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Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI

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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#61 » by TGW » Wed Jan 8, 2014 12:05 am

BarnabyJones wrote:The Bucks apparently really want to trade Gary Neal now. Should the Wizards try to get him?


I would probably do Maynor and Singleton...not much else. If we wanted a player of Neal's abilities, we should have just kept Shannon Brown.
Some random troll wrote:Not to sound negative, but this team is owned by an arrogant cheapskate, managed by a moron and coached by an idiot. Recipe for disaster.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#62 » by WashWiz54 » Wed Jan 8, 2014 2:45 am

Messed around with the trade checker and I came up with the monstrosity below. I know it is unrealistic due to size and probably logic but it was fun for twenty so minutes haha.

We Gives: Ariza, Gortat, GR Jr, Maynor
We Get: Monroe, Singler Stiemsma Bynum

Detroit Gives: Monroe, Bynum, Villanueva, Singler, Billups
Detroit Gets: Ariza, E. Gordon, GR Jr, D. Miller

NOP Gives: E. Gordon, Stiemsma, D. Miller (I honestly have no idea who this guy is)
NOP Gets: Gortat, Charlie V, Billups, Maynor

This deal is obviously contingent on Detroit wanting to go all in and NOP still viewing Eric Gordon's contract as a negative. I actually really like it for Detroit. They run with Jennings/Gordon/Ariza/Smooth/Drummond with Stuckey as their 6th man. If NOP don't view Gordon as negative this deal also works:

Washington Gives: Ariza, Gortat, Maynor, GR Jr.
Washington Gets: Monroe, Bynum, Charlie V., Singler

We'd probably have to throw a future pick Detroit's way in that deal, I'd guess.

Then finish it up with Ves and Porter for Asik?

Final rotation:

PG- Wall/Bynum
SG- Beal/Webster
SF- Singler/Webster
PF- Monroe/Nene/Booker
C- Asik/Nene/Monroe

God that took too much time! Bless you guys that give me entertainment by throwing out a couple different trades per day!
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#63 » by jivelikenice » Wed Jan 8, 2014 3:35 am

Gary Neal for Maynor & Singleon. FA regret for FA regret. Neal fills the need for a backup 2 and they seem to want him out of Milwaukee. We also open up a roster spot for a 10 day contract....Thoughts?
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#64 » by WizardsWorld » Wed Jan 8, 2014 10:19 am

Ya saw that Neal is probably gonna get traded and figured he'd be a nice backup to Beal for us. Maynor+Singleton for Neal would be great. Hopefully MILW is desperate enough to dump him that they'd do it.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#65 » by fishercob » Wed Jan 8, 2014 1:52 pm

One man's trash is another man's....well, probably trash.

I love the local angle and the cinderella story, but despite some small-sample heroics in the Finals, Neal was very bad last year -- ORtg of 99, 36% from 3, TS% of .512. He's been just as bad this year even though he's shooting 42% from 3 -- ORtg of 99 and TS% of .516.

He's 29 and is signed for $3.25M next season. I'd rather keep Maynor than spend the extra $1.15 for a guy who just isn't very good that doesn't provide what we need.

I'm happy that Neal was able to finally land himself a payday, but we should pass on him.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#66 » by Dark Faze » Wed Jan 8, 2014 2:18 pm

Ariza for the month so far: 5.5ppg on 27% fg, .176 3pt%, 3.3 rpg

It's only four games sure, but the longer it goes on the more you realize that his earlier performance might have been due to a contract year "boost" in effort and we're now seeing a regression to the mean. He's of course not this bad offensively, but he's probably not as good as he was the first twenty games or so. I'm being a bit harsh, but you have to be when you're talking about extending a guy.

From what I've seen of Porter there's no reason to keep Ariza around. The extra offense has been nice but it's come at the cost of his defense which has been awful this year.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#67 » by fishercob » Wed Jan 8, 2014 3:13 pm

Keep an eye on the Pacers. Obviously, they're trying to win a title, and we know they won't pay the lux tax.

The also have Lance Stephenson set to hit unrestricted free agency, which is pretty rare for emerging stars who are 23.

