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Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season

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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#141 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Wed Mar 7, 2018 10:31 pm

FAH1223's prediction is looking good ATM

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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#142 » by closg00 » Thu Mar 8, 2018 1:09 pm

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:FAH1223's prediction is looking good ATM

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45 - FAH1223, tontoz, closg00
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#143 » by Wiz99 » Thu Mar 8, 2018 2:29 pm

Doesn’t a .569 winning % over a 82 game season convert to 47 wins?

47: Mikethekid, TheBabyMaker
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#144 » by dckingsfan » Tue Mar 13, 2018 2:05 am

Wins
62 - payitforward
60 - BearlyBallin
58 - montestewart
57 - Dark Faze, ClutchDJ
56 - stevemcqueen1
55 - bsilver, CobraCommander
54 - Wizardspride, CntOutSmrtCrazy, WizTom, dobrojim

53 - dangermouse, JWizmentality, NatP4, zero2hero, wizfan1984
52 - MOrgil, diaboliQ_Mo, queridiculo, Mojo Amok, nuposse04, stilldropin20, Halcyon
51 - J-Ves, europeanfan, keynote, DANNYLANDOVER, nate33, SizzlinSimms, Dat2U
50 - Sluggerface, Tricky_Kid, Ruzious, Illmatic12, cammac, benb331, dlts20
49 - HoopsMalone, m1chal, Kanyewest
48 - DCZards, youngWizzy, Rafael122
47 - MikeTheKid, TheBabyMaker
46 - BigA, gesa2, miller31time, DCKingsFan
45 - FAH1223, tontoz, closg00
44 - tkunit, Wiz99, JAR69
42 - long suffrin' boulez fan
41 - verbal8
40 - Chocolate City Jordanaire
38 - Zonkerbl
31 - WallToWall

Eastern Conference Standings

1st - CobraCommander, stevemcqueen1, montestewart, BearlyBallin
2nd - NatP4, DANNYLANDOVER, bsilver, nuposse04, CntOutSmrtCrazy, J-Ves, Wizardspride, Mojo Amok, WizTom, ClutchDJ, dobrojim
3rd - keynote, Ruzious, Illmatic12, m1chal, JWizmentality, benb331, nate33, MikeTheKid, DCZards, Halcyon, wizfan1984, Rafael122, Kanyewest, diaboliQ_Mo
4th - BigA, tkunit, stilldropin20, TheBabyMaker, gesa2, JAR69, closg00
5th - Wiz99, FAH1223, DCKingsFan
6th - verbal8
8th - Chocolate City Jordanaire
No Playoffs - Zonkerbl
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#145 » by payitforward » Wed Mar 14, 2018 2:20 am

After a very tough & damaging loss to Minny tonight, the Wizards are in 5th place w/ 14 games to go -- 7 at home & 7 on the road. We're 1 game behind Cleveland -- they play Phoenix tonight -- & 1 game ahead of Philadelphia after their loss to Indy this evening.

Anything can happen of course, but looking at schedules, it might be tough to stay ahead of the Sixers who have an easier road home by far than we do. Our best bet to stay #5 might be if Cleveland continues to falter. Alternatively, we'll have to win some tough road games.

We project to just under 46 wins; to get to 46 we have to go 8-6 against a tough schedule. Beating Boston tomorrow would be big, but it's a road game vs. an extremely good team as the back end of a back to back... going to be tough. They're pretty beat up, however, which might make it possible.

After tomorrow, we have 3 more back to backs. A grind for sure.

46 wins looks very tough indeed. :(

We are 8 games above .500 after 68 games. After 14 games, we were 4 games over .500. In the last 54 games, we're 4 games over .500. & that includes a stretch where we went 10-3 w/o John Wall. Given the rest of our opponents & 3 more back to backs... I think it'll be an accomplishment if we go 7-7 for 45 wins.
Breaking News: In a shocking development, Wizards owner Ted Leonsis has sold the NBA franchise to a consortium of participants in a discussion board devoted to the team on realgm.com. Details to follow....
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#146 » by dckingsfan » Wed Mar 14, 2018 3:14 am

payitforward wrote:After a very tough & damaging loss to Minny tonight, the Wizards are in 5th place w/ 14 games to go -- 7 at home & 7 on the road. We're 1 game behind Cleveland -- they play Phoenix tonight -- & 1 game ahead of Philadelphia after their loss to Indy this evening.

Anything can happen of course, but looking at schedules, it might be tough to stay ahead of the Sixers who have an easier road home by far than we do. Our best bet to stay #5 might be if Cleveland continues to falter. Alternatively, we'll have to win some tough road games.

We project to just under 46 wins; to get to 46 we have to go 8-6 against a tough schedule. Beating Boston tomorrow would be big, but it's a road game vs. an extremely good team as the back end of a back to back... going to be tough. They're pretty beat up, however, which might make it possible.

After tomorrow, we have 3 more back to backs. A grind for sure.

