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Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII

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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#861 » by bealwithit » Sun Feb 12, 2017 10:51 pm

payitforward wrote:
bealwithit wrote:Portland has a terrible cap situation and probably were not going to be able to re-sign Plumlee. Plumlee is a good player. Nurkic sucks. They get a 1st in a deep draft while Denver could end up losing Nurkic, Plumlee, AND the 1st if Plumlee goes elsewhere. Considering Plumlee will probably get paid big bucks by someone and Denver sucks... yeesh. Don't see why he would stay.

If Denver is this dumb, call em up right now lmao

I don't get your point, esp. given what you write.

Denver trades a guy you say sucks for a guy you call a good player. To make this happen they add a pick swap that will likely turn out to be @12 spots. Yes, this will be a strong draft, but that's still a statistically insignificant difference in pick situations. Especially given the fact that if you pick someone late in R1, you have to guarantee him.

How does this make Denver "dumb?" It's not like Plumlee is unrestricted at the end of the season -- they can give him a qualifying offer & match his best offer, or just sign him. They have tons of cap room. It's also not like Nurkic's development is a guaranteed thing either. For that matter, they may not have cap room to sign him year after next even if he does develop.

This is just two teams solving each other's short-term problem. It may not work out for either of them, or it may also work out well for both teams.

Yeah PIF, I didn't exactly analyze the trade right at first because I didn't know Plum was a RFA. I corrected myself later on in the thread. I think it's a good trade for both of them and I actually think Denver might end up on the better side of the deal because I really like that Jokic/Plumlee one two punch.

gambitx777 wrote:
payitforward wrote:
gambitx777 wrote:Here is the thing about that deal. Denver were the buyers and portland were the sellers. Nurkic only value in that deal is that he is a health cheap locked in contract at center. They traded plumlee because they know hes going to get about 16-20 mill next year on the open market and they don't want to pay him that. so they moved him.... Over all portland fleeced them. they got a young solid cheep big one cheap contract next year and a valuable pick in a valuable draft, for a big that while really good, they wanted to dump and not pay. portland won hands down. and Nurkic did not have the value they said he did, because they did not trade plumlee for nurkic. they traded plumless for the pick and got nurkic as filler for a 2018 seconds round pick which a denver poster just laughed at me about yesterday right here in this thread lol.

First point -- Portland has $134m+ in guaranteed salaries on the books for next year!! Not that they didn't want to pay Plumlee, they absolutely couldn't pay him!

Second point -- I don't think so. Not at all. Portland & Denver each had players they absolutely had to trade. If that weren't the case, I can't see why Portland would have let Plumlee go for such a late R1 pick. It's because right now Plumlee is more valuable than Nurkic that the exchange of picks was required in order to make the deal even.

Keep in mind that it's likely only an exchange of about a dozen spots in draft order, & that guys picked in the last @7 in R1 aren't any more likely to be successful in the league than guys picked in the top 10 in R2. Compare for yourself over the last 5 years.

This deal was good for both parties.

I think thats flawed logic piff, its a different draft. that guy they gave up might be something he might not but. still a 2017 first for a guy you now have to turn around and pay 16 mill + for. thats a bit high of a price. Nurkic was worth the second that im not arguing with. it was basically 2 trades. Plumlee for a first and a second for nurkic. And they could have paid him. if they wanted to go into the tax, the can go over to match offers on restricted free agents like we are going to with otto. But they did not want to do that and I don't blame them.

Paying a lot for your back-up center sounds familiar don't it? If Plumlee gets that he's getting paid basically the exact same as Mahinmi, which would be a bargain. Plumlee is better than Mahinmi on both ends of the floor.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#862 » by payitforward » Sun Feb 12, 2017 10:57 pm

gambitx777 wrote:
bealwithit wrote:
Mojo Amok wrote:Am I missing something with Nurkic's on court value? That 19% TOV% looks like good fodder for a Shaqtin' A Fool hour-long special before a Portland follow up trade to the Qingdao DoubleStars for a porcelain tea-caddy filled with duck offals.