So, the Pacers need to:
(1) Clear some space to keep Stephenson and stay under the tax
(2) not hurt their chances at contending this year or beyond

The need to move Chris Copeland. He's taking up $3.135M of cap space next season and only playing 6 minutes a night for them -- basically not playing. He hasn't set foot on the floor since 12/23, perhaps having something to do with Granger's return.

They may look to move CJ Watson this summer and replace him with someone cheaper -- same for Scola and Mahinmi. But I can't see them moving any of those guys now, as they're firmly in the rotation.

The question is, would they give up an asset to move Copeland? My guess is they would this summer, but to give up an asset now, they'd want not only an expiring, but someone who could crack the rotation in a pinch. Vesely?
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#68 » by Ruzious » Wed Jan 8, 2014 3:29 pm

Copeland seems an awful lot like Harrington. He can hit the 3, but he doesn't play defense, and he doesn't rebound. I think ya gotta play him at the 3 or don't play him at all - for those reasons.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#69 » by jivelikenice » Wed Jan 8, 2014 3:30 pm

Dark Faze wrote:Ariza for the month so far: 5.5ppg on 27% fg, .176 3pt%, 3.3 rpg

It's only four games sure, but the longer it goes on the more you realize that his earlier performance might have been due to a contract year "boost" in effort and we're now seeing a regression to the mean. He's of course not this bad offensively, but he's probably not as good as he was the first twenty games or so. I'm being a bit harsh, but you have to be when you're talking about extending a guy.

From what I've seen of Porter there's no reason to keep Ariza around. The extra offense has been nice but it's come at the cost of his defense which has been awful this year.


Teams seem to be staying home on him and forcing him to dribble the ball which is never a good thing with him. Otto has gotten a month in and is slowly looking more comfortable. I think its time to shop Ariza with Martell moving into a 30 mpg role and Otto giving us 18 mpg off the bench.

Another guy who is being shopped apparently is Donatas Montiejunas. Dude has stretch 4 written all over him. There are a lot of opportunities to improve the bench without sacrificing future financial flexibility. I just don't have confidence that Ernie can capitalize.

Also going back to Milwaukee; a Ridnour/Neal for Maynor/Seraphin/Singleton deal works and I think keeps us just under the tax line. Neal isn't great but Maynor is awful.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#70 » by fishercob » Wed Jan 8, 2014 3:43 pm

Ruzious wrote:Copeland seems an awful lot like Harrington. He can hit the 3, but he doesn't play defense, and he doesn't rebound. I think ya gotta play him at the 3 or don't play him at all - for those reasons.


Or you play him next to Tyson Chandler, which we can't do.

I think he's better than Harrington. Cope had a solid season last year on the strength of good shooting in 15 minutes a night. We could use that for sure if that's what we're getting.

I don't think he's worth that contract though and my main aim would be to see if I can get Indy to give up some sort of pick consideration to dump him. Maybe a couple of seconds or even a way future first.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#71 » by verbal8 » Wed Jan 8, 2014 3:49 pm

What about a 3 way with Ilyasova going to the Rockets, Asik to the Wizards and Ariza going to the Bucks?

It doesn't seem to make sense for the Bucks. However they can possibly flip Ariza and even if they don't they could buy him out. The Wizards could kick in some cash towards his salary. If they want to showcase him he probably will look decent without ruining their tank.

As bad as Ersan has been I think the Bucks need to throw in an incentive to Houston, especially if they want to dump Neal. Although I would be open to adding a Neal/Maynor swap if it helps bring in Asik. Also I think any potential deal with Ersan or Asik will depend on their health.
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Re: Would you take this trade? 

Post#72 » by payitforward » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:14 pm

Illmatic21 wrote:I really like Davis, he has been a great scorer off the bench in the past, and is a solid defender. Concerned about his injury issues though.

I'd probably do that trade just to get Vesely and Singleton off the team.

Vesely and Singleton are expiring; we didn't pick up their options, so they're unrestricted at the end of the season. You want to take Glen Davis's over-priced salary next year just to get rid of them 4 months earlier? Orlando would be delighted!

I'd be happy to do the deal if it were Kyle O'Quinn instead of Davis.

