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Political Roundtable Part XIII

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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#321 » by tontoz » Sun Feb 26, 2017 1:35 pm

sfam wrote:
tontoz wrote:
sfam wrote:No, it really isn't. It provides a historical backing. To create a policy as restrictive as this was to "keep us safe" when you haven't looked at any evidence or events in the past year is worse than delusional, its dangerous.

Trump, with that flawed EO sent a clear message across the world that the US is at war with Muslims - that is the impact. It did not make us safer.

And just as an aside, DHS is probably the wrong agency to call on for intel assessments on terrorist activity. If he isn't engaging the National Counter terrorism Center for their assessment and analysis of options, he's doing something wrong.


LMAO there is not statute of limitations on intelligence evidence. Evidence gathered over a year ago is still valid.

The election was in November. He had plenty of time to look at the evidence. That wasn't his problem.

His problem was not consulting with people who probably would have told him that leaving travelers with valid visas stranded at the airport probably wasn't a good idea.


So if I get your reasoning, it was critical for Trump to immediately put a ban on these countries for our security, and this was based on "evidence" from a year ago. You're OK with that approach to protecting the nation?

Believe it or not, there was actually important events that happened in the past year from a counter-terrorism perspective. Its as if its an international crisis - its as if events are happening at a rapid enough pace that its possibly useful to take a look at what transpired over the past year before deciding upon the immediate and critical course to protect the American people.

And no, his team most certainly DID NOT have any time to take a look at the intelligence. They weren't cleared, nor did they ask a question that would prompt a response from the intelligence community. There wasn't communication at all, so what exactly woudl they be looking at? Are you suggesting Bannon and Miller could randomly peruse intelligence assessments to come up with the right policy???

This is fantasy land stuff. Honestly. I get defending your guy, but there becomes a point of diminishing returns. When you are actively arguing that classified intelligence from the past year isn't relevant in creating a strategy to protect the nation from terrorism, we've probably reached the end.



I never said i was ok with Trumps actions. In fact i said specifically that it was poorly handled and unprofessional. RIF.

Trump campaigned on immigration. He met with Obama right after the election. It isn't much of a reach to think that Muslim immigration came up in their lengthy conversations. It was Obama's policy and Trump just piggybacked off it. He knows he can add or subtract countries over time based on new intelligence.

He didn't "have to" give the EO right after he came into office. However the timing of the order wasnt the real problem. It was the execution of the order that was the problem. He and his team obviously didn't think things through. If they had then they would have foreseen the possibility of legal challenges. Their execution was sloppy and impulsive.

It is just a matter of time before they rewrite the order. Then you can whine about it for years. Have fun.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#322 » by dckingsfan » Sun Feb 26, 2017 1:52 pm

closg00 wrote:What use to separate the U.S. from Dictatorships is slowly disappearing. Fact, if Trump were a Democrat the Russian investigation would be front and center with televised hearings in the works. The Nixon era Republicans had more integrity.

Funny, it was the Rs that were saying the same about Obama and his administration's rule making outside of congress. The Nixon era Ds had more integrity as well.

Just saying, not that it is easy to hear.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#323 » by dckingsfan » Sun Feb 26, 2017 1:56 pm

tontoz wrote:It is just a matter of time before they rewrite the order. Then you can whine about it for years. Have fun.

But what does he really accomplish with the order? Not much. He still doesn't have a coherent immigration strategy other than churning the status quo.

In the meantime - it is going to affect growth over time. And that is going to eventually hand things back to the Ds who will be able to (rightfully) assert that he can't govern.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#324 » by dckingsfan » Sun Feb 26, 2017 1:57 pm

It is going to be interesting to see how people view this. If you are an illegal immigrant, it is probably pretty chilling:
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/25/us/ice-immigrant-deportations-trump.html?_r=0
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#325 » by AFM » Sun Feb 26, 2017 2:15 pm

I'm an immoral immigrant. What happens to me?
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#326 » by tontoz » Sun Feb 26, 2017 2:21 pm

dckingsfan wrote:
tontoz wrote:It is just a matter of time before they rewrite the order. Then you can whine about it for years. Have fun.

But what does he really accomplish with the order? Not much. He still doesn't have a coherent immigration strategy other than churning the status quo.

In the meantime - it is going to affect growth over time. And that is going to eventually hand things back to the Ds who will be able to (rightfully) assert that he can't govern.



The original ban was 90 days, so in the end the effect will probably be marginal. If i understood the original order correctly it was put in place because they didn't have systems in place to do thorough background checks in those countries.

In general i don't expect coherence from Trump. I expect act first think later.

I doubt he is very worried about the Ds. They have to get their own act together before they will become a legit threat. Just running around whining about Trump isn't going to get it done.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#327 » by dckingsfan » Sun Feb 26, 2017 2:40 pm

AFM wrote:I'm an immoral immigrant. What happens to me?

Hide and stay!

