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Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV

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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#541 » by JAR69 » Fri May 17, 2013 6:50 pm

Nivek wrote:
nuposse04 wrote:
fishercob wrote:
Zeller took two three pointers in his two years in college. I'm sure part of that was that he was sol efficient around the basket that Crean didnt want him shooting jumpers. I wonder what kind of precedent there is for bigs who played almost exclusively inside in college becoming good outside shooters and 3 point threats in the pro's. I know this came up a bit in our pre-draft discussions of Sullinger.


I remember Zeller saying that the coaching staff wanted him to stay in the paint to be more effective...I find an excuse like that to be full of bull ****. If your guy CAN shoot and stretch the D, you take advantage of it. I find it hard to believe his coach wouldn't utilize a supposed strength. I doubt Zeller becomes the shooter LMA or Love are, but he has the ability to improve. If he does, than he can be a 3rd option on a decent team I think. I still think he's going to be a bad defender though, I don't see him as a "winning" player on a contender. Maybe a role player. Blake griffin struggles in the playoffs and Zellers game is too much like Griffins. Pretty regular season, but he'll be a liability in the post season.


What? Coaches do this all the time. John Thompson did it with Patrick Ewing -- the story was that Ewing had a much better offensive game than he showed in college, which turned out to be true when he hit the NBA. The old joke was that the only person who could hold Jordan under 20 points per game was Dean Smith. Denny Crum -- one of the great college coaches -- never had the same success once the 3pt shot came in because he wouldn't let his players shoot it.

Coaches ask players to take on roles that the coaches believe give their teams the best chance to win, not necessarily to showcase a player's skill set for NBA scouts.

I'm NOT saying Crean is correct. I'm not even saying that Crean did tell Zeller to stay in the paint and not shoot jumpers. I'm just saying it's entirely believable that any coach would ask a player to not do certain things he's capable of doing because he wants that player to focus on other things that other guys on the team can't do. In this case, having Zeller control the paint while his teammates did work on the perimeter.


Having watched a lot of IU games the last two years, I can assure you Zeller rarely touched the ball on the perimeter in a way designed for him shoot. He handled some handoffs at the top of the key and sometimes had the ball in his hands near the baseline, but Crean's offense was designed to get inside shots for Zeller and outside shots (or drives) for Jordan Hulls, Oladipo, sometimes Watford, and others. As shown by his FT%, Zeller has good shooting fundamentals, and I expect him to be a decent mid-range shooter in the NBA. Whether he can stretch that out to the 3 point line is another question.

What worries me about him is how often he disappeared at the end of games. He didn't demand the ball, and when he was involved in the offense, he sometimes forced up shots. This was especially true in tight games against good defensive opponents, especially Wisconsin. Maybe that's his personality, or maybe that's a limitation of Crean's offense, I don't know. I don't think that's a reason not to draft him at 8 if other good options are gone, but it is something to keep in mind. (Of course, as I am married to an insane Hoosier fan, I am not allowed to entertain the possibility of passing over Zeller or Oladipo.)
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#542 » by verbal8 » Fri May 17, 2013 6:53 pm

nate33 wrote:Here's an interesting post on the Draft Board about the perils of drafting skinny, athletic bigs with limited skills early in the draft. Basically, you end up with lots of busts and injuries:

viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1250594

Noel's frame and knee issues really give me pause. The more I think about it, the more I'm happy that we don't have to make the choice at #1.


At this point the number 1 pick looks like a lower upside version of Portland's Durant/Oden dilemma. Hard to go wrong with Porter, but Noel has a lot of risk and seems to be the only possible true superstar in the draft.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#543 » by nate33 » Fri May 17, 2013 6:58 pm

From Chad Ford:
Otto Porter. 27" standing vert. 36" max vert

Not great numbers, but not awful either. He always looked more smooth than explosive, and the numbers bear this out. He certainly passes the threshold for minimum acceptable athleticism though. He'll be fine with these numbers given his length.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#544 » by Ruzious » Fri May 17, 2013 7:00 pm

stevemcqueen1 wrote:
nate33 wrote:
nuposse04 wrote:Lol, apparently Zeller's max vertical is 37 and he has the best lane agility. His athletic numbers really may make me rethink about his relatively low standing reach. He's got better numbers than Blake Griffin. He just needs to prove he can shoot from outside.

