nate33 wrote:Dat2U wrote:nate33 wrote:I'm not as down on Walker as you, but I agree this would be horrible. Walker just isn't enough of a can't miss talent or fit to sacrifice capital in a trade up.
I think Walker's best upside might be Bam Adebayo, but given his far more inefficient scoring than Bam as a prospect, I think it is unlikely that Walker will get there. He's probably more of an Okongwu. I'd live with that type of pick at #8, but I wouldn't be all that excited about it. I certainly wouldn't move up to #6 for the next Okongwu
Walker is 6-6 1/2 in socks and your comparing him to Cs. He's interesting from an effort & IQ perspective but he screams low usage roll player. Folks have praised his ability to read & react as the short roller but realistically teams take away passing lanes if they know your not a legit offensive threat. He doesn't use his size or frame offensively, avoids contact and isn't a reliable shooter. I love the IQ & effort and that generally means a prospect with a safe floor and long career but the ceiling does not appear particularly high to me.
Good point about his height. He has crazy long arms though.
Anyhow, I'm basically in agreement with your lukewarm assessment of Walker. Ultimately, he's a little too small to play center, and I think he is a little too slow-footed to play forward. The hope is that he is the next Draymond, but every "next Draymond" since Draymond has not panned out. Draymond Green is an absolute savant on defense. Few guys in the history of the league grasp the mental aspects of defense as well as Draymond.
Slow footed? He was faster in both lane agility and 3/4 sprint than most of the guards at the combine. Despite at 250lbs being the combine's 2nd heaviest forward (6th heaviest weight, behind 4 centers).
Long armed quick players with a low center of gravity are commonly strong defenders. Front court players who post steals and assists also tend to have defense that translates at the next level.
Mostly I'm curious about his development. His role in college was dialed back from the game he showed in highschool. At IMG academy as a freshman he was noted for his complete game, inside finishing, heads-up passing, a nice handle for his size bringing the ball up the court or initiating off a rebound with a pass ahead. By his senior year he had added a mid-range game, which to be fair was more of an assortment of leaning fadeaway jumpers than an aggressive attack towards the lane. But still, it shows him in the workshop.
Then in Houston he added to his range and showed a developing outside shot as well.
A high energy player who loves the game and is a gym rat tends to see significant development over their career. The guy you see now is not the final product. Watch his IMG footage and you see him growing. I'd be concerned about Zion syndrome: a big boy jumping that high and making sharp cuts puts a ton of torque and shear force on his lower joints. But get him the right training regimen and his upside looks to me higher than he's getting credit for. Okay you can say Draymond is an outlier due to his intelligence. But I put Walker as a more muscular Scottie Barnes. Able to defend outside and in, with heads up full court awareness of the moment. Call that a role-player, fine, on offense, but on defense he will be involved in every play. At his apex I see him as a lynchpin defender on a championship team. Switchable small to big, whatever is needed.
Check out the precocious reads he was making as a Freshman at IMG:
Then check his game as a senior: