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2025 Draft Thread - Part 4

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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#261 » by TheBlackCzar » Yesterday 11:22 pm

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:
TheBlackCzar wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:I trust Tre Jones as an NBA bucket getter more than Dylan Harper. I just hope Tre can learn to play the rest of the game; Harper's scouting report claims playmaking and defensive skills that Tre hasn't shown.



This isn't a fair comparison... Dylan is better at everything besides shooting... He's a better passer, driver, ball handler, defensive player, has a more NBA ready body, his father is a multitime NBA Champion, so he has many advantages.... Doesn't mean Tre won't be good, but you gotta be realistic about things... It's a reason Harper is so highly regarded.... Won't surprise me if he wins ROY......
If we're going by progeny, why can't Jase Richardson be included in the comparisons.

Jase could end up better than the other two.



Well I doubt that will be the case... Unless he gets injured... Jase has a long way to go to get to where Harper is now, and Harpers younger than Jase.....
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#262 » by TheBlackCzar » Yesterday 11:25 pm

prime1time wrote:
TheBlackCzar wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:I trust Tre Jones as an NBA bucket getter more than Dylan Harper. I just hope Tre can learn to play the rest of the game; Harper's scouting report claims playmaking and defensive skills that Tre hasn't shown.



This isn't a fair comparison... Dylan is better at everything besides shooting... He's a better passer, driver, ball handler, defensive player, has a more NBA ready body, his father is a multitime NBA Champion, so he has many advantages.... Doesn't mean Tre won't be good, but you gotta be realistic about things... It's a reason Harper is so highly regarded.... Won't surprise me if he wins ROY......

Tre has a chance to be the best player in the class.



Maybe, but not likely.... I just see 2-3 people who will be better than him in time, and he could still be great, but I just don't think he'll be the greatest from this draft.... He's got to be better than Flagg, Harper and Bailey and I really don't think he will..... If he does wonderful for us, but I'm trying to be realistic, and a guy who's main skill is shooting, with average handles, average athleticism, average driving ability, it's a lot of hopium going around.... He can improve some of these things, but some things aren't improvable but by small margins of progress.....
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#263 » by doclinkin » Yesterday 11:42 pm

TheBlackCzar wrote:
prime1time wrote:
TheBlackCzar wrote:

This isn't a fair comparison... Dylan is better at everything besides shooting... He's a better passer, driver, ball handler, defensive player, has a more NBA ready body, his father is a multitime NBA Champion, so he has many advantages.... Doesn't mean Tre won't be good, but you gotta be realistic about things... It's a reason Harper is so highly regarded.... Won't surprise me if he wins ROY......

Tre has a chance to be the best player in the class.



Maybe, but not likely.... I just see 2-3 people who will be better than him in time, and he could still be great, but I just don't think he'll be the greatest from this draft.... He's got to be better than Flagg, Harper and Bailey and I really don't think he will..... If he does wonderful for us, but I'm trying to be realistic, and a guy who's main skill is shooting, with average handles, average athleticism, average driving ability, it's a lot of hopium going around.... He can improve some of these things, but some things aren't improvable but by small margins of progress.....



I agree with the assessment that of the players in this draft class Tre may be the player who gets the most out of his talent. Though even in doing so that may be only as good as 80% of the more talented players.

Shorter, slimmer, less athletic. He’s got a lot to make up for with work ethic and shooting alone.

I don’t think we are looking at him to carry the team when we have all our pieces in place. We are hoping to build a championship roster. Even if he gave the output of a Beal or CJ McCollum or hey his model Ray Allen, that’s not enough to drive a team deep into the postseason. Even if his playmaking proves as good as hoped. And his defensive effort improves. And he gets stronger.

That’s still a damn good player though. An efficient jump shooter can plug in next to any 1A scorer. You can build an offense with that weapon.

We just still need our heavy hitter. Next draft ideally.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#264 » by doclinkin » Yesterday 11:44 pm

PaulinVA wrote:
Read on Twitter


Yeah Ace looks disappointed. Envious. Sorry kid. And I like that Tre is super happy to have landed here.

