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Political Roundtable Part XI

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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#621 » by dckingsfan » Wed Nov 16, 2016 3:56 pm

Wizardspride wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:Yep, pretty clear this election was lost by an inept candidate. But I think that is a bit the point. The democratic bench is a bit weak right now.

The Ds raised waaayyy more money. But it didn't help.

Not sure how they straighten that one out. Bill is right - "its the economy, stupid". And the Ds are about anything but right now...

More focus on entitlements will just pull them further away from the electorate.

Agree with some points.....but personally I don't think the Dem Bench is that weak...assuming you're talking about future Presidential contenders.

One in particular to look for: Kamala Harris.

Not just for President... but all positions. And I don't think an AG from CA will get it done - but that is just me.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#622 » by Wizardspride » Wed Nov 16, 2016 4:02 pm

dckingsfan wrote:
Wizardspride wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:Yep, pretty clear this election was lost by an inept candidate. But I think that is a bit the point. The democratic bench is a bit weak right now.

The Ds raised waaayyy more money. But it didn't help.

Not sure how they straighten that one out. Bill is right - "its the economy, stupid". And the Ds are about anything but right now...

More focus on entitlements will just pull them further away from the electorate.

Agree with some points.....but personally I don't think the Dem Bench is that weak...assuming you're talking about future Presidential contenders.

One in particular to look for: Kamala Harris.

Not just for President... but all positions. And I don't think an AG from CA will get it done - but that is just me.

She's a Senator from CA now. :D

President Donald Trump referred to African countries, Haiti and El Salvador as "shithole" nations during a meeting Thursday and asked why the U.S. can't have more immigrants from Norway.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#623 » by Induveca » Wed Nov 16, 2016 4:14 pm

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dckingsfan wrote:Yep, pretty clear this election was lost by an inept candidate. But I think that is a bit the point. The democratic bench is a bit weak right now.

The Ds raised waaayyy more money. But it didn't help.

Not sure how they straighten that one out. Bill is right - "its the economy, stupid". And the Ds are about anything but right now...

More focus on entitlements will just pull them further away from the electorate.

The Democrats have lost the message over the recent years. Their focus has been exclusively on SJW causes: transsexuals in bathrooms, Muslims who feel unappreciated, "the patriarchy", illegal aliens being amnestied, and the fringe BLM movement. It's become a fusion of virtue-signaling elitists and the most radical of the minority groups.

They have forgotten that their core message used to be in favor of the common man against the rich and powerful. They have ignored the blacks whose neighborhoods have been ravaged by BLM riots or Ferguson-effect crime. They have ignored poor whites. They have ignored working class Latinos who, like whites, don't want more competition from low skill immigrants and illegal aliens.

It'll be real interesting to see how they rebound from this loss. They could go one of two ways. They could choose the Bernie Sanders route and get back to a more working class/populist message, but they'd have to do so without big donors. Or they could go the Hillary Clinton route and embrace the big money of Wall Street, and the Military Industry Complex who have been abandoned by Trump's Republican party; while simultaneously trying to hang on to as many disaffected fringe groups as they can through SJW messaging. There's plenty of money with that strategy, but there may not be enough voters.


When the mainstream media is having a 2-3 week talking-head festival on transgender bathroom rights? Not the brightest battle for Obama to choose, since they already knew the DNC was backing Clinton 100%, as opposed to their own change candidate Sanders.

Democrats screwed up this election in countless ways. Completely out of touch.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#624 » by nate33 » Wed Nov 16, 2016 4:18 pm

I_Like_Dirt wrote:Find me the genetic component and prove that it's the same genetic component that is responsible for skin color that is also responsible for cognitive functions that would equate to higher IQ scores and I'll listen to you, nate. Until then, your theories are going to fall on deaf ears, because right now the genetic knowledge we have says the link you are suggesting doesn't exist.

