Dat2U wrote:stevemcqueen1 wrote: We're past the point of tanking now.
I guess...??? If only your in complete denial like Ted, Ernie & the gang.
I think it should be obvious that this playoff run is built on a flimsy deck of cards. First card being Nene, second & third cards being a role playing FA having a career year and another 30 yr old FA making a strong case as the best backup C in the NBA that unfortunately has to start for us.
This is not sustainable beyond this season... Were clear a lottery team in the West. No question about that. We'd be a rebuilding team in the West. I love to hear an argument against that notion.
The only reason this whole playoff edict wasn't laughed away early on is the current state of competition in the East. So what happens next season after the oldest collection of talent in the league (sans Wall & Beal) gets a year older & more broken down while the rest of the East takes a collective step or two forward? Ariza is unlikely to have another career year next year. Gortat isn't getting any better. Webster's health is of constant concern. Nene's downward decent is obvious to anyone that watches him... he's only going to decline further from here on out. Lord only knows what Porter or Rice can do, Wittman certainly doesn't want to risk his future trying to find out. Beyond that, and a 37 yr old backup PG, were built around two players... John Wall, a 23yr old all-star quality player but not a franchise changer (yet) and Bradley Beal, a 20 yr old, still struggling mightily to find his comfort zone in the league and still more potential than production at this stage.
You say tanking isn't an option anymore but yet our talent base is so shallow with just Wall & Beal. We aren't a young team trying to improve. We've turned into an old team, led by Wall with Beal being dragged along as a not-quite-ready-for-primetime player.
Dat, I have excellent news! We're NOT in the West and there are no plans to move us there. That doesn't make us any better than we actually are, but it does mean we have an easier path to advancing in the playoffs.
If that creates a mirage for the fans and the media, it creates the same mirage for players and agents. Hey Kevin Love -- do you want to stay in the West and perhaps be the next Tracy McGrady, or would you like to come East and perhaps have a shot at the conference finals within a year or two? Marc Gasol? Boogie Cousins (in whom I have the utmost faith in his ability to force a trade)? We're a player or two away -- join up and see if you can create a legacy for yourself beyond "good player who couldn't get out of a stacked conference."
Ariza has been the same player since Wall got back last year. I see no reason to expect him to slow down.
Nene's downward trend us undeniable. The hope there is that we can get some better depth to scale down his minutes and get management in place smart enough to get him to lose some weight. While he and Gortat will likely combine to earn more than they are worth, neither will be a albatross and both will be decent players (while not bargains).
If Ernie keeps running the show and he keeps Witt and they do Ernie and Witt things this summer and the Wiz get hit with some injuries, I do see the potential for the team to crash and burn and end up back in the lottery next year. But if we can get the right leader in place who makes some smart moves and hires the right coach***, I think this team has significant upside.
***Look at the jobs guys like Carlisle, Casey, Hornacek, etc are doing. Look at the fact that Randy Wittman refuses to try Ariza at the 4 for 5-10 mpg, even though we have a glut of wings, along with the fact that we have an offense that continues to unrepentantly engineer bad shots.I think part of our upside lies in the fact that better coaching will make a material difference.