He really does. Straight across the board, he's got Griffin beat. Griffin has a half-inch greater wingspan, but Zeller still beats him in standing reach by an inch. I'm real impressed at Zeller's body fat too. 4.75%? Incredible.

The only real difference is that Griffin posted his vertical leap numbers while weighing 248. Zeller is only 230. If you put 18 pounds of weight on Zeller, does he still move as well as Griffin?


Zeller's raw numbers are awesome but Griffin was a much better athlete to my eye. Mainly, he was just so much more poweful than Zeller. Zeller is way farther along developing his body for the NBA this year compared to the string bean he was last year. But Griffin today is extremely powerful by NBA standards, he was a complete beast in college.

Zeller has really good body control for a big like Blake Griffin. Maybe not quite as good as Griffin. But the main thing that separates them is the sheer power. That defines Griffin, he was a total animal from day one at Oklahoma. Zeller comes from the opposite end, he's always had to work around his lack of strength and approach the game with the mentality of "I've got to win with quickness and skill instead." You end up with two very different players as a result. Blake can root anyone out of the paint and fight for boards and he can literally go up over top of every player in the NBA and dunk on them. And he probably has tried to. He's fearless. But his touch is crap and he can't finish soft or with finesse and skill.

Zeller isn't going to be handing out facials left and right and he's not going to totally dominate the glass. But he can find the space and the angles to get a good shot off in traffic and he just knows how to make that ball go in the hoop.

I've kind of kept the thought to myself because racial discussions always end up being so tedious, but there isn't a doubt in my mind that Zeller would be the no brainer #1 overall pick if he weren't a white American player. There are almost no fundamental flaws with him. He can get bulkier and stronger. He can become a better shooter. He can refine what is already a good post game.

I no longer think he'll fall to us. I think he ends up going no later than third or fourth behind Noel and McLemore. I've had him third on my board for months. Hopefully Len goes before our pick too. I'm hoping Porter falls to us and ends up being our guy.

+1 including that thought. I think we'll need a top 3 pick to get Zeller. I've had Noel, Zeller and Burke as my top 3 all along, and that hasn't changed.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#545 » by REDardWIZskin » Fri May 17, 2013 7:04 pm

McLemores interview, sounds like he may have a bit of a slur or speech impediment. Could have something to do with his perceived shyness. Sort of like MKG last year. Im not sure how this translates to him not being smart. Not very charismatic obviously but no indication of his bball IQ or smarts in general.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#546 » by hands11 » Fri May 17, 2013 7:20 pm

DCZards wrote:
hands11 wrote:
I expect the player(s) they take to be solid players and solid character/IQ people. In my book that pushes Bennett and Shabazz down the charts. To many better options for them that fit better. They will learn that when they do interviews. Look who they took last year. Beal was perfect on all fronts.


Hands, you keep disparaging Bennett's, Shabazz's and McLemore's smarts and IQ but have yet to present one iota of evidence that they are not just as smart as Zeller, Burke, Olynyk, McLemore, etc. I might be a one-note Johnny on this but it's for one very good reason---there's a racial history to that kind of thinking. (Yes, I said it.) Back up your words with some evidence, please.


Race has zero to do with it DC. How could it since I put Beal at the top of my list as someone I like in regards to that stuff. Same with Otto. Same with Burke.

So your concerns don't make any sense. Back off. You're over stepping.

