NatP4 wrote:nate33 wrote:NatP4 wrote:Mikal Bridges is another good comparison although he went pro after his junior season. His FTA rate was even lower than Wagner.
Remember, younger than all 3 of Porter, Hayward, and Bridges, with a significantly lower usage rate.
Bridges is a terrific one on one defender though. Wagner is good defensively, but is he THAT good?
In college, Bridges had an extremely high USG% of 27% - well above Porter and Hayward and way above Wagner. His efficiency was lower than all of those guys too. It's interesting that he went on to become a prototypical low usage 3&D forward after being such a primary scorer in college.
I didn’t watch any of those guys for an extended amount of time in college, but Wagner is as good of a defensive player that I have watched in college basketball besides Mobley. He is THAT good. There are no holes in his defensive game. His lateral quickness is elite level. Instincts are off the charts, active hands and strong frame to guard bigs in the paint. He’s a better defensive player than Batum, Porter, and Hayward. Not sure if he’s as good 1 on 1 as Bridges. Tough to know as of now. Bridges has a 7’1 wingspan. Will have to wait and see what Wagner measures in at.
HUGE scouting opportunity this weekend when he goes against Scottie Barnes and FSU.
I would second the idea that Wagner is one of the players that will be undervalued if he is selected at the draft position he is mocked to be taken. As such if someone was trying to overpay to jump up to our lotto pick outside of the top 4, I'd be happy to listen to offers.
In my esteem you do need 2 key players on defense: the Inside-out mobile big who can defend the paint and the Pick&Roll equally well, and at least one long multi-tool perimeter defender with good lateral mobility and instinct who plays as well as a ball-stopper at the point of attack, does not have to switch to stay with the ball-handler, and helps well off the ball. Wagner does not have world class quick twitch speed, but even as a freshman he was one of the best defenders in the nation. His understanding of positioning and his anticipation of the play, and innate sense of angles/floor balance makes his teammates better on defense. On defense he has the sort of timing and game sense that the best Point Guards have on offense. That makes up for his lesser quick-twitch speed, since he is essentially has the whole scouting report updating in his head in real time.