keynote wrote:dobrojim wrote:hands11 wrote:
Why would his outside shoot change. The biggest difference is that he is shooting like a number 1 and shooting in rhythm. There is no one on this team that would cause that to change.
I'm a little surprised you would ask why his outside shot would change.
It's simple. As a general rule, longer shots are harder and require the
shooter to be more 'on his game' than layups and dunks. If you're a little
off one game, you can still probably make the easier shots, but the harder
ie longer shots are probably NOT going to fall as often. That's why jump shooting
teams are hot and cold. That's why the foot on the 3 pt line jumper is the worst
shot in basketball. That's why we were an inconsistent team since the last
time we had really good post players (Ruland?).
Not to mention the fact that some players get the 'yips' and lose their mojo completely.
That being said, confidence and muscle memory go a long way in separating the consistently dead-eye shooters from the "practice shooters" who can't get it done in game conditions. And, most inconsistent/streaky shooters are guards/swingmen; it's rare to find a tall F/C who ends up being streaky from outside (Spencer Hawes, perhaps?). Maybe they're less likely to be effectively challenged/bothered on their jumper; I dunno. I tried doing a quick query on Basketball Reference, but I couldn't really suss out a conclusion from the data. Still: when I think of streaky shooters, players 6'7" or so and under come to mind.
In any event, Blatche was showing a marked improvement on his jumper at the beginning of the season as well - which indicates that he put in the time to get his form down. You can see the difference in his shooting from now versus that YouTube clip somebody posted of his high school highlights (his release point is more consistent, and a little higher/behind his head than before). And, at this point, he's generated enough positive reinforcement that his confidence is likely at an all-time high. As such, while Blatche might have the occasional game where his jumper is "off," I don't see him completely regressing to an impossibly streaky shooter like a Juan Dixon or Flip Murray.
I can't think off anyone currently who really qualifies. However I think Clifford Robinson and Antoine Walker would have counted as streaky bigs.
Robinson didn't shoot from 3 much the beginning of his career, but in his 6th year he took 385 3s.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/pla ... elog/1995/