That aside. I thought this was interesting.

http://www.csnwashington.com/basketball ... use-injury

People need to keep in mind, Len was playing with an injured wheel. Maybe that had something to do with him not always showing up. My foot has bothered me recently. Last thing I want to do is run on it.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#547 » by hands11 » Fri May 17, 2013 7:26 pm

TGW wrote:Gobert could be Javale with a brain. He's on my draft list, although I'm not impressed by his defensive rebounding numbers. 3 defensive boards in 22 mpg in the French League is not good. We already have a Cholet disciple who doesn't rebound...I'm not sure I want to deal with that again. But those measurements are ridiculous...

I still haven't changed my stance on Zeller. Like Dat said, he's underskilled to play power forward, and not quite lengthy/strong enough to play center. Also, his defensive abilities at center are lacking.


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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#548 » by Dark Faze » Fri May 17, 2013 7:34 pm

nate33 wrote:From Chad Ford:
Otto Porter. 27" standing vert. 36" max vert

Not great numbers, but not awful either. He always looked more smooth than explosive, and the numbers bear this out. He certainly passes the threshold for minimum acceptable athleticism though. He'll be fine with these numbers given his length.


He's 6'9 with a vert of 36 on the move.

That's pretty above the rim to me.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#549 » by Rafael122 » Fri May 17, 2013 7:44 pm

Odds that Noel drops? Measurements checked out, but he weighs 206 pounds, might not play until Christmas and even then you wonder if he's in shape and has bulked up a bit. The only reason why a team would take him #1 overall is to help the tank for the '14 draft. Maybe I'm being too optimistic and he stays in the top 3, but guys like Oladipo, Burke, Adams, Gobert killed it in the draft combine.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#550 » by hands11 » Fri May 17, 2013 7:45 pm

AFM wrote:[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMdPWp-d0Z0[/youtube]

Hands, please tell me why he's lumped in the same group as mclemore as far as "smarts" go. He sounds like a pretty well spoken guy.

His draft stock has slipped so far. Read an article today stating that he may slip out of the lottery all together.


So its not just me then. Why do you think that is that people state he may slip out of the lottery?

I agree. He is a little better in an interview then McLemore. He has a stronger presence. But its not all about being shy or strong presence.

Look, all I can do is give a general explanation for the things I see. I'm sure for those that want to argue over it, they will always have another question about why I see it that way. I'm just giving my view on it. This isn't a perfect science or anything. I get some wrong but I get way more right then wrong and I identify a lot of players I like that go way up in the draft order and eventually become board favorites. So I feel pretty confident in my take on things.

We all know the issue with Shabbazz. If you are asking me are there things I see in his interview videos that support me having concerns. The answer is yes there are. Not glaring but some stuff. But its not just interviews that I base my view on.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#551 » by Dark Faze » Fri May 17, 2013 7:46 pm

Goberts already 20 and sucks at almost every aspect of basketball right now though.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#552 » by pancakes3 » Fri May 17, 2013 7:53 pm

hands11 wrote:
DCZards wrote:
hands11 wrote:
I expect the player(s) they take to be solid players and solid character/IQ people. In my book that pushes Bennett and Shabazz down the charts. To many better options for them that fit better. They will learn that when they do interviews. Look who they took last year. Beal was perfect on all fronts.


Hands, you keep disparaging Bennett's, Shabazz's and McLemore's smarts and IQ but have yet to present one iota of evidence that they are not just as smart as Zeller, Burke, Olynyk, McLemore, etc. I might be a one-note Johnny on this but it's for one very good reason---there's a racial history to that kind of thinking. (Yes, I said it.) Back up your words with some evidence, please.


Race has zero to do with it DC. How could it since I put Beal at the top of my list as someone I like in regards to that stuff. Same with Otto. Same with Burke.

So your concerns don't make any sense. Back off. You're over stepping.

That aside. I thought this was interesting.

http://www.csnwashington.com/basketball ... use-injury

People need to keep in mind, Len was playing with an injured wheel. Maybe that had something to do with him not always showing up. My foot has bothered me recently. Last thing I want to do is run on it.


