RealGM

No time for major analysis the next couple weeks, but…here’s the Player Production Average update. It’s not pretty.

Player GMS MPG LW PPA
Otto Porter 12 35.3 173 177
John Wall 10 33.1 168 167
Marcin Gortat 12 34.8 135 146
Danuel House 1 1.0 119
Bradley Beal 9 32.1 66 92
Sheldon McClellan 6 12.7 478 88
Markieff Morris 12 31.0 67 78
Tomas Satoransky 12 19.3 18 43
Marcus Thornton 12 21.4 31 41
Andrew Nicholson 9 11.1 33 35
Trey Burke 10 13.0 -48 28
Kelly Oubre 11 13.5 18 17
Jason Smith 11 10.9 -93 -42
Daniel Ochefu 3 2.7 -181 -119
The NBA is still mostly in Small Sample Size Theater, but they’re closing in on the “it’s real” portion of the early season.

Good news: Otto Porter and John Wall have been outstanding, though I remain concerned with Wall’s stratospheric turnover rate. Marcin Gortat has been good despite a radical drop in his usage rate vs. his career norms. The other starters (Bradley Beal and Markieff Morris) both rate below average, but at least improved since the first update.

The bad news: every other player in the rotation rates at or below replacement level.

The team actually has played a difficult schedule (about 1.09 points per game tougher than average). Unfortunately, they’ve been outscored by 3.42 points per game, suggesting the Wizards have been 2.33 points per game worse than average. Overall, they’ve played at about the level of a 32-win team over an 82-game season — just a little behind the 34.5* wins per season they’ve averaged under the leadership of Ernie Grunfeld.

* This includes pro-rating 2011-12, the lockout-shortened 66-game season, to an 82-game schedule.

payitforward wrote:Some long-time stalwarts seem to have gone missing over the last months. Do we need to send out a search party?

I'll name the two most obvious to me:

LyricalRico
The Secret Weapon, AKA Nivek -- i.e. Kevin

What's become of them? Gone fishing? Gone forever? Gonna be back any day now?

Add to the list please -- but don't add yourself to that number, ok?

Wizardspride wrote:

payitforward wrote:Some long-time stalwarts seem to have gone missing over the last months. Do we need to send out a search party?

I'll name the two most obvious to me:

LyricalRico
The Secret Weapon, AKA Nivek -- i.e. Kevin

What's become of them? Gone fishing? Gone forever? Gonna be back any day now?

Add to the list please -- but don't add yourself to that number, ok?

Many of the MIA guys are posting at a different site now

payitforward wrote:You sent him a PM?

Ruzious wrote:I think/hope Rico just needed a break from the negativity and will be back when things lighten up here.

Ruzious wrote:I think/hope Rico just needed a break from the negativity and will be back when things lighten up here.

payitforward wrote:Some long-time stalwarts seem to have gone missing over the last months. Do we need to send out a search party?

I'll name the two most obvious to me:

LyricalRico
The Secret Weapon, AKA Nivek -- i.e. Kevin

What's become of them? Gone fishing? Gone forever? Gonna be back any day now?

Add to the list please -- but don't add yourself to that number, ok?

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:

Ruzious wrote:I think/hope Rico just needed a break from the negativity and will be back when things lighten up here.

The truth about Ernie IS negative.

closg00 wrote:

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:

Ruzious wrote:I think/hope Rico just needed a break from the negativity and will be back when things lighten up here.

The truth about Ernie IS negative.

Even Rico can no-longer defend the indefensible, he's better off with Hands over at BF.

montestewart wrote:Why not just have someone on the board who only talks about hot dogs, the frail connection to the team being a hot dog he got at Capital Center in the 70s.

closg00 wrote:

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:

Ruzious wrote:I think/hope Rico just needed a break from the negativity and will be back when things lighten up here.

The truth about Ernie IS negative.

Even Rico can no-longer defend the indefensible, he's better off with Hands over at BF.

AFM wrote:

payitforward wrote:You sent him a PM?

No, I commented on his blog.

payitforward wrote:

AFM wrote:

payitforward wrote:You sent him a PM?

No, I commented on his blog.

I can see why he saves long analysis for the blog, but I wish that when he writes there he'd make a point of coming over here and pointing to what he's written.

I wish there was a "contact" link at his site. I'd remind him that you see the same people on the way down that you saw on the way up. We are actually Kevin's core "audience." Bad marketing to ignore your core audience. They start to feel jilted.

We miss you, Kev. C'mon back -- it's not too late!

montestewart wrote:

closg00 wrote:

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:

The truth about Ernie IS negative.

Even Rico can no-longer defend the indefensible, he's better off with Hands over at BF.

I'm missing LyricalRico's positivity and Nivek's YODA-based realism. Some other posters I like but see little or nothing of these days: Tyrone Messby, Spence, fugop, Higga, cdouglas, mhd, barelyawake, BruceO, and I'm surely forgetting a bunch.

WTA, well, I kind of miss a lot of the old DC too, so I didn't mind some of his way-back machine posts, but what a one-track mind he has. Why not just have someone on the board who only talks about hot dogs, the frail connection to the team being a hot dog he got at Capital Center in the 70s.