JonathanJoseph wrote:Nivek wrote:JonathanJoseph wrote:Blatche has also (up until this year) improved every year in the NBA...
Actually, he hasn't. His rebounding percentage peaked in his 2nd season, dropped in year 3, and has held steady at 13% and change for the past 3 seasons (this season, it's currently 13.3). His assist rate went up in his 4th season, spiked last season, and has come back down this year. His highest block percentage was in year 3 and has fallen WAY off since. His offensive rating (points produced per 100 possessions) was highest in year 3 (a still sucky 103 -- league average is 107), but has dropped since then.
For full seasons, Blatche's numbers have actually been pretty doggone consistent throughout his career. His per game numbers fluctuate based on his minutes. His PER fluctuates in large part due to usage.
Big fan of your analysis (and a long time devotee of the #SSAC) but this again where I see statistics breaking down. I may not have ever coached NBA basketball but I've coached in high school and watched enough basketball and watched enough Andray Blatche to know that the kid got steadily better over his first 5 years in the league regardless of what the stats say. And I know how well Blatche played post trade deadline last season regardless of what the stats say. If Blatche was so inefficient (and thus contributing to losing basketball) every team in the NBA wouldn't have been double teaming him (as they were at the end of last season).
What the stats don't say is that Blatche's inefficiency and effort-related statistics may be greatly impacted by a lack of discipline instilled by Wizards leadership (Grunfeld, E Jordan, Tapscott, Saunders). Blatche might be an entirely different player if he were learning from a disciplinarian.
Every problem we attribute to Blatche has been a problem with every major player on this franchise for at least the last 5 years. Pretending like the problem is strictly Blatche and not acknowledging that he is a freakishly talented, multi-skilled 6-11 player under a very, very reasonable contract is throwing out the baby for the bathwater.
JJ, I remember wanting Blatche to start at PF over Jamison for two seasons, when the Wizards had Butler and Haywood, because I liked his defense, his willingness to pass back then, and his size at PF. I also recall all the praise 7-Day Dray got for his work ethic last offseason. Blatche is talented.
What I see is what you have pointed out, JJ, about Wizards leadership. Dozens of times Blatche has been allowed to force bad shots, not hustle on defense or the boards, and to do so with impunity. Too often he's allowed to dribble in isolation situations that stop the ball and end up with forced shots.
I have more problems with a coach who sees this and really seems to approve and insist upon this style of play than I have with Blatche. The first change I would make before trading Blatche or McGee would be to evaluate them under a new coach.
I don't foresee Blatche/McGee becoming a winning front line, however. Too much finesse and neither finishes with a high enough eFG%. One or the other might be best elsewhere. However, I would wait and see. Washington could draft Faried with the ATL pick and discover he's able to play SF and provide all kinds of intensity alongside McGee and Blatche. He could board all Andray's missed shots.