46 wins looks very tough indeed. :(

We are 8 games above .500 after 68 games. After 14 games, we were 4 games over .500. In the last 54 games, we're 4 games over .500. & that includes a stretch where we went 10-3 w/o John Wall. Given the rest of our opponents & 3 more back to backs... I think it'll be an accomplishment if we go 7-7 for 45 wins.

We need 8-6 to get the 5th seed :)
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#147 » by dckingsfan » Fri Mar 16, 2018 4:12 pm

Wins
62 - payitforward
60 - BearlyBallin
58 - montestewart
57 - Dark Faze, ClutchDJ
56 - stevemcqueen1
55 - bsilver, CobraCommander
54 - Wizardspride, CntOutSmrtCrazy, WizTom, dobrojim

53 - dangermouse, JWizmentality, NatP4, zero2hero, wizfan1984
52 - MOrgil, diaboliQ_Mo, queridiculo, Mojo Amok, nuposse04, stilldropin20, Halcyon
51 - J-Ves, europeanfan, keynote, DANNYLANDOVER, nate33, SizzlinSimms, Dat2U
50 - Sluggerface, Tricky_Kid, Ruzious, Illmatic12, cammac, benb331, dlts20
49 - HoopsMalone, m1chal, Kanyewest
48 - DCZards, youngWizzy, Rafael122
47 - MikeTheKid, TheBabyMaker
46 - BigA, gesa2, miller31time, DCKingsFan
45 - FAH1223, tontoz, closg00
44 - tkunit, Wiz99, JAR69
42 - long suffrin' boulez fan
41 - verbal8
40 - Chocolate City Jordanaire
38 - Zonkerbl
31 - WallToWall


Eastern Conference Standings

1st - CobraCommander, stevemcqueen1, montestewart, BearlyBallin
2nd - NatP4, DANNYLANDOVER, bsilver, nuposse04, CntOutSmrtCrazy, J-Ves, Wizardspride, Mojo Amok, WizTom, ClutchDJ, dobrojim
3rd - keynote, Ruzious, Illmatic12, m1chal, JWizmentality, benb331, nate33, MikeTheKid, DCZards, Halcyon, wizfan1984, Rafael122, Kanyewest, diaboliQ_Mo
4th - BigA, tkunit, stilldropin20, TheBabyMaker, gesa2, JAR69, closg00
5th - Wiz99, FAH1223, DCKingsFan
6th - verbal8
8th - Chocolate City Jordanaire
No Playoffs - Zonkerbl
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#148 » by dckingsfan » Sun Mar 18, 2018 2:18 am

Wins
62 - payitforward
60 - BearlyBallin
58 - montestewart
57 - Dark Faze, ClutchDJ
56 - stevemcqueen1
55 - bsilver, CobraCommander
54 - Wizardspride, CntOutSmrtCrazy, WizTom, dobrojim

53 - dangermouse, JWizmentality, NatP4, zero2hero, wizfan1984
52 - MOrgil, diaboliQ_Mo, queridiculo, Mojo Amok, nuposse04, stilldropin20, Halcyon
51 - J-Ves, europeanfan, keynote, DANNYLANDOVER, nate33, SizzlinSimms, Dat2U
50 - Sluggerface, Tricky_Kid, Ruzious, Illmatic12, cammac, benb331, dlts20
49 - HoopsMalone, m1chal, Kanyewest
48 - DCZards, youngWizzy, Rafael122
47 - MikeTheKid, TheBabyMaker
46 - BigA, gesa2, miller31time, DCKingsFan
45 - FAH1223, tontoz, closg00
44 - tkunit, Wiz99, JAR69
42 - long suffrin' boulez fan
41 - verbal8
40 - Chocolate City Jordanaire
38 - Zonkerbl
31 - WallToWall


Eastern Conference Standings

1st - CobraCommander, stevemcqueen1, montestewart, BearlyBallin
2nd - NatP4, DANNYLANDOVER, bsilver, nuposse04, CntOutSmrtCrazy, J-Ves, Wizardspride, Mojo Amok, WizTom, ClutchDJ, dobrojim
3rd - keynote, Ruzious, Illmatic12, m1chal, JWizmentality, benb331, nate33, MikeTheKid, DCZards, Halcyon, wizfan1984, Rafael122, Kanyewest, diaboliQ_Mo
4th - BigA, tkunit, stilldropin20, TheBabyMaker, gesa2, JAR69, closg00
5th - Wiz99, FAH1223, DCKingsFan
6th - verbal8
8th - Chocolate City Jordanaire
No Playoffs - Zonkerbl
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#149 » by dckingsfan » Sun Mar 18, 2018 2:20 am

With 70 games in the books - your Washington Wizards are 40 & 30, sporting a .571 winning percentage on pace for 47 games. MikeTheKid & TheBabyMaker are your leaders going into the final 12 games.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#150 » by verbal8 » Sun Mar 18, 2018 3:35 pm

I am glad to see my pessimistic win prediction should soon be eliminated.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#151 » by Nigel Tufnel » Mon Mar 19, 2018 5:56 pm

Loving the schedule this week. Saturday - Wednesday - Friday. Yes, they have to fly to SA for a likely loss, but lots of rest time for Wall and especially Beal.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#152 » by Shanghai Kid » Mon Mar 19, 2018 7:07 pm

I don't think our schedule is that bad.

