Moderators: LyricalRico, nate33, montestewart
Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:If the Wizards played like a 50+ win team with healthy Wall, Nene, and Okafor; and Gortat is better than Okafor; how in the world are people forecasting 30-something wins?
They should win 48 games IMO. I won't be shocked if the win 51, 52 games.
FreeBalling wrote:Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:If the Wizards played like a 50+ win team with healthy Wall, Nene, and Okafor; and Gortat is better than Okafor; how in the world are people forecasting 30-something wins?
They should win 48 games IMO. I won't be shocked if the win 51, 52 games.
CCJ, some of our fan hate EG so much that failing is like winning 50 games to them.
payitforward wrote:dckingsfan wrote:82 - WizardsWorld, daSwami
57- deneem4
56 - jeffsays
52 - Chaos Revenant
51 - Wizardspride, Chocolate City Jordanaire
50 - JWizmentality
49 - AFM, barelyawake, Hands11, nuposse04
48 - Joe_Wiz, Bleacher Report
47 - TwentyOne920, zardsfan, jimij, CntOutSmrtCrazy, Zonkerbl, dobrojim
46 - Jimmy (for the) Recard, sfam, CaPtaiN eYeSaNo
45 - Rafael122, Fischella, Deeptu McPullup, JAR69, Severn Hoos
44 - dangermouse, nate33, gesa2, montestewart, TheKingOfVa360, Payitforward
43 - Wallbeliever, Higga, FreeBalling, BarnabyJones, Joe_Wiz, willbcocks, DallasShalDune
42 - miller31time, TheBabyMaker, stevemcqueen1, barelyawake, GhostsOfGil, Keynote, thelvh.com
41 - long suffrin' boulez fan, sashae, WizStorm, dandridge 10, fishercob
40 - The Fax, pineappleheadindc, DaRealHibachi, hoopsworld.com, docsports.com
39 - DCKingsFan, tontoz, Dat2U (in great company), OffTheWall2, Bovada.LV, Sportsbook.com
38 - Ruzious, Dark Faze, Hypnotizer
37 - Earth2Ted, The Consiglieri, SUPERBALLMAN
36 - truwizfan4evr, MJG, Closg00
35 - FAH1223, AnotherFinn, BigA, pancakes3
34 - TGW, verbal8
32 - queridiculo
31 - Floater
30 - Knighthonor
27 - Upper Decker, Induveca
Hey... you knocked me out by copying in an old version of the list! Just added myself back to the 44s.
dckingsfan wrote:Nivek wrote:I'll write about my projection for the team in greater detail over at the blog, but wanted to get on record before the season starts.
My numbers suggest a low-end possibility of 34 wins and a high-end of 48, assuming essentially perfect health (Porter limited to 41 games).
My projection suggests Wall makes The Leap and plays at an All-Star level this season, and that Beal will be better but will make The Leap next year.
I'm anticipating some regression from Webster, but that he'll still be decent. I'm projecting Nene will perform better than last season, but down from his peak. Overall, his year-by-year production numbers look pretty typical in terms of aging. I'm projecting an uptick that would sorta defy the standard aging curve, but I'm also anticipating he'll play only about 62 games this season.
Final prediction: 43 wins.
7th seed.
Wall makes the All-Star team. Beal doesn't. Gortat will make All-Star "snubs" lists.
thelvh.com has 42 wins... so you are in pretty good company - I guess you are placing a pretty good over wager with a huge margin of error of 1 game
Nivek wrote:dckingsfan wrote:Nivek wrote:I'll write about my projection for the team in greater detail over at the blog, but wanted to get on record before the season starts.
My numbers suggest a low-end possibility of 34 wins and a high-end of 48, assuming essentially perfect health (Porter limited to 41 games).
My projection suggests Wall makes The Leap and plays at an All-Star level this season, and that Beal will be better but will make The Leap next year.
I'm anticipating some regression from Webster, but that he'll still be decent. I'm projecting Nene will perform better than last season, but down from his peak. Overall, his year-by-year production numbers look pretty typical in terms of aging. I'm projecting an uptick that would sorta defy the standard aging curve, but I'm also anticipating he'll play only about 62 games this season.
Final prediction: 43 wins.
7th seed.
Wall makes the All-Star team. Beal doesn't. Gortat will make All-Star "snubs" lists.
thelvh.com has 42 wins... so you are in pretty good company - I guess you are placing a pretty good over wager with a huge margin of error of 1 game
One other thought -- Vegas set it's line before Okafor got hurt and the Wizards traded for Gortat. When I get back to my spreadsheet, I'll check and see what the projection would've been with Okafor instead of Gorat. I wonder if it'll be 42.
Nivek wrote:dckingsfan wrote:Nivek wrote:I'll write about my projection for the team in greater detail over at the blog, but wanted to get on record before the season starts.
My numbers suggest a low-end possibility of 34 wins and a high-end of 48, assuming essentially perfect health (Porter limited to 41 games).
My projection suggests Wall makes The Leap and plays at an All-Star level this season, and that Beal will be better but will make The Leap next year.
I'm anticipating some regression from Webster, but that he'll still be decent. I'm projecting Nene will perform better than last season, but down from his peak. Overall, his year-by-year production numbers look pretty typical in terms of aging. I'm projecting an uptick that would sorta defy the standard aging curve, but I'm also anticipating he'll play only about 62 games this season.
Final prediction: 43 wins.
7th seed.
Wall makes the All-Star team. Beal doesn't. Gortat will make All-Star "snubs" lists.
thelvh.com has 42 wins... so you are in pretty good company - I guess you are placing a pretty good over wager with a huge margin of error of 1 game
One other thought -- Vegas set it's line before Okafor got hurt and the Wizards traded for Gortat. When I get back to my spreadsheet, I'll check and see what the projection would've been with Okafor instead of Gorat. I wonder if it'll be 42.
barelyawake wrote:Head and heart are aligned at 42. I'll go with that.
Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:I need to make put my money where my mouth is. Vegas isn't always right.
Bigwig wrote:Okay, under a different name I offered a few dozen mostly forgettable posts, about one for every year of Bullets/Wizards futility since Mr. Unseld wore the uniform. My posts may never make the Hall of Fame, but, like the 'Zards, I'm stepping up my game: new name, debonair avatar, suave demeanor, incisive analysis, clever repartee.
So you can count on 50 wins, my virtual friends, or my name isn't Reckless Abandon. (Shoot, that one was already taken…)
hands11 wrote:Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:I need to make put my money where my mouth is. Vegas isn't always right.
How does one go about doing that. I definitely would put some coin on the over 42.
FreeBalling wrote:hands11 wrote:Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:I need to make put my money where my mouth is. Vegas isn't always right.
How does one go about doing that. I definitely would put some coin on the over 42.
The over/under is now 40.5 with Gortat. You would have to wire money to Vegas. There are offshore sites that will take a debit card.
Just call one of the hotels in Vegas.
Sent from my iPhone using RealGM Forums
Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:If the Wizards played like a 50+ win team with healthy Wall, Nene, and Okafor; and Gortat is better than Okafor; how in the world are people forecasting 30-something wins?
They should win 48 games IMO. I won't be shocked if the win 51, 52 games.