If you want a textbook example of how you really do rebuild a team (instead of pretending to, as Ernie has done), Orlando is it. Next year, they'll have 7 talented young players (Oladipo, Vucevic, Harkless, Harris, O'Quinn, Lamb and NIcholson) for a total of $16.3m. If they want to keep Price, Moore and Jones for the back of their bench, that'll add @$3m in veteran minimum salaries (paid by the league in part). Only Afflalo, along with Nelson and Davis (both of whom they are trying to move) will hold over from their old squad.

They'll have a high Round 1 pick -- and they'll have either NY or Denver's pick as well (if NY, it'll be a high lottery pick). They will also have a conditional R1 pick from Philly (in 2015? or this year?). They'll have a high round 2 pick this year as well -- and they have the Lakers R1 pick and R2 pick in coming drafts.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#73 » by fishercob » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:14 pm

verbal8 wrote:What about a 3 way with Ilyasova going to the Rockets, Asik to the Wizards and Ariza going to the Bucks?

It doesn't seem to make sense for the Bucks. However they can possibly flip Ariza and even if they don't they could buy him out. The Wizards could kick in some cash towards his salary. If they want to showcase him he probably will look decent without ruining their tank.

As bad as Ersan has been I think the Bucks need to throw in an incentive to Houston, especially if they want to dump Neal. Although I would be open to adding a Neal/Maynor swap if it helps bring in Asik. Also I think any potential deal with Ersan or Asik will depend on their health.


Rox will want more than Ilyasova. Were that not the case, they presumably could have made a deal by now.

If we want Ilyasova for expirings, we don't need to include Ariza.

While I don't see much value in Neal, taking him on as a means to acquire Ilyasova may not be without merit.

Ilyasova + Neal
for
Vesely + Seraphin + Singleton + any two of Harrington/Temple/Rice works. I'd obviously prefer to keep Rice.

Including Maynor would be nice as well, but he has negative value, and I'd just cut him.

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Re: Would you take this trade? 

Post#74 » by payitforward » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:17 pm

Zonkerbl wrote:I'd be surprised if your management would go for that. Maybe replace Ves with Booker?

Are you kidding? They'd *love* to dump Davis for expiring salaries!! The only veteran they seem to want to keep is Afflalo.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#75 » by jivelikenice » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:20 pm

Fish, any trade involving Neal would have to include Maynor. Otheriwse we should pass. Its a FA regret for a FA regret deal. I'd also take a shot on Donatas as a potential stretch 4 before tying up cap space on Ilyasova...
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Re: Would you take this trade? 

Post#76 » by payitforward » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:20 pm

Nivek wrote:As for the original trade idea -- if I was running the Wizards, I would not make the deal because I'd rather have the cap space and flexibility to rebuild properly. Given the current management's All-In for the Playoffs strategy, and the likelihood that they'll re-sign Gortat, Ariza and Booker in the offseason, this trade would actually make some sense.

I wonder if Orlando would be willing to take a similar package for Jameer Nelson.

"...make some sense" to Ernie I think (hope) you mean? Otherwise it makes no sense. With Davis or with Nelson (and I'm sure they'd do it that way too -- they are eager to turn over their few veterans -- maybe excepting Afflalo? -- for cap space).
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#77 » by jivelikenice » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:29 pm

Nivek, I still don't see them re-signing Ariza. That would be too much $ and resources used on one position. Theoretically Ariza can play some 4 and Webster some two, but neither excel out of their natural position. I think its more likely he gets dealt closer to the deadline if Otto shows an ability to handle 15-20 mpg or he'll be used in a S&T this offseason.
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Re: Would you take this trade? 

Post#78 » by payitforward » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:31 pm

verbal8 wrote:
Zonkerbl wrote:I'd be surprised if your management would go for that. Maybe replace Ves with Booker?

For this year the deal as proposed would be a very easy yes for the Wizards. The question would really come down to is Glen Davis worth $6 million next year. I think he is not quite, but the benefits this year outweigh the salary dump. It I thought the Wizards would have significant cap space in the off-season, I would be against the deal even without giving up assets.

Also Moore looks like he could upgrade the Wizards depth at guard - a pretty low bar.

If Booker gets sent out, I would insist on dealing Maynor also. It makes Glen Davis' cost next year effectively $4 million which seems about right. Orlando may also be more interested in Booker on his QO next year than the Wizards would be.