The idea that we are a choice destination for young talent is pretty cool.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#265 » by prime1time » Today 12:29 am

TheBlackCzar wrote:
prime1time wrote:
TheBlackCzar wrote:

This isn't a fair comparison... Dylan is better at everything besides shooting... He's a better passer, driver, ball handler, defensive player, has a more NBA ready body, his father is a multitime NBA Champion, so he has many advantages.... Doesn't mean Tre won't be good, but you gotta be realistic about things... It's a reason Harper is so highly regarded.... Won't surprise me if he wins ROY......

Tre has a chance to be the best player in the class.



Maybe, but not likely.... I just see 2-3 people who will be better than him in time, and he could still be great, but I just don't think he'll be the greatest from this draft.... He's got to be better than Flagg, Harper and Bailey and I really don't think he will..... If he does wonderful for us, but I'm trying to be realistic, and a guy who's main skill is shooting, with average handles, average athleticism, average driving ability, it's a lot of hopium going around.... He can improve some of these things, but some things aren't improvable but by small margins of progress.....

It's fascinating how narratives get constructed. Johnson has a higher standing vert than both Edgecombe, Harper, Bailey and Flag. Edgecombe max vert beat Johnson by 1 inch. He also had the fasted lane agility measurement than all of those guys. As for the average driving ability and average handles, this is also a myth.

The best that can be said is that he struggled on 2 point fgs. But even this should be put in context. Most good teams will create several easy looks a game. These inflate the 2-point % of players. Not only did Tre rarely get this bump he actually experienced 2-point fg% deflation. He was the "bailout guy" for Texas. So late in the shot clock they gave Tre the ball and prayed that he make something happen. If you think he has average handles you haven't watched him play. Now what can be said is that he's not an elite scorer on offense. But no one is in college. Only a handful of players in the NBA are succeeding inside the 2-point line without adequate spacing and they are all HOFs.

Read on Twitter

Shooting is the most important skill in the NBA. Off of screens Johnson shot an insane 54.8% from 3. You're trying to make it sound like Johnson can't put the ball on the floor and he can't attack. This isn't true. Tre has one dribble pull-ups, two dribble pull-ups, a floater, a fadeway jumper, can finish with both hands and can attack the hoop with both hands. He has the most developed offensive game I've seen from a freshman in a very long time. A good comparison is

The Kentucky game shows that.
;ab_channel=FrankieVision
He put up 34/9/3 while going 1/8 from 3 and going 9/10 from the free throw line. If he made 3's at his normal rate he would have put up 40 easily.

We should put Tre Johnson's season in perspective. He played in a dysfunctional offensive system with bad pg play. Everything he created, he created by himself. And he was the teams leading scorer by far. Every time he stepped on the floor he was the priority of the defense. Every defense he saw was game planned to stop him. And unlike Harper and Bailey he didn't have another incredible player to take the attention of the defense. Deep in the shot clock Texas would just give the ball to Johnson and hope.

I love the "all he does is better is shooting." The moment Tre Johnson steps onto the floor he'll be one of the best shooters in the NBA. His 39.7% from 3 includes crazy 3's like this one at 20 seconds where he uses the screen takes one dribble and shoots an off the dribble 3. How many players in the NBA are knocking down 3's like this?

And this isn't unsual.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#266 » by tontoz » Today 12:30 am

It is very unlikely that Tre will be as good as Harper or Flagg. However he has the type of game that would fit well a big time scorer because he can be effective with or without the ball. There are a lot of star players that aren't good off the ball.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#267 » by nate33 » Today 12:38 am

tontoz wrote:It is very unlikely that Tre will be as good as Harper or Flagg. However he has the type of game that would fit well a big time scorer because he can be effective with or without the ball. There are a lot of star players that aren't good off the ball.

Yeah, a Devin Booker upside is not out of the question. Devin Booker isn't good enough to be the best player on a championship team, but he could definitely be the second best guy on a championship team and the best guy on a .500 team.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#268 » by TheBlackCzar » Today 12:39 am

prime1time wrote:
TheBlackCzar wrote:
prime1time wrote:Tre has a chance to be the best player in the class.