People remembered hearing about him having a good rookie season and he gets confused with Jokic a lot. (I plead guilty to that one)
Dude is dookie. Maybe a move to Portland will help him playing with Lillard/McCollum.

hes not a bad player, his numbers were down because he landed in the dog house in denver. He is a good young offensive big who can rebound well enough and block some shots. He needs work on his D but hes 22.

Oh, he's not? & how would you know why he's in the doghouse?

Nurkic has been just that -- "a bad player" -- over 3 seasons. He was drafted to be the stud. No, he didn't have a good rookie season. I'd say he landed in the dog house because his numbers were lousy while Jokic, the R2 afterthought, played his ass off. Duh.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#863 » by payitforward » Sun Feb 12, 2017 11:02 pm

gambitx777 wrote:
payitforward wrote:
nate33 wrote:I only see two trade scenarios for Ibaka.

1. We swap Mahinmi straight up for Ibaka. It would be a 30-game rental for us, but Ibaka is an upgrade over Mahinmi, and it gets us out of Mahinmi's long term deal, helping us avoid the luxtax. In this scenario, we have no intention of resigning Ibaka so it makes no sense for us to include any future picks, other than maybe a 2nd rounder. I have to assume Orlando can do better than that though.

2. We trade Mahinmi and a 2017 pick for Ibaka, but only under the pretense that Ted is willing to pay a significant luxtax penalty. As it stands now, we project to be maybe $2M over the luxtax. This deal frees up another $18M in cap room (Mahinmi's $16.6M deal plus the pick) to devote to Ibaka's new contract. His new contract might be $25M or so, so that would put us about $9M over the luxtax. Maybe a 3-way is worked out where we give Jason Smith away for raw cap space to reduce that penalty. Then we'd be more like $4M over the luxtax with the following team:

PG Wall/Sato
SG Beal/McClellan
SF Porter/Oubre
PF Ibaka/Morris
C Gortat/Ibaka

That's pretty damn good.

EDIT: On second thought, I'm not interested. Ibaka doesn't really look to be that good anymore. His box score numbers are lousy, though he has always had a better on-the-court impact that his box score suggests. However, this year, even his RPM numbers look pretty weak. It's hard to find a statistical rationale to prove that he is better than Morris.

Of course, that doesn't account for the John Wall effect. He does shoot well from 3-point range and Wall will get him more looks.

Hallelujah! I've been pointing this out for some weeks now.

OTOH, straight up for Mahinmi (as I've also said several times) -- absolutely! The trade can't make us worse. Then let him go in the off-season. Solves a lot of problems!

One thing here, I don't think you start him over morris. I think you let him back up both gortat and morris off the bench if you have not intentions of keeping him. don't mess with team chemistry if he is not staying. Would you be cool with tossing Aaron white and a second their way in this deal if that was a deal breaker for them ?

Not sure Aaron White will get them excited :) !! I don't like trading R2 picks (well... any picks!). But... dumping that Mahinmi salary... whooo, that'd be big.

However, Orlando will never do this deal. Look who's on their roster. What do they need Mahinmi for? Esp. w/ that contract!!
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#864 » by bealwithit » Sun Feb 12, 2017 11:07 pm

payitforward wrote:
gambitx777 wrote:
payitforward wrote:Hallelujah! I've been pointing this out for some weeks now.

OTOH, straight up for Mahinmi (as I've also said several times) -- absolutely! The trade can't make us worse. Then let him go in the off-season. Solves a lot of problems!

One thing here, I don't think you start him over morris. I think you let him back up both gortat and morris off the bench if you have not intentions of keeping him. don't mess with team chemistry if he is not staying. Would you be cool with tossing Aaron white and a second their way in this deal if that was a deal breaker for them ?

Not sure Aaron White will get them excited :) !! I don't like trading R2 picks (well... any picks!). But... dumping that Mahinmi salary... whooo, that'd be big.

However, Orlando will never do this deal. Look who's on their roster. What do they need Mahinmi for? Esp. w/ that contract!!

Might as well stop repeating yourself at this point PIF... not everyone can be reached!
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#865 » by payitforward » Sun Feb 12, 2017 11:15 pm

gambitx777 wrote:
payitforward wrote:
gambitx777 wrote:Here is the thing about that deal. Denver were the buyers and portland were the sellers. Nurkic only value in that deal is that he is a health cheap locked in contract at center. They traded plumlee because they know hes going to get about 16-20 mill next year on the open market and they don't want to pay him that. so they moved him.... Over all portland fleeced them. they got a young solid cheep big one cheap contract next year and a valuable pick in a valuable draft, for a big that while really good, they wanted to dump and not pay. portland won hands down. and Nurkic did not have the value they said he did, because they did not trade plumlee for nurkic. they traded plumless for the pick and got nurkic as filler for a 2018 seconds round pick which a denver poster just laughed at me about yesterday right here in this thread lol.

First point -- Portland has $134m+ in guaranteed salaries on the books for next year!! Not that they didn't want to pay Plumlee, they absolutely couldn't pay him!

Second point -- I don't think so. Not at all. Portland & Denver each had players they absolutely had to trade. If that weren't the case, I can't see why Portland would have let Plumlee go for such a late R1 pick. It's because right now Plumlee is more valuable than Nurkic that the exchange of picks was required in order to make the deal even.

Keep in mind that it's likely only an exchange of about a dozen spots in draft order, & that guys picked in the last @7 in R1 aren't any more likely to be successful in the league than guys picked in the top 10 in R2. Compare for yourself over the last 5 years.

This deal was good for both parties.

I think thats flawed logic piff, its a different draft. that guy they gave up might be something he might not but. still a 2017 first for a guy you now have to turn around and pay 16 mill + for. thats a bit high of a price. Nurkic was worth the second that im not arguing with. it was basically 2 trades. Plumlee for a first and a second for nurkic. And they could have paid him. if they wanted to go into the tax, the can go over to match offers on restricted free agents like we are going to with otto. But they did not want to do that and I don't blame them.

:) You keep saying that. But, it was one trade, gambit, not 2 trades. Just 1. Moreover, have you actually looked at what Portland has on the books salary-wise?

Still, if you want to say they could have, I suppose there is some way that's true. But it makes no difference, as I can't see why Portland would want to. They could have given him his qualifying offer this off-season I suppose, and then matched. In which case, they'd have been at just under $140m next year. But the following year, when the new salary would have kicked in, they are already at $120m for only 8 guys! That's no way to do business. Esp. for a team that right now is 23-31.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#866 » by payitforward » Sun Feb 12, 2017 11:16 pm

Too many posts by me -- sorry! I did a big catch up after a full day off. :(
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#867 » by mhd » Mon Feb 13, 2017 12:24 am

What about this trade:

Wiz trade 2017 1st+Nicholson for Aminu+2017 Cavs 1st?

Portland shaves some of their impending tax bill while moving up about 4-6 slots roughly in the draft. Wiz get a potential Lebron defender with size and mass.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#868 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Mon Feb 13, 2017 12:51 am

gambitx777 wrote:
NatP4 wrote:
Meliorus wrote:Now that you guys see how little Nurkic went for, will people STOP posting fair trades. Draft picks are worth so much, and players are worth little to none. Everything needs to be a low-ball because that's the state of the market right now.


Wait what did nurkic go for? I didn't see

Here is the thing about that deal. Denver were the buyers and portland were the sellers. Nurkic only value in that deal is that he is a health cheap locked in contract at center. They traded plumlee because they know hes going to get about 16-20 mill next year on the open market and they don't want to pay him that. so they moved him. He is a young talented center, but he is older and not all that much better than nurkic, and at 26 nurkic might be better than plumlees at 26, so short sided trade there. They slightly over paid for plumlee but its justifiable for two reasons. Because they have so much cap room coming next year and nothing to do with it because no one want's to come there. The traded for a guy that they have ona rookie deal so they can match any offer and keep him. I can't disagree that Jotic and plumlee will be a good tandem. but I would have traded something else cuz now they are still thin at center. Over all portland fleeced them. they got a young solid cheep big one cheap contract next year and a valuable pick in a valuable draft, for a big that while really good, they wanted to dump and not pay. portland won hands down. and Nurkic did not have the value they said he did, because they did not trade plumlee for nurkic. they traded plumless for the pick and got nurkic as filler for a 2018 seconds round pick which a denver poster just laughed at me about yesterday right here in this thread lol.