I'm a little confused about this question. Why does the cognitive gene responsible for IQ disparity have to be the same gene responsible for color variation? Nobody is saying that black skin color specifically correlates to lower IQ. The issue being discussed is the possibility that sub-Saharan African decent correlates to lower IQ. Why wouldn't it be sufficient simply to find that sub-Saharan African populations have cognitive genes that differ from European populations or East Asian populations in ways that negatively affect IQ? The genes responsible for color variation could be elsewhere on the genome. They're irrelevant.

For example the MAOA gene has been labeled the "warrior gene" because a certain 2-repeat alleles of the gene appear to significantly increase the propensity for violence and aggression. Whites are 0.5% likely to have the 2-repeat allele, blacks are 4.7% likely to have it. While I think that there is still much more research that needs to be done to confirm this correlation between this allele and the propensity to violence (while weeding out other causal relationships), this is the type of research that will soon be possible with advances in genetic research. What if research reveals various genes and alleles that have high correlation with IQ? What if we find significant variation in the frequency of those genes in certain racial groups?

FWIW, as I understand it, there is great difficulty in identifying specific cognitive genes because such a huge percentage of the human genome seems to be associated with cognitive development, and there is so much interaction between the gene variants, so it's going to take a while. To my knowledge, only a few genes have been confirmed to affect intelligence (mostly by being associated with genetic diseases that manifest as severe cognitive deficiencies).


I_Like_Dirt wrote:As for your data regarding income, it's sooooo much more than that. Cultural bias on the test is potentially one factor. For example, the Canadian nursing industry recently adopted the American testing system for nursing licenses, and the results are a bunch of kids failing. Are we to take this as proof that Canadians are dumber than Americans? Even genetically so? And if we wouldn't adopt a genetic component to that argument, and would instead look to systemic issues, why wouldn't we do the same with black/white, knowing full well that it's highly likely there are significant systemic issues just because so many people allow their eyes to overrule their brains in everyday life? Because we want to let our eyes overrule our brains, too?

Design me a cognitive test, any cognitive test, where blacks outperform whites and I'd be much more inclined to believe this line of reasoning. For now, it's a hypothesis that has consistently failed to be proven correct. Furthermore, your nursing exam isn't really a fair analogy because presumably the exam is based much more on knowledge then on intelligence. IQ tests surely aren't perfect, but they are making an honest attempt to isolate the cognitive qualities that aren't heavily dependent on knowledge of facts.

I_Like_Dirt wrote:There are also many others. Like it or not, racism breaks down over the visual, so a lifetime of racism isn't necessarily conducive to higher test scores. Generational wealth and a long family traditions of pushing kids to do well in fields like maths, sciences, law, etc. also factor in here. Create a system, both familial and on the larger social scale where kids are constantly encouraged into those kinds of professions, idolize that type of thing, etc. rather than pro sports and other such things, and aren't constantly told they can't or shouldn't or facing barriers on levels that other kids just plain aren't, and then we'll see. The catch here, is that to get that kind of data, you actually have to fix the system first. And that's scary to a lot of privileged white folks.

I agree that these are all issues that may impact the test scores of blacks and we as a society should do our best to make sure blacks are given even footing. It may well be the case that these issues explain some of the disparity in the scores, they certainly shouldn't be ruled out; but let's not act like these phenomena aren't understood by intelligence experts who try to measure this stuff. The IQ disparity holds up for wealthy blacks, for adopted blacks, and in any number of studies where these issues are honestly accounted for. And the same IQ disparity does not show up for other disadvantaged minorities in the same environment.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#625 » by nate33 » Wed Nov 16, 2016 4:21 pm

dckingsfan wrote:
nate33 wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:Yep, pretty clear this election was lost by an inept candidate. But I think that is a bit the point. The democratic bench is a bit weak right now.

The Ds raised waaayyy more money. But it didn't help.

Not sure how they straighten that one out. Bill is right - "its the economy, stupid". And the Ds are about anything but right now...

More focus on entitlements will just pull them further away from the electorate.

The Democrats have lost the message over the recent years. Their focus has been exclusively on SJW causes: transsexuals in bathrooms, Muslims who feel unappreciated, "the patriarchy", illegal aliens being amnestied, and the fringe BLM movement. It's become a fusion of virtue-signaling elitists and the most radical of the minority groups.