Maybe, but not likely.... I just see 2-3 people who will be better than him in time, and he could still be great, but I just don't think he'll be the greatest from this draft.... He's got to be better than Flagg, Harper and Bailey and I really don't think he will..... If he does wonderful for us, but I'm trying to be realistic, and a guy who's main skill is shooting, with average handles, average athleticism, average driving ability, it's a lot of hopium going around.... He can improve some of these things, but some things aren't improvable but by small margins of progress.....

It's fascinating how narratives get constructed. Johnson has a higher standing vert than both Edgecombe, Harper, Bailey and Flag. Edgecombe max vert beat Johnson by 1 inch. He also had the fasted lane agility measurement than all of those guys. As for the average driving ability and average handles, this is also a myth.

The best that can be said is that he struggled on 2 point fgs. But even this should be put in context. Most good teams will create several easy looks a game. These inflate the 2-point % of players. Not only did Tre rarely get this bump he actually experienced 2-point fg% deflation. He was the "bailout guy" for Texas. So late in the shot clock they gave Tre the ball and prayed that he make something happen. If you think he has average handles you haven't watched him play. Now what can be said is that he's not an elite scorer on offense. But no one is in college. Only a handful of players in the NBA are succeeding inside the 2-point line without adequate spacing and they are all HOFs.

Read on Twitter

Shooting is the most important skill in the NBA. Off of screens Johnson shot an insane 54.8% from 3. You're trying to make it sound like Johnson can't put the ball on the floor and he can't attack. This isn't true. Tre has one dribble pull-ups, two dribble pull-ups, a floater, a fadeway jumper, can finish with both hands and can attack the hoop with both hands. He has the most developed offensive game I've seen from a freshman in a very long time. A good comparison is

The Kentucky game shows that.
;ab_channel=FrankieVision
He put up 34/9/3 while going 1/8 from 3 and going 9/10 from the free throw line. If he made 3's at his normal rate he would have put up 40 easily.

We should put Tre Johnson's season in perspective. He played in a dysfunctional offensive system with bad pg play. Everything he created, he created by himself. And he was the teams leading scorer by far. Every time he stepped on the floor he was the priority of the defense. Every defense he saw was game planned to stop him. And unlike Harper and Bailey he didn't have another incredible player to take the attention of the defense. Deep in the shot clock Texas would just give the ball to Johnson and hope.

I love the "all he does is better is shooting." The moment Tre Johnson steps onto the floor he'll be one of the best shooters in the NBA. His 39.7% from 3 includes crazy 3's like this one at 20 seconds where he uses the screen takes one dribble and shoots an off the dribble 3. How many players in the NBA are knocking down 3's like this?

And this isn't unsual.



You still missed my point.... RIF....

I never said Tre can't be great, but because you wanted to write a book instead of reading what I said, it went over your head......

Shooting isn't the most important skill considering only Curry is considered a great shooter from most all time great players..... back up your comments with facts not fantasies....

None of this precludes Tre from being an exceptional player but being an elite athlete is almost the most important prerequisite to being the best in the league...... With very few exceptions now or in the past.....
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#269 » by tontoz » Today 12:45 am

Jokic and Lula aren't elite athletes.

Typically the elite players excel at getting to the rim and finishing. This forces doubles and gets the defense into rotation.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#270 » by payitforward » Today 12:48 am

dub...
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#271 » by payitforward » Today 12:55 am

Great that everyone is so enthusiastic about Tre. It seems obvious that he already has at least one important & translatable skill. It'll be fun watching him develop on our roster.

Lets give him and his draft-mates a chance to get on the floor before drawing conclusions about any of them.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#272 » by dobrojim » Today 1:13 am

TheBlackCzar wrote:
prime1time wrote:
TheBlackCzar wrote:

This isn't a fair comparison... Dylan is better at everything besides shooting... He's a better passer, driver, ball handler, defensive player, has a more NBA ready body, his father is a multitime NBA Champion, so he has many advantages.... Doesn't mean Tre won't be good, but you gotta be realistic about things... It's a reason Harper is so highly regarded.... Won't surprise me if he wins ROY......