Just to play DC's advocate, Beal, Porter, and Burke are light skinned and went to "good" schools as opposed to the darker skinned Las Vegas products of Bennett and Shabazz or the inarticulate tongue-tied country boy McLemore.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#553 » by nate33 » Fri May 17, 2013 7:58 pm

pancakes3 wrote:Just to play DC's advocate, Beal, Porter, and Burke are light skinned and went to "good" schools as opposed to the darker skinned Las Vegas products of Bennett and Shabazz or the inarticulate tongue-tied country boy McLemore.

hands11 has liked Dieng for a long time too. And Dieng is about as dark-skinned as it gets.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#554 » by hands11 » Fri May 17, 2013 8:04 pm

DCZards wrote:Hands, the fact that you think that McLemore is not "smart" because he's not as well-spoken or articulate as some of the other players you highlighted tells me that you're not around people who look and sound like McLemore very often.


You assume way to much DC and you should really just drop this because you have no idea what you are talking about. Honestly, I didn't take you for this type. I thought you were one of the cooler posters on here and usually liked reading your take on things. And honestly, for me, I will still read your posts even after this.

But for what its worth, I have been around all kinds of people. Rich and Poor and of all races. And I was the last person ever accused of being racist. I have been around plenty of racist. If you are viewed as white, people let their real views be heard around you. But I'm usually the one in the crowd that would speak up when others didn't. And that not just true of me, I have lots of family members like that as well.

Being of Italian descent, depending on the time of year, I was either one of the white people or defiantly not a while person because I would tan to be darker then a lot of black people. And if you didn't know it, Italian was like Mexican is now back when I was growing up. Specially Sicilian Italian. I got in more then one persons grill having grown up in WASP, Jewish Potomac after moving from Rockville because they thought it was ok to call me a WOP or something similar. They found out it wasn't. Only a good friend could get away with that.

I was also the guy who had black friends as my best friend. Went into black neighborhood like Scottland that scared your standard white person. I worked construction while in college on the Metro and walked UDC and Anacostia in the early 90s with my head up, eye contact and talked to anyone that wanted to talk regardless of race.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#555 » by hands11 » Fri May 17, 2013 8:07 pm

nate33 wrote:
pancakes3 wrote:Just to play DC's advocate, Beal, Porter, and Burke are light skinned and went to "good" schools as opposed to the darker skinned Las Vegas products of Bennett and Shabazz or the inarticulate tongue-tied country boy McLemore.

hands11 has liked Dieng for a long time too. And Dieng is about as dark-skinned as it gets.


And VO. And MJ. And the Dream.

And it has nothing to do with Country. I love Country people. Hell, my last long term G/F was named Venus and she was from the foothills and one of my best friends is a big old country dude. Actually, a lot of my gfs have have country families. So no, not a country things either.

For what it worth, I also dated Persian, Black, Asian, Spanish, Italian, German. Tall, Short, Blondes, Brunettes, Red heads. College. Non College. What can I say, like is like Baskin Robbins :lol:

But thanks for chipping in Nate. This has gotten silly.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#556 » by pancakes3 » Fri May 17, 2013 8:08 pm

True. But who am I to outline the rationales behind irrationalities?

Note that I'm not saying Hands is irrational, only that racism is. I happen to agree that Bennett's defense is not his forte and that's based off his block/steal numbers, team defensive performance, and anecdotal commentary about his slow rotations.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#557 » by nuposse04 » Fri May 17, 2013 8:17 pm

stevemcqueen1 wrote:
nuposse04 wrote:
stevemcqueen1 wrote:So wait, Cody Zeller doesn't have a 6'8 wingspan? But the internet told me he did!

I'd like to take a moment to crow about being right that that number was fishy.

The Zeller bandwagon is open for new passengers.


Lets not act like a 8'10 standing reach is impressive for a 7 footer though. :wink:

His standing vertical is the only surprising thing here...But again, he won't survive in the NBA playing at 230. But if he can maintain a standing vertical around 30-32 while adding 15-20 lbs, things may get more convincing.


Joakim Noah is 230 pounds.

