Is Grunfeld trying to create a Bizarro Warriors roster?
Posted: Wed Jul 20, 2016 5:49 pm
(Mods: feel free to merge w/ offseason thread, if you deem appropriate)
I've been thinking about the odd/unnecessary Jason Smith signing. Upon further reflection, it looks as if Egg is trying to create a Bizarro version of last year's GSW roster.
Starters
Wall and Beal are our bootleg version of Curry and Thompson. Different strengths and greater weaknesses, of course, but they're the building blocks of the team by default.
Porter is our Barnes: solid glue role-playing wing can slide down to the 4 in a pinch. He can't post up like Barnes (yet), but he has enough length to shoot over smaller defenders.
Morris is (ugh) Egg's best attempt at replicating Green. He's not nearly the playmaker or defender Green is. But, he can at least stretch the floor a little bit, and he can defend both burly 3s and small ball 5s.
Gortat is our Bogut: better offensively (at this stage of their respective careers), not as good defensively.
Bench
Mahinmi fills the Ezeli role (above-average defense-minded backup C) -- perhaps better than Ezeli. I'm guessing Egg wants Smith to fit the Speights role: stretch 5 who can occasionally get hot and hit 5-6 Js in a row -- but who's just as likely to get a DNP-CD.
Sato is our Livingston-in-training: 6'7" playmaker who can play 3 positions. Burke is our broke man's Barbosa: pace-pushing, score-first backup PG who lacks court vision. Thorton is our Rush: emergency backup SG who should only get minutes when something's gone wrong (or in blowouts).
Here's where things go off the rails (naturally) -- at least as it relates to emulating GSW's roster balance: we don't have anyone nearly as good, versatile, or as reliable as Iguoudala. Oubre is on a trajectory to be a good 3-and-D wing -- eventually. But he's no Iguodala, and doesn't project to have those kind of playmaking instincts any time soon. And, instead of spending big $ on a veteran SF to take minutes away from Oubre, Egg (over)spent on Mahinmi and invested in a backup PF in Nicholson. I get it, on a micro-level: Oubre is young and talented, so we might as well invest in his development. Of course, had we drafted a young big last year instead of Oubre, we wouldn't be in the predicament of having to groom a SF project behind a still-developing young SF. In comparison, GSW invested heavily in versatile SFs, which allowed them to skimp on backup PFs* (McAdoo, Looney) since Barnes and Iguodala play the bulk of their backup PF minutes.
All this said: I also question the wisdom of emulating the GSW's center rotation of Bogut/Ezeli/Speights without having the versatile Fs to compliment them. A one-dimensional guy like Speights looks like a million bucks surrounded by playmaking shooters at every other position; Smith will not have that luxury. Like virtually everyone else on the board, I'd have rather Egg have given Smith's money to a veteran stopgap backup SF. If we need shooting from the 5 in a pinch, we could always put in Morris (or even Nicholson) instead. But the big issue is that while Egg had a Plan B to restock the front court once we whiffed on Horford, he clearly didn't have a Plan B for the SF position -- which is a problem of his own creation thanks to last year's odd draft choice.
* of course, you could argue that GSW's lack of a quality backup PF came back to bite them in the Finals.
I've been thinking about the odd/unnecessary Jason Smith signing. Upon further reflection, it looks as if Egg is trying to create a Bizarro version of last year's GSW roster.
Starters
Wall and Beal are our bootleg version of Curry and Thompson. Different strengths and greater weaknesses, of course, but they're the building blocks of the team by default.
Porter is our Barnes: solid glue role-playing wing can slide down to the 4 in a pinch. He can't post up like Barnes (yet), but he has enough length to shoot over smaller defenders.
Morris is (ugh) Egg's best attempt at replicating Green. He's not nearly the playmaker or defender Green is. But, he can at least stretch the floor a little bit, and he can defend both burly 3s and small ball 5s.
Gortat is our Bogut: better offensively (at this stage of their respective careers), not as good defensively.
Bench
Mahinmi fills the Ezeli role (above-average defense-minded backup C) -- perhaps better than Ezeli. I'm guessing Egg wants Smith to fit the Speights role: stretch 5 who can occasionally get hot and hit 5-6 Js in a row -- but who's just as likely to get a DNP-CD.
Sato is our Livingston-in-training: 6'7" playmaker who can play 3 positions. Burke is our broke man's Barbosa: pace-pushing, score-first backup PG who lacks court vision. Thorton is our Rush: emergency backup SG who should only get minutes when something's gone wrong (or in blowouts).
Here's where things go off the rails (naturally) -- at least as it relates to emulating GSW's roster balance: we don't have anyone nearly as good, versatile, or as reliable as Iguoudala. Oubre is on a trajectory to be a good 3-and-D wing -- eventually. But he's no Iguodala, and doesn't project to have those kind of playmaking instincts any time soon. And, instead of spending big $ on a veteran SF to take minutes away from Oubre, Egg (over)spent on Mahinmi and invested in a backup PF in Nicholson. I get it, on a micro-level: Oubre is young and talented, so we might as well invest in his development. Of course, had we drafted a young big last year instead of Oubre, we wouldn't be in the predicament of having to groom a SF project behind a still-developing young SF. In comparison, GSW invested heavily in versatile SFs, which allowed them to skimp on backup PFs* (McAdoo, Looney) since Barnes and Iguodala play the bulk of their backup PF minutes.
All this said: I also question the wisdom of emulating the GSW's center rotation of Bogut/Ezeli/Speights without having the versatile Fs to compliment them. A one-dimensional guy like Speights looks like a million bucks surrounded by playmaking shooters at every other position; Smith will not have that luxury. Like virtually everyone else on the board, I'd have rather Egg have given Smith's money to a veteran stopgap backup SF. If we need shooting from the 5 in a pinch, we could always put in Morris (or even Nicholson) instead. But the big issue is that while Egg had a Plan B to restock the front court once we whiffed on Horford, he clearly didn't have a Plan B for the SF position -- which is a problem of his own creation thanks to last year's odd draft choice.
* of course, you could argue that GSW's lack of a quality backup PF came back to bite them in the Finals.