Nurkic might be better than Plumlee. PERIOD.

Dude needs to foul less and hit his FTs. At 22, he's 4 years younger than Plumlee.

Portland won that deal, easily, IMO.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#869 » by Dark Faze » Mon Feb 13, 2017 1:05 am

jokic being good has pretty clearly caused denver to lose their minds
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#870 » by pcbothwel » Mon Feb 13, 2017 1:12 am

mhd wrote:What about this trade:

Wiz trade 2017 1st+Nicholson for Aminu+2017 Cavs 1st?

Portland shaves some of their impending tax bill while moving up about 4-6 slots roughly in the draft. Wiz get a potential Lebron defender with size and mass.


I'd do that in a heart beat, but I dont see why PDX would. They could dump Aminu for free, or at the very least, get an expiring and a 1st.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#871 » by gambitx777 » Mon Feb 13, 2017 1:25 am

payitforward wrote:Not sure Aaron White will get them excited :) !! I don't like trading R2 picks (well... any picks!). But... dumping that Mahinmi salary... whooo, that'd be big.

However, Orlando will never do this deal. Look who's on their roster. What do they need Mahinmi for? Esp. w/ that contract!!

Well pif I'm going off the idea that they might move Biyombo at the dead line. In that case moving Jeff green and zimmerman for Mahinmi and a second makes some sense. Or mahinmi and anything else for Ibaka if they don't get any other takers. Obviously I see that they probably would not want mahinmi if they don't move Byiombo or Vucivic. But if they do, it would make a little sense. Mahinmi is on a slightly cheaper deal than Biyambo, and while a little older is in my opinion the better player.
They could definitely move biyembo for someone like, Chandler Parsons or Wesley matthews because those teams might be more interested in an over paid 24 year old who may or may not ever get better and maybe orlando just wants that contract moved and wouldn't mind taking a flying on an overpaid SG or SF who has the potential to get back to form. Its a possible scenario.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#872 » by payitforward » Mon Feb 13, 2017 1:53 am

gambitx777 wrote:
payitforward wrote:Not sure Aaron White will get them excited :) !! I don't like trading R2 picks (well... any picks!). But... dumping that Mahinmi salary... whooo, that'd be big.

However, Orlando will never do this deal. Look who's on their roster. What do they need Mahinmi for? Esp. w/ that contract!!

Well pif I'm going off the idea that they might move Biyombo at the dead line. In that case moving Jeff green and zimmerman for Mahinmi and a second makes some sense. Or mahinmi and anything else for Ibaka if they don't get any other takers. Obviously I see that they probably would not want mahinmi if they don't move Byiombo or Vucivic. But if they do, it would make a little sense. Mahinmi is on a slightly cheaper deal than Biyambo, and while a little older is in my opinion the better player.
They could definitely move biyembo for someone like, Chandler Parsons or Wesley matthews because those teams might be more interested in an over paid 24 year old who may or may not ever get better and maybe orlando just wants that contract moved and wouldn't mind taking a flying on an overpaid SG or SF who has the potential to get back to form. Its a possible scenario.

:) You are a determined cuss, gambit! Yes, I suppose if what you are asking is whether there is some combination of things that could happen in the world that might then lead Orlando (or any other team, while we're at it!) to wish to acquire Mahinmi at the deadline, I have to nod my head in agreement. How could that not be true?

But... c'mon man -- that's quite a scenario you lay out! But, how did Jeff Green & Zimmerman sneak into this picture? I'm not interested in trading anybody at all for Jeff Green who isn't a very good player.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#873 » by gambitx777 » Mon Feb 13, 2017 2:04 am

payitforward wrote:
gambitx777 wrote:
payitforward wrote:Not sure Aaron White will get them excited :) !! I don't like trading R2 picks (well... any picks!). But... dumping that Mahinmi salary... whooo, that'd be big.

However, Orlando will never do this deal. Look who's on their roster. What do they need Mahinmi for? Esp. w/ that contract!!