Booker is a better player than Davis, and it's not even close. Every 40 minutes, he gets 12.6 boards. Davis gets 9. And, even given Davis getting to the line much more (where he shoots 63%), Booker is a much more efficient scorer. His TS% is .54 to Davis's .48. To make 1 more shot than Trevor Booker, Glen Davis has to take 4 more shots.

I hope you don't think he's a good defender! :) Or that he can shoot the 3!

Orlando would be happy to take Maynor, Temple, Singleton, and any other expiring salaries needed in return for Davis and his next-year salary.

Edit: note that as bad as Glen Davis is playing (see above), he is posting his 2d highest PER ever this year. He is a horrible player. He wasn't even all that good a college player.
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Re: Would you take this trade? 

Post#79 » by Ruzious » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:32 pm

payitforward wrote:
Illmatic21 wrote:I really like Davis, he has been a great scorer off the bench in the past, and is a solid defender. Concerned about his injury issues though.

I'd probably do that trade just to get Vesely and Singleton off the team.

Vesely and Singleton are expiring; we didn't pick up their options, so they're unrestricted at the end of the season. You want to take Glen Davis's over-priced salary next year just to get rid of them 4 months earlier? Orlando would be delighted!

I'd be happy to do the deal if it were Kyle O'Quinn instead of Davis.

If you want a textbook example of how you really do rebuild a team (instead of pretending to, as Ernie has done), Orlando is it. Next year, they'll have 7 talented young players (Oladipo, Vucevic, Harkless, Harris, O'Quinn, Lamb and NIcholson) for a total of $16.3m. If they want to keep Price, Moore and Jones for the back of their bench, that'll add @$3m in veteran minimum salaries (paid by the league in part). Only Afflalo, along with Nelson and Davis (both of whom they are trying to move) will hold over from their old squad.

They'll have a high Round 1 pick -- and they'll have either NY or Denver's pick as well (if NY, it'll be a high lottery pick). They will also have a conditional R1 pick from Philly (in 2015? or this year?). They'll have a high round 2 pick this year as well -- and they have the Lakers R1 pick and R2 pick in coming drafts.

If they actually use that cap space and get a top 3 pick, it could work out very well, but right now - the talent isn't very good, imo. The young talent has a lot of questionmarks. I agree with you on Big Baby - the Wiz shouldn't touch him.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVI 

Post#80 » by payitforward » Wed Jan 8, 2014 4:44 pm

nate33 wrote:
payitforward wrote:I don't understand how anyone thinks we can make a trade to improve. I suppose every once in a while a trade happens where a team does a lot better than its trading partner(s), but it's not often the case.

Hence, given that we have nothing worth any other team's interest, a trade won't make us better. No one will give anything useful for Vesely, Singleton, Seraphin, Maynor, Harrington, Temple, Rice, or even Nene. Our other rookie-contract players -- Beal, Booker & Porter -- it would be pointless to trade. We aren't trading Wall or Webster or Gortat, and Ariza is expiring.

Not to say we won't make a trade -- we have an incompetent running the show! -- just not one that improves us.

Some teams have decent players who don't fit, and would dump them for expirings. If we've come to terms with the notion that we aren't employing a cap space in 2014 strategy, then we may as well trade our expirings now for competent players.

My #1 targets are Jarrett Jack and Ilyasova. Both players have been very good when put in the right situation, and they are not playing well now so they should be available.

Obviously, an even higher priority would be to acquire a building block defensive center like Ilyasova, Asik or Adams, but that's probably far less likely, and certainly won't be done with expiring contracts alone.

Hey, I didn't say you couldn't dream of a great trade! :) But dreams are different from reality! Note that we haven't been able to acquire Ilyasova, Jack, Asik or Adams -- or any other good players! -- for our expiring junk. Plus, whatever "strategy" (pin the tail on the donkey?) EG has in mind, you still have to give a value to the salary room you are giving away.

You can trade bad players for bad contracts, yes. Overpriced veterans on rebuilding teams are certainly available -- this thread is full of people suggesting we give away a good player (booker) for a bad one (davis)! Hell, I wouldn't be shocked if we traded for Carmelo Anthony -- We have an incompetent running the show and owner eager for a "marquee FA"!!

What we can't do is trade our bad players for someone else's good players.

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