Zeller will get bigger and stronger eventually. He's 20. He's already gotten a great deal stronger in the past year. He might have been 200 pounds as a freshman.


I don't think Zeller's base is as strong as Noah's base. Even then, outside of pick n' roll D and the occasional help rotation I've never thought Zeller was THAT good on ball against "real" big guys. That and you are kind of reaching comparing the defensive prowess of Noah to Zeller (at least thats what I think you're eluding to by bringing up this comparison). Zeller was listed at 240 on the IU website last season. I maintain he didn't look like THAT kind of athlete this year, I never saw his head above the rim or anything but he did show well today. He's not a power jumper so I don't expect him to drop hammers on people like griffin but I suspect him to use his supposed quickness to drive to the rim. I still don't believe his game is MUCH different than Hansborough, but his standing vertical is a lot more comforting if for some reason we do take him. He's a better finisher than anyone on our bench except maybe Booker, so to that end, he'd be an upgrade.

I could see a team like PHX taking him though. They need a "culture" player and he does have his head on right. I could also see CHA do it as well, he isn't going to lead a bad team to wins in his first year so they'll be able to tank next year while being able to add talent for the season after. If we're picking 3rd we're probably still taking Porter...and if he has good workouts he won't make it to 8 I think.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#558 » by DCZards » Fri May 17, 2013 8:21 pm

I wasn't calling you a racist, Hands. Sorry if it came across that way.

Let me leave it at this: As a black man, it brings back memories of a not-too-distant (and racist) past when I see another black man's "smarts" being questioned based on what I consider the flimsiest of reasons--such as how well-spoken he is. Question a player's shooting, his ballhandling, his size, even his character when there have been documented issues--those things are tangible and often easy to see/access. But you're on shaky ground with me when you question another man's intelligence based on what appears to be nothing more than a gut feeling on your part.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#559 » by stevemcqueen1 » Fri May 17, 2013 8:29 pm

DCZards wrote:Hands, the fact that you think that McLemore is not "smart" because he's not as well-spoken or articulate as some of the other players you highlighted tells me that you're not around people who look and sound like McLemore very often.


For that matter,who cares how he speaks? Not drafting him to give speeches. You're drafting him to play ball. Beal isn't nearly as articulate as Harrison Barnes but he's a whole lot smarter BBall player. You can tell from watching McLemore that he's a smart player with good IQ. He doesn't take bad shots. Doesn't play hero ball. Doesn't gamble and take himself out of position.
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Re: Official 2013 Draft Thread - Part IV 

Post#560 » by AFM » Fri May 17, 2013 8:38 pm

hands11 wrote:
AFM wrote:[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMdPWp-d0Z0[/youtube]

Hands, please tell me why he's lumped in the same group as mclemore as far as "smarts" go. He sounds like a pretty well spoken guy.

His draft stock has slipped so far. Read an article today stating that he may slip out of the lottery all together.


So its not just me then. Why do you think that is that people state he may slip out of the lottery?

I agree. He is a little better in an interview then McLemore. He has a stronger presence. But its not all about being shy or strong presence.

Look, all I can do is give a general explanation for the things I see. I'm sure for those that want to argue over it, they will always have another question about why I see it that way. I'm just giving my view on it. This isn't a perfect science or anything. I get some wrong but I get way more right then wrong and I identify a lot of players I like that go way up in the draft order and eventually become board favorites. So I feel pretty confident in my take on things.

We all know the issue with Shabbazz. If you are asking me are there things I see in his interview videos that support me having concerns. The answer is yes there are. Not glaring but some stuff. But its not just interviews that I base my view on.


He's dropping for a plethora of reasons, like his father/age issue and his less than 1 assist per game. I dont see many people questioning his BBIQ.

It's amazing how someone can go form overrated to underrated so quickly. What we are seeing here is a lot of group think with everyone piling on the "Shabazz Sucks" bandwagon. Just check out twitter, he's taking a beating from everyone who has a laptop and internet connection. There's no way in such a weak draft that he should slip out of the lottery but he very may well.

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