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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#328 » by dckingsfan » Sun Feb 26, 2017 2:46 pm

tontoz wrote:In general i don't expect coherence from Trump. I expect act first think later.

I doubt he is very worried about the Ds. They have to get their own act together before they will become a legit threat. Just running around whining about Trump isn't going to get it done.

Yep, guessing (my guess and only an opinion) that will eventually burn the Rs in the house at mid-terms... it will be fascinating to watch.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#329 » by AFM » Sun Feb 26, 2017 3:20 pm

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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#330 » by Wizardspride » Sun Feb 26, 2017 3:25 pm

Read on Twitter

President Donald Trump referred to African countries, Haiti and El Salvador as "shithole" nations during a meeting Thursday and asked why the U.S. can't have more immigrants from Norway.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#331 » by sfam » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:27 pm

tontoz wrote:I never said i was ok with Trumps actions. In fact i said specifically that it was poorly handled and unprofessional. RIF.

Trump campaigned on immigration. He met with Obama right after the election. It isn't much of a reach to think that Muslim immigration came up in their lengthy conversations. It was Obama's policy and Trump just piggybacked off it. He knows he can add or subtract countries over time based on new intelligence.

He didn't "have to" give the EO right after he came into office. However the timing of the order wasnt the real problem. It was the execution of the order that was the problem. He and his team obviously didn't think things through. If they had then they would have foreseen the possibility of legal challenges. Their execution was sloppy and impulsive.

It is just a matter of time before they rewrite the order. Then you can whine about it for years. Have fun.


The largest problem with the EO was not the execution, which was horribly flawed. It was the content. It the goal is actually to make the nation safer, the content actually matters.

To think Trump has any chance of creating a policy without talking to anyone in the know is pure folly. We've seen this movie before. The fact that he attempts to implement the same uninformed policy a few weeks later won't improve it.

Whine about it for years? The details matter. People will die due to this policy and they won't be extremists. The US will not be safer as a result, but will be significantly more at risk. Whining is the least of our worries.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#332 » by sfam » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:28 pm

dckingsfan wrote:
tontoz wrote:It is just a matter of time before they rewrite the order. Then you can whine about it for years. Have fun.

But what does he really accomplish with the order? Not much. He still doesn't have a coherent immigration strategy other than churning the status quo.

In the meantime - it is going to affect growth over time. And that is going to eventually hand things back to the Ds who will be able to (rightfully) assert that he can't govern.

I disagree, Trump accomplished a lot with this order.

Trump signaled to the world that he is at war with Islam.

Trump signaled to the US and the world that he doesn't make policy based on facts.

Trump intensified already inflamed tensions here in the US.

All of these were viable policy outcomes. The question we might have is whether they were intended.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#333 » by nate33 » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:32 pm

dckingsfan wrote:It is going to be interesting to see how people view this. If you are an illegal immigrant, it is probably pretty chilling:
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/25/us/ice-immigrant-deportations-trump.html?_r=0

If you are an illegal immigrant, you SHOULD be chilled by the prospect of being caught violating the law. That's actually the way it's supposed to work. You should be discouraged from breaking the law.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#334 » by sfam » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:32 pm

Trump is complaining about the Senate slowing his nominations, meanwhile he hasn't made any. Trump has nominated less than 20 below the level of cabinet secretary. He still has 515 to go needing Senate confirmation, and almost an addition 1500 not requiring senate confirmation. They won't be confirmed if not nominated. Trump is hindering nominees both from his recriminations on anyone who said anything negative about him during the campaign, and due to his lobbying ban restrictions.

Bottom line, its going to be really hard to "dismantle the administrative state" if nobody is nominated. Its hard to cancel and rewrite policies without actual leaders.

But the administration's ability to install political appointees goes far beyond those that require Senate confirmation. High-ranking roles like Cabinet officials draw the most public attention -- and at times, controversy. But every president also gets to fill hundreds of other jobs throughout the federal government.

For many such roles, Senate opposition is a non-factor: Those appointees can be named directly by the president or his top officials.
Yet, as of Thursday, Trump had at least 1,987 vacancies within his new administration, most of which did not require Senate confirmation, according to data from tracking service Leadership Directories reviewed by CNN.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#335 » by sfam » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:36 pm

nate33 wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:It is going to be interesting to see how people view this. If you are an illegal immigrant, it is probably pretty chilling:
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/25/us/ice-immigrant-deportations-trump.html?_r=0

If you are an illegal immigrant, you SHOULD be chilled by the prospect of being caught violating the law. That's actually the way it's supposed to work. You should be discouraged from breaking the law.

Sorry to disagree but...

Lets say you're undocumented, or illegal - your choice - and got a parking ticket 5 years ago. Previously you wouldn't be concerned, and would still do everything possible to follow the law, including answering questions by Police stopping by your door.

Now, that parking ticket you got 5 years back is Trump's opening to deport you. You will no longer be interested in following the law first - your first priority will be to remain unseen. You will be far less likely to follow the laws, because they no longer apply to you. You are an outcast and will be removed on first opportunity.