Well pif I'm going off the idea that they might move Biyombo at the dead line. In that case moving Jeff green and zimmerman for Mahinmi and a second makes some sense. Or mahinmi and anything else for Ibaka if they don't get any other takers. Obviously I see that they probably would not want mahinmi if they don't move Byiombo or Vucivic. But if they do, it would make a little sense. Mahinmi is on a slightly cheaper deal than Biyambo, and while a little older is in my opinion the better player.
They could definitely move biyembo for someone like, Chandler Parsons or Wesley matthews because those teams might be more interested in an over paid 24 year old who may or may not ever get better and maybe orlando just wants that contract moved and wouldn't mind taking a flying on an overpaid SG or SF who has the potential to get back to form. Its a possible scenario.

:) You are a determined cuss, gambit! Yes, I suppose if what you are asking is whether there is some combination of things that could happen in the world that might then lead Orlando (or any other team, while we're at it!) to wish to acquire Mahinmi at the deadline, I have to nod my head in agreement. How could that not be true?

But... c'mon man -- that's quite a scenario you lay out! But, how did Jeff Green & Zimmerman sneak into this picture? I'm not interested in trading anybody at all for Jeff Green who isn't a very good player.

Because Jeff green is an expiring contract that is the same money as mahinmi. and I really Like Zimmerman, I liked him back in UNLV a whole lot. Plus reports came out that orlando would gladly move Green for a cup of coffee if the deal came about. If they moved biyambo, and wee offered either mahinmi for green or Mahinmi, a second and maybe Aaron white for Jeff green and Zimmerman I don't see them saying no to it.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#874 » by Error Afflalo » Mon Feb 13, 2017 2:59 am

Green for Mahinmi is very tempting. Green sucks, but the opportunity to get out of Mahinmi's deal and have money to upgrade the bench in the offseason would be hard to pass up. We'd have more than $15 million in space after you account for Otto's cap hold and the 1st round pick's salary.

But then again, we'd have to worry about Ernie offering Green a big deal :roll:
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#875 » by mhd » Mon Feb 13, 2017 3:08 am

Orlando had the opportunity to sign Mahinmi in the off-season, and they passed (going for Biyombo instead). Doubt they would trade for him unless there is an incentive attached.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#876 » by NatP4 » Mon Feb 13, 2017 3:37 am

mhd wrote:Orlando had the opportunity to sign Mahinmi in the off-season, and they passed (going for Biyombo instead). Doubt they would trade for him unless there is an incentive attached.


I personally don't feel like the report about Mahinmi being available is true. I think the team is simply looking for a scorer off the bench in the backcourt. Alex Kennedy isn't always reliable.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#877 » by gambitx777 » Mon Feb 13, 2017 3:54 am

mhd wrote:Orlando had the opportunity to sign Mahinmi in the off-season, and they passed (going for Biyombo instead). Doubt they would trade for him unless there is an incentive attached.

thats the same as saying we passed on KD, we don't know if Orlando has interest in Mahinmi or not, We just don't know. We don't know if mahinmis camp even talked to them. Hell he was our third option, they might have only been taking calls from EG for all we know who knows.They might have soured on Biyambo like many teams have soured on their big money spends this year.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#878 » by gambitx777 » Mon Feb 13, 2017 3:55 am

NatP4 wrote:
mhd wrote:Orlando had the opportunity to sign Mahinmi in the off-season, and they passed (going for Biyombo instead). Doubt they would trade for him unless there is an incentive attached.


I personally don't feel like the report about Mahinmi being available is true. I think the team is simply looking for a scorer off the bench in the backcourt. Alex Kennedy isn't always reliable.

I really agree with that because EG rarely admits his mistakes.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#879 » by NatP4 » Mon Feb 13, 2017 5:19 am

Norman Powell and Caris Levert, are two guys that would be dream acquisitions for this team. wonder what the price would be
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXXII 

Post#880 » by gambitx777 » Mon Feb 13, 2017 5:29 am

So, apparently the blazers are desperate to trade Ezeli.
I wounder if they would take Mahinmi and a 2018 second or a 2019 first for Ezeli and Aminu? Ezeli is only garunteed 1 mill next year and Aminu would be a great back up for Morris. They are pretty thin at center? IDK. Could be something there.

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