Tre has a chance to be the best player in the class.



Maybe, but not likely.... I just see 2-3 people who will be better than him in time, and he could still be great, but I just don't think he'll be the greatest from this draft.... He's got to be better than Flagg, Harper and Bailey and I really don't think he will..... If he does wonderful for us, but I'm trying to be realistic, and a guy who's main skill is shooting, with average handles, average athleticism, average driving ability, it's a lot of hopium going around.... He can improve some of these things, but some things aren't improvable but by small margins of progress.....


Waiting to see what PiF would say about that. We know in many years, the #1#1 player does NOT end up being the best player.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#273 » by dobrojim » Today 1:14 am

doclinkin wrote:
PaulinVA wrote:
Read on Twitter


Yeah Ace looks disappointed. Envious. Sorry kid. And I like that Tre is super happy to have landed here.

The idea that we are a choice destination for young talent is pretty cool.



It's a novel feeling for Wiz fans.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#274 » by DCZards » Today 1:51 am

nate33 wrote:
tontoz wrote:It is very unlikely that Tre will be as good as Harper or Flagg. However he has the type of game that would fit well a big time scorer because he can be effective with or without the ball. There are a lot of star players that aren't good off the ball.

Yeah, a Devin Booker upside is not out of the question. Devin Booker isn't good enough to be the best player on a championship team, but he could definitely be the second best guy on a championship team and the best guy on a .500 team.

Devin Booker did make the NBA finals in 2021 with a team where the only other “star” player was a 36 yr old Chris Paul.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#275 » by prime1time » Today 1:54 am

prime1time wrote:
TheBlackCzar wrote:
prime1time wrote:Tre has a chance to be the best player in the class.



Maybe, but not likely.... I just see 2-3 people who will be better than him in time, and he could still be great, but I just don't think he'll be the greatest from this draft.... He's got to be better than Flagg, Harper and Bailey and I really don't think he will..... If he does wonderful for us, but I'm trying to be realistic, and a guy who's main skill is shooting, with average handles, average athleticism, average driving ability, it's a lot of hopium going around.... He can improve some of these things, but some things aren't improvable but by small margins of progress.....

It's fascinating how narratives get constructed. Johnson has a higher standing vert than both Edgecombe, Harper, Bailey and Flag. Edgecombe max vert beat Johnson by 1 inch. He also had the fasted lane agility measurement than all of those guys. As for the average driving ability and average handles, this is also a myth.

The best that can be said is that he struggled on 2 point fgs. But even this should be put in context. Most good teams will create several easy looks a game. These inflate the 2-point % of players. Not only did Tre rarely get this bump he actually experienced 2-point fg% deflation. He was the "bailout guy" for Texas. So late in the shot clock they gave Tre the ball and prayed that he make something happen. If you think he has average handles you haven't watched him play. Now what can be said is that he's not an elite scorer on offense. But no one is in college. Only a handful of players in the NBA are succeeding inside the 2-point line without adequate spacing and they are all HOFs.

Read on Twitter

Shooting is the most important skill in the NBA. Off of screens Johnson shot an insane 54.8% from 3. You're trying to make it sound like Johnson can't put the ball on the floor and he can't attack. This isn't true. Tre has one dribble pull-ups, two dribble pull-ups, a floater, a fadeway jumper, can finish with both hands and can attack the hoop with both hands. He has the most developed offensive game I've seen from a freshman in a very long time. A good comparison is

The Kentucky game shows that.
;ab_channel=FrankieVision
He put up 34/9/3 while going 1/8 from 3 and going 9/10 from the free throw line. If he made 3's at his normal rate he would have put up 40 easily.

We should put Tre Johnson's season in perspective. He played in a dysfunctional offensive system with bad pg play. Everything he created, he created by himself. And he was the teams leading scorer by far. Every time he stepped on the floor he was the priority of the defense. Every defense he saw was game planned to stop him. And unlike Harper and Bailey he didn't have another incredible player to take the attention of the defense. Deep in the shot clock Texas would just give the ball to Johnson and hope.

