tontoz wrote:Kanyewest wrote:tontoz wrote:Let's not forget that we were a game away from being sacrificial lambs for the Heat. We were fighting the Cats for playoff position and they beat us twice in the last 10 games. Luckily they managed to lose to a tanking Boston team.
Over the short term luck can have a big effect on a teams results. Over the long term luck evens out and over the long term EG has been garbage.
Wizards have been unlucky enough to play LeBron 3 times in the playoffs in the first round- so not playing LeBron this year in the first round balances out.
Lebron's Cavs teams were not as imposing as his Heat teams. And aging Big Z and Daniel Gibson aren't as tough as Wade/Bosh. That is why the Cavs were the 4th seed in 2 of those seasons.
I agree that this year's Miami's team is better. Still, the Cavs were a 3rd seed essentially in 2006. The Nets were the 3rd seed but only due the fact they were in the Atlantic division. Plus the Heat had Wade/Shaq and the Pistons were a 64 win team with a starting five that had won the NBA Championship, which that Cleveland team eventually took to 7 games.
The point being is that the Wizards finally got a favorable first round matchup, where they had the best player in the series, so their chances of advancing look greater. This year they have been lucky their postseason matchups not so much especially since they had to go against LeBron and had to deal with injuries a couple times with Gilbert and a few times with Butler.
Luck has had a factor if the Wizards advance against the Bulls who are without Derrick Rose and IMO wouldn't have traded Deng had Rose been healthy. Still, injuries are part of the game as Wizard fans are well familiar with.