Terpman, I've thought about it a couple days and I agree with you, 100%.
Faried will be a much better player than Singleton or Vesely.
Ernie got length and maturity and toughness, but he filled positions where he's already got starters that will not be displaced this season. Mack won't be an exceptional NBA player. He might be a solid backup. Singleton will be a good player but never great. I think the Washington will be lucky if he turns into a stronger Tayshaun Prince--but that will take a couple years. Vesely, IMO has the look of a guy who's going to find out that dunking on Euros and dunking on negroes (yeah, I went there because it rhymed) is two different things--they'll come back at you. I know Vesely will be a high-flier and a crowd pleaser, but the guy's not a shutdown cover guy and he's not a stud rebounder. I think he's going to be a give-and-take player. He'll give a highlight but he'll also be a lot like McGee--guys will come at him.
I think the draft night optimism and solid B grade and even a few A grades just don't take into consideration what other teams did. Miami added Cole--and I think he's leaps and bounds ahead of Mack. Their teams met three times. Cole scored 65 points (21.7), grabbed 19 rebounds(6.3), had 5 steals (1.7), and had 7 assists (2.3) and 7 turnovers (2.3). Mack's totals(avgs): 32 pts(10.7), 12 rebs(4.0), 1 stl(0.2), 11 asts(3.6), 9 tos(3.0).
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=310072086http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=310360325http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=310642086Mack is a guy who will defend and nail a three, but Cole is going to be a big-time stud on a Miami team that now has a complete PG. He plays well at both ends.
Boston added teammates JuJuan Johnson and E'Twuan Moore. Johnson will be a very good NBA scorer and he's just the type player the Cs need in their frontcourt. He is a complimentary scorer who will come in and get lots of open looks. Moore isn't a complete player but he's got deep range. Both of these guys can shoot. I predict Moore sticks in the NBA, too.
New Jersey added Brooks, who I personally think will be a stud scorer right away.
Folks are down on Cleveland for picking Tristan, but I think Tristan is an absolute stud defensively and will be a much better player than Vesely in time. Irving was the top pick and it wouldn't surprise me if despite not having Wall's athleticism that Irving doesn't run a team better and have altogether more effectiveness in immediately turning Cleveland around once Baron and Sessions are moved/benched.
My thoughts about the Wizards draft is they didn't get interior scoring and they didn't get better rebounding or better shooting (unless Mack displaces Crawford, Young, or Wall--and I don't see it). They got good, tough, wing defenders. Guys who can make life tougher for players like Melo, but they can't make them work hard defensively and they're a ways off being ready.
Sacramento added a bomber in Fredette to go along with a great slasher (Evans) and an emerging banger (Cousins). Shooting and rebounding are going to improve for that team.
Overall, this great draft will still result in a 30-35 win (max) team. Bye bye to Ernie and Flip is what I predict. Athleticism without skill, rebounding, or scoring efficiency will not translate to significantly more wins.
Tre Johnson is the future of the Wizards.