I love the "all he does is better is shooting." The moment Tre Johnson steps onto the floor he'll be one of the best shooters in the NBA. His 39.7% from 3 includes crazy 3's like this one at 20 seconds where he uses the screen takes one dribble and shoots an off the dribble 3. How many players in the NBA are knocking down 3's like this?

And this isn't unsual.

Much more accurate to say that Tre Johnson is one of the best shooters we've seen in the draft since Steph Curry and he's also a highly sophisticated scorer of the basketball.
;ab_channel=TylerRelph%27sHoopDynamic
This was 3 years ago.
;ab_channel=Swish
2:20, between the legs, hesi, blows by the defender finishes over the help. Is this average?
;ab_channel=FrankieVision
1:02, this looks like Kobe. The three at 1:20 or the three at 1:47.

Teams are going to have to guard the Tre Johnson/Alex Sarr PnR. We can talk all we want about average handles and average athleticism and average driving ability. They are going to have guard that screen with Sarr and Johnson and the Wizards are going to look a lot like Steph and Draymond when they run it.

The real irony is that in the long run is that his year in a dysfunctional Texas offense will be good for him because it forced him to start thinking like a true #1 option. When the defenses is focused on you, helping off of non-shooters, the offense lacks adequate spacing and you have to create everything from scratch. Johnson will find playing in the NBA much easier. And here's the reality, off the ball teams will have to play him like Steph. Otherwise he will bury you from 3.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#276 » by DCZards » Today 1:55 am

tontoz wrote:Jokic and Lula aren't elite athletes.

Typically the elite players excel at getting to the rim and finishing. This forces doubles and gets the defense into rotation.

…nor are SGA or Haliburton “elite” athletes, imo.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#277 » by nate33 » Today 4:13 am

DCZards wrote:
nate33 wrote:
tontoz wrote:It is very unlikely that Tre will be as good as Harper or Flagg. However he has the type of game that would fit well a big time scorer because he can be effective with or without the ball. There are a lot of star players that aren't good off the ball.

Yeah, a Devin Booker upside is not out of the question. Devin Booker isn't good enough to be the best player on a championship team, but he could definitely be the second best guy on a championship team and the best guy on a .500 team.

Devin Booker did make the NBA finals in 2021 with a team where the only other “star” player was a 36 yr old Chris Paul.

Chris Paul was All-NBA 2nd team that year, and 5th in MVP voting. He was the best player, with Booker the #2.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 4 

Post#278 » by Kanyewest » Today 5:05 am

doclinkin wrote:
TheBlackCzar wrote:
prime1time wrote:Tre has a chance to be the best player in the class.



Maybe, but not likely.... I just see 2-3 people who will be better than him in time, and he could still be great, but I just don't think he'll be the greatest from this draft.... He's got to be better than Flagg, Harper and Bailey and I really don't think he will..... If he does wonderful for us, but I'm trying to be realistic, and a guy who's main skill is shooting, with average handles, average athleticism, average driving ability, it's a lot of hopium going around.... He can improve some of these things, but some things aren't improvable but by small margins of progress.....



I agree with the assessment that of the players in this draft class Tre may be the player who gets the most out of his talent. Though even in doing so that may be only as good as 80% of the more talented players.

Shorter, slimmer, less athletic. He’s got a lot to make up for with work ethic and shooting alone.

I don’t think we are looking at him to carry the team when we have all our pieces in place. We are hoping to build a championship roster. Even if he gave the output of a Beal or CJ McCollum or hey his model Ray Allen, that’s not enough to drive a team deep into the postseason. Even if his playmaking proves as good as hoped. And his defensive effort improves. And he gets stronger.

That’s still a damn good player though. An efficient jump shooter can plug in next to any 1A scorer. You can build an offense with that weapon.

We just still need our heavy hitter. Next draft ideally.


I could see a prime Ray Allen in today's NBA leading a championship caliber team in the modern NBA with the emphasis on 3 point shooting(ie more 3s). Ie swap said player with Tatum or SGA they may not be better but would have a chance. The key would be developing the roster behind it, the last two champions have had depth as their strengths.

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