They have forgotten that their core message used to be in favor of the common man against the rich and powerful. They have ignored the blacks whose neighborhoods have been ravaged by BLM riots or Ferguson-effect crime. They have ignored poor whites. They have ignored working class Latinos who, like whites, don't want more competition from low skill immigrants and illegal aliens.

It'll be real interesting to see how they rebound from this loss. They could go one of two ways. They could choose the Bernie Sanders route and get back to a more working class/populist message, but they'd have to do so without big donors. Or they could go the Hillary Clinton route and embrace the big money of Wall Street, and the Military Industry Complex who have been abandoned by Trump's Republican party; while simultaneously trying to hang on to as many disaffected fringe groups as they can through SJW messaging. There's plenty of money with that strategy, but there may not be enough voters.

Or they could go none of those ways. They could return to their Union roots. Continue to push the minimum wage hikes. Continue to push entitlement spending. Continue to push environmental issues. A working class route without the populism if you will.

I would characterize that as the Bernie Sanders route.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#626 » by AFM » Wed Nov 16, 2016 4:43 pm

I've got the MAGA gene!
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#627 » by AFM » Wed Nov 16, 2016 4:44 pm

I got it from Nate, he's my daddy! Papa Nate!
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#628 » by DCZards » Wed Nov 16, 2016 5:04 pm

This IQ and genetics debate is insulting...but more than that I find it silly. Maybe because I've been surrounded by bright, resourceful, conscientious and talented African-Americans since my college days. Men and women whose accomplishments outdo those of most Americans, regardless of race or socioeconomic background.

Maybe I'm just lucky...or maybe this misinformed debate about IQ is missing the big picture as it relates to how we should really measure "intelligence." #andstillwerise
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#629 » by nate33 » Wed Nov 16, 2016 5:36 pm

DCZards wrote:This IQ and genetics debate is insulting...but more than that I find it silly. Maybe because I've been surrounded by bright, resourceful, conscientious and talented African-Americans since my college days. Men and women whose accomplishments outdo those of most Americans, regardless of race or socioeconomic background.

Maybe I'm just lucky...or maybe this misinformed debate about IQ is missing the big picture as it relates to how we should really measure "intelligence." #andstillwerise

Understand that I only bring it up (actually I didn't bring it up this time, PIF did) to refute the premise that everything is the fault of white racists. If blacks do indeed slightly underperform whites in IQ, it shouldn't change much in how we comport ourselves as a society, but it might stop us from looking for a racist white bogeyman around every corner. Racism does exist, but I don't think racism explains everything.

I will stop talking about this now.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#630 » by Wizardspride » Wed Nov 16, 2016 5:43 pm

Read on Twitter

President Donald Trump referred to African countries, Haiti and El Salvador as "shithole" nations during a meeting Thursday and asked why the U.S. can't have more immigrants from Norway.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#631 » by TGW » Wed Nov 16, 2016 6:07 pm

So Steve Bannon says that too many Silicon Valley CEOs are Asian:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/steve-bannon-disgusted-asian-ceos-silicon-valley_us_582c5d19e4b0e39c1fa71e48

Even Trump doesn't agree with this rabid tribalism...and that says a lot.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#632 » by nate33 » Wed Nov 16, 2016 6:17 pm

Wizardspride wrote:
Read on Twitter

This will be an interesting debate. In the coming years, it's a good bet that the Democrats will continue to win the popular vote but the electoral map continues to work against them. The problem for Democrats is that they are insanely dominant in 2 populous states (CA and NY) which give them a 6 million vote differential. They're losing the rest of the country by 5 million. One-third of all Democrat congressmen come from 3 states (NY, CA and MA).

The Electoral College was instituted because this is the United STATES of America. It is not the State of America. When it was founded, the individual states did not want to be dominated by other states a thousand miles away.

