 minutes when on the floor without Kuzma


You left out FT%.

Kuz has played much better than I think any of us expected. I said from before the season began that he was the new piece that I was most “intrigued” by.

I’m glad to have both Kuz and BB on my fav team. Maybe the foundation of something to build on…especially if KP can ever get and stay healthy.

Imagine if we had a true PG…someone who could allow BB to focus on playing SG and better D.

FT% (and attempts) are factored in TS%.

All the same, this is a little bit unfair -- just in the sense that an average 4 puts up better numbers overall than an average 2.

For example, on the season, Kuzma's TS% is .554 while Brad's is .546 -- but Brad is only @ .7 of a percentage point below an average 2 guard, while Kuzma is @ 1.5 percentage points behind an average 4.

More significant, to me at least, is that Kuzma is having a better season than he did last year -- which had been his best season to date. & he's doing it on more minutes & more usage.

More shots & more FTAs per 40 minutes, yet still a higher TS% than last year.
More defensive rebounds -- 44% more!
Overall, his assists, turnovers, steals, blocks & fouls are slightly ahead of last year.
The only negative is a drop in his offensive rebounds.

It's worth noting that the improvement in his TS% is 100% a function of his getting to the line more than he did last year. His eFG% is actually a bit down from last year.

Overall, Kuz still isn't really even average in his efficiency numbers. All the same, he's improved while carrying more of a load. That's good!
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,173
And1: 22,590
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#216 » by nate33 » Tue Mar 1, 2022 3:49 am

payitforward wrote:All the same, this is a little bit unfair -- just in the sense that an average 4 puts up better numbers overall than an average 2.

For example, on the season, Kuzma's TS% is .554 while Brad's is .546 -- but Brad is only @ .7 of a percentage point below an average 2 guard, while Kuzma is @ 1.5 percentage points behind an average 4.

More significant, to me at least, is that Kuzma is having a better season than he did last year -- which had been his best season to date. & he's doing it on more minutes & more usage.

More shots & more FTAs per 40 minutes, yet still a higher TS% than last year.
More defensive rebounds -- 44% more!
Overall, his assists, turnovers, steals, blocks & fouls are slightly ahead of last year.
The only negative is a drop in his offensive rebounds.

It's worth noting that the improvement in his TS% is 100% a function of his getting to the line more than he did last year. His eFG% is actually a bit down from last year.

Overall, Kuz still isn't really even average in his efficiency numbers. All the same, he's improved while carrying more of a load. That's good!

You are comparing overall numbers.

If you look at Kuzma's production when Beal isn't on the floor alongside him, his scoring and TS% are above league average for a forward.
User avatar
FAH1223
RealGM
Posts: 16,288
And1: 7,382
Joined: Nov 01, 2005
Location: Laurel, MD
       

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#217 » by FAH1223 » Tue Mar 1, 2022 3:51 am

Kuzma’s PPA since December 23rd, 2021 has been 145!

Well above average.

Read on Twitter
Image
Ruzious
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 47,909
And1: 11,582
Joined: Jul 17, 2001
       

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#218 » by Ruzious » Tue Mar 1, 2022 2:49 pm

He's thrived with the much higher usage %'s in January and February https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/k/kuzmaky01/splits/2022 though his turnovers have been problematic.

With 25 games left, he can probably get his averages up to 18 points and 9 boards per game on solid scoring efficiency. It probably makes him a good tradable asset - a piece that could be used to be the centerpiece in a trade for a better asset.
"A common mistake that people make when trying to design something completely foolproof is to underestimate the ingenuity of complete fools." - Douglas Adams
User avatar
Chocolate City Jordanaire
RealGM
Posts: 54,605
And1: 10,337
Joined: Aug 05, 2001
       

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#219 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Tue Mar 1, 2022 4:50 pm

gesa2 wrote:Springer went to the Sixers CCJ. I think you’re thinking of Sharif Cooper. Dat2U loved him if I recall.
Right you are!

Cooper out of Auburn, played only a handful of NCAA games but showed more than enough.

Thanks, gesa2...senior moments are becoming more frequent.
Tre Johnson is the future of the Wizards.
payitforward
RealGM
Posts: 24,636
And1: 9,116
Joined: May 02, 2012
Location: On the Atlantic

Re: The Official Kyle Kuzma Thread 

Post#220 » by payitforward » Fri May 6, 2022 2:21 pm

When the big trade happened, it wasn't a matter of our targeting Kuzma -- the idea was to move Russ for... value. Of any kind. First conversations about Kuzma were about moving him if I recollect rightly.

Then, he started the season playing well -- half way through he was slightly above his previous season productivity level, suggesting that he still had development in him. But, by the time the season ended, Kuzma was somewhat behind his level of play from the previous year. Which suggests that he's at his peak/prime. No surprise: he turns 27 this Summer.

Kuz is not going to help us become a contending team. It's time to trade Kyle Kuzma. Use him as a way to get younger.

Return to Washington Wizards