Does this sound like a positive outcome? Welcome to the Trump deportation force.

Right now, literally for the reasons you say undocumented immigrants actually commit far less crime than actual citizens. Trumps immigration approach will lead to a self-fulfilling prophesy - I fully expect crime among the undocumented to rise now.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#336 » by nate33 » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:39 pm

sfam wrote:

- Trump signaled to the world that he is at war with Islam.
Perhaps so. He at least signaled to the world that he is less welcoming of Islam and has real concerns with radical Islam.

- Trump signaled to the US and the world that he doesn't make policy based on facts.
If so, then neither does Obama, who had the same concerns with those 7 nations.

- Trump intensified already inflamed tensions here in the US.
This is the left wing characterization of any right wing attempt at changing policy. Republicans must capitulate to the will of the left or else they are bigots, racists or they will "inflame tensions". Why don't you accuse all the people rioting in the streets on Inauguration Day of "inflaming tensions"? Why didn't you accuse Obama for "inflaming tensions" when he willfully decided NOT to enforce immigration law? Why didn't you accuse BLM of inflaming tensions when they rioted in the streets based on the lie of "hands up don't shoot"? All of those acts are noble and good. It's justified "resistance". But a 90-day pause in immigration from 7 mostly failed states with no reliable vetting infrastructure is "inflaming tensions".
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#337 » by sfam » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:40 pm

tontoz wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:
tontoz wrote:It is just a matter of time before they rewrite the order. Then you can whine about it for years. Have fun.

But what does he really accomplish with the order? Not much. He still doesn't have a coherent immigration strategy other than churning the status quo.

In the meantime - it is going to affect growth over time. And that is going to eventually hand things back to the Ds who will be able to (rightfully) assert that he can't govern.



The original ban was 90 days, so in the end the effect will probably be marginal. If i understood the original order correctly it was put in place because they didn't have systems in place to do thorough background checks in those countries.

In general i don't expect coherence from Trump. I expect act first think later.

I doubt he is very worried about the Ds. They have to get their own act together before they will become a legit threat. Just running around whining about Trump isn't going to get it done.

This is of course complete and utter BS. You understand incorrectly. There is already detailed and significant vetting from every one of these countries - they are the opposite of open borders, with most taking months if not a year or more to get a visa. The reason the 7 countries were chosen is due to the sloppy reasoning previously provided. They thought this was the easiest first step for a larger ban because they could base it on "some" action the Obama administration took a year back. They almost immediately indicated other countries were under consideration.

Bottom line this has little to no basis in policy. The countries chosen make no sense to anyone in this space. There are regional terrorists and international ones - banning countries which produce regional terrorists is a good way to ask them to become internationally focused.

The policy is folly and the entire national security establishment is aware of it.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#338 » by sfam » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:43 pm

The scariest part about this is violent extremism really is a "thing". It actually requires constant and ongoing attention paid both to the policy and actual execution. When we spend our time debating fantasy land proposals that inflame tensions, we aren't addressing clear and present dangers facing the US. We aren't addressing the challenges, we aren't finding ways to deradicalize and disengage those with violence in their hearts. And we are avidly closing of the very people and organizations that can help us.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#339 » by tontoz » Sun Feb 26, 2017 5:59 pm

nate33 wrote:
sfam wrote:

- Trump signaled to the world that he is at war with Islam.
Perhaps so. He at least signaled to the world that he is less welcoming of Islam and has real concerns with radical Islam.

- Trump signaled to the US and the world that he doesn't make policy based on facts.
If so, then neither does Obama, who had the same concerns with those 7 nations.

- Trump intensified already inflamed tensions here in the US.
This is the left wing characterization of any right wing attempt at changing policy. Republicans must capitulate to the will of the left or else they are bigots, racists or they will "inflame tensions". Why don't you accuse all the people rioting in the streets on Inauguration Day of "inflaming tensions"? Why didn't you accuse Obama for "inflaming tensions" when he willfully decided NOT to enforce immigration law? Why didn't you accuse BLM of inflaming tensions when they rioted in the streets based on the lie of "hands up don't shoot"? All of those acts are noble and good. It's justified "resistance". But a 90-day pause in immigration from 7 mostly failed states with no reliable vetting infrastructure is "inflaming tensions".



Exactly

Trump's travel ban is a big fat L politically. He didn't think things through, made a fool of himself and got slapped down by the courts. He will rewrite it to salvage some political points but in the end it really wont make a big difference. If he had done things correctly the first time it wouldn't have gotten much attention.

But the hysterical reactions of sfam and people like him are exactly the type of thing that fuels Trump's support.

'OMG we are offending the Muslims...this signals we are at war with them..'

:roll:
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XIII 

Post#340 » by Wizardspride » Sun Feb 26, 2017 6:04 pm

Read on Twitter

President Donald Trump referred to African countries, Haiti and El Salvador as "shithole" nations during a meeting Thursday and asked why the U.S. can't have more immigrants from Norway.

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