Ultimately, it doesn't matter what the Democrats want. A constitutional Amendment is required to abolish the Electoral College, and they don't have the votes. Indeed, the converse is true. The Republicans now control the legislatures in 33 states. One more state and the Republicans can make Constitutional Amendments with the Democrats unable to stop them.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#633 » by tontoz » Wed Nov 16, 2016 6:55 pm

Wizardspride wrote:
Read on Twitter



#shemad
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#634 » by Ruzious » Wed Nov 16, 2016 7:15 pm

I never thought the electoral college was a good idea, but to try to get rid of it now just comes across as cheap politicking. If Boxer and her folks were really philosophically against it, she/they should have done something years ago.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#635 » by Wizardspride » Wed Nov 16, 2016 7:33 pm

Read on Twitter

President Donald Trump referred to African countries, Haiti and El Salvador as "shithole" nations during a meeting Thursday and asked why the U.S. can't have more immigrants from Norway.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#636 » by nate33 » Wed Nov 16, 2016 9:46 pm

Wizardspride wrote:
Read on Twitter

Very interesting, particularly the addition of Joe Manchin

Manchin was hinting that he might switch to the Republican party. He's from the 2nd most Republican state in the Union (WV), and has a populist mix of policies that is probably closer to Trumpism than the Democrat Party. Among other things, he is pro-life and pro coal industry. I don't know if Schumer is seeking to shift the Democrat Party in his direction, or if he's simply giving Manchin more power to keep him in the fold.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#637 » by dckingsfan » Wed Nov 16, 2016 11:02 pm

nate33 wrote:I would characterize that as the Bernie Sanders route.

Interesting... I see it a bit differently. Bernie did have some of that - but he was more about "free stuff". Free Education, Increase Entitlements, etc.

I didn't see him getting into the weeds on supporting unions and workers.

But again, my main point - the next Democrat just has to be an outsider and about change. Seems to have worked for Obama/Trump. I see no reason it won't work again.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#638 » by DCZards » Wed Nov 16, 2016 11:41 pm

dckingsfan wrote:
nate33 wrote:I would characterize that as the Bernie Sanders route.

Interesting... I see it a bit differently. Bernie did have some of that - but he was more about "free stuff". Free Education, Increase Entitlements, etc.

I didn't see him getting into the weeds on supporting unions and workers.

But again, my main point - the next Democrat just has to be an outsider and about change. Seems to have worked for Obama/Trump. I see no reason it won't work again.


Actually, Bernie Sanders has long been an outspoken supporter and advocate of unions and workers. It's just that his support for and from unions was swallowed up by the Clinton machine and it's tight relationship with most union leaders.

Here are three quotes from him on unions and working people.

"There are folks out there who say, 'it doesn't impact me, I'm not a union guy, I'm not a teacher, I'm not a civil servant.' Let me tell you how it does matter to you. Wages are going down in this country for everybody. When you destroy unions there will be no standard at all, nobody left to negotiate decent jobs for the middle class."

"...I want you to know that being out on a picket line and standing with workers is something that I have been doing for my entire life. I did it when I was mayor of the city of Burlington, did it in Congress, did it in the Senate. This is what I do. This is what I believe."

“Workers have the constitutional right to form unions, to collectively bargain and to participate in the political process. If we are going to rebuild the crumbling middle class we need a stronger trade union movement, not a weaker one.”
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#639 » by Kanyewest » Wed Nov 16, 2016 11:53 pm

Ruzious wrote:I never thought the electoral college was a good idea, but to try to get rid of it now just comes across as cheap politicking. If Boxer and her folks were really philosophically against it, she/they should have done something years ago.


I agree it is poor timing; although you have to start somewhere I suppose. The electoral college now makes votes only matter in a few states. Personally, I wish more people had reason to vote in non-swing states. Perhaps a good compromise is to make the electoral college proportional rather than winner take all. I also think there could be voter ranking systems.
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Re: Political Roundtable Part XI 

Post#640 » by DCZards » Thu Nov 17, 2016 3:22 am

Kanyewest wrote:I agree it is poor timing; although you have to start somewhere I suppose. The electoral college now makes votes only matter in a few states. Personally, I wish more people had reason to vote in non-swing states. Perhaps a good compromise is to make the electoral college proportional rather than winner take all. I also think there could be voter ranking systems.


What do you mean by "voter ranking systems?"

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