I'm feeling a repeat 49 win season and 4th seed again.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#153 » by nate33 » Mon Mar 19, 2018 7:40 pm

Remaining Games:

@San Antonio Spurs
Denver Nuggets
New York Knicks
San Antonio Spurs
@Detroit Pistons
Charlotte Hornets
@Chicago Bulls
@Houston Rockets
@Cleveland Cavaliers
Atlanta Hawks
Boston Celtics
@Orlando Magic

- There are 4 games against tanking teams: NY, @CHI, ATL and @ORL.

- There are 2 games against out-of-playoff-contention teams that may not be tanking but probably won't play their best: @DET and CHA.

- There are 4 games against motivated playoff teams fighting for position: @SAN, DEN, SAN, @CLEV.

- There are 2 games against playoff teams who will likely have their position sewn up and may rest players: @HOU and BOS.

We should win all 6 of the games in the first two groups, but let's assume we screw up and lose 1 of them. I figure we will win 1 of the 4 games against motivated playoff teams. And we have a good chance of beating one of the good playoff teams resting starters. That means 7 more wins. So I'm guessing 47-35 is our final record.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#154 » by nate33 » Mon Mar 19, 2018 9:10 pm

Bullets Forever has a good breakdown of the 4-team race in the East for the 3-6 seeds.

The bottom line is that the Wizards really can't afford to let up. They need that 3rd seed so they can face Indiana in the first round followed by Boston in the 2nd round. If they finish 4th or 5th, they'll end up facing Philly or Cleveland in the first round, and Toronto in the 2nd round. Ouch.

Hmmm. It'll be interesting to see if we end up in a tank battle with Indy in the last 2 or 3 games in an effort to drop to the 6th seed, which looks like an easier path than the 5th seed.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#155 » by queridiculo » Tue Mar 20, 2018 9:31 am

I think Washington splits with the Spurs, drops one out of Knicks, Hornets, Pistons, Bulls, drops both against the Cavs and Rockets, beats the Celtics and Hawks and the Magic game is probably a toss up based on whether there's anything to be gained in the standings.

That's 46-36 and probably puts the Wizards in the sixth seed.

Personally, I wouldn't mind seeing Washington drop one or two of their winnable games to drop all the way to 7th.

I could see a healthy Wizards squad eliminate Boston in the first round in as little as 5 games.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#156 » by queridiculo » Tue Mar 20, 2018 9:34 am

Nigel Tufnel wrote:Loving the schedule this week. Saturday - Wednesday - Friday. Yes, they have to fly to SA for a likely loss, but lots of rest time for Wall and especially Beal.


At some point you figure the Wizards are going to get a win in San Antonio, no?

It's been what, nearly 20 years? Mind-boggling.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#157 » by nate33 » Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:46 am

queridiculo wrote:
Nigel Tufnel wrote:Loving the schedule this week. Saturday - Wednesday - Friday. Yes, they have to fly to SA for a likely loss, but lots of rest time for Wall and especially Beal.


At some point you figure the Wizards are going to get a win in San Antonio, no?

It's been what, nearly 20 years? Mind-boggling.

San Antonio doesn't boggle my mind nearly as much as Dallas. At least San Antonio has been essentially a 60-win team for that entire 18-year stretch. The last time we beat them in San Antonio was the last time they weren't an elite team. It's not so much that San Antonio owns us specifically. They pretty much have owned all of the bad/mediocre teams in the league. If they beat bad/mediocre teams at home 90% of the time, it's just a matter of statistical probability that a handful of those bad/mediocre teams are going to have a very long streak of losses.

Dallas has beaten us, home and away, in 15 of the last 16 meetings, and Dallas hasn't even been very good since 2011. They won 22, 33, 42, 50, 49 and 41 games in the last 6 seasons respectively but still manage to beat us every time. We have legitimately been BETTER than Dallas for the last 3 years, but still have managed to lose all 3 of our HOME games against them. How does that happen?
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#158 » by nuposse04 » Tue Mar 20, 2018 5:36 pm

nate33 wrote:
queridiculo wrote:
Nigel Tufnel wrote:Loving the schedule this week. Saturday - Wednesday - Friday. Yes, they have to fly to SA for a likely loss, but lots of rest time for Wall and especially Beal.


At some point you figure the Wizards are going to get a win in San Antonio, no?

It's been what, nearly 20 years? Mind-boggling.

San Antonio doesn't boggle my mind nearly as much as Dallas. At least San Antonio has been essentially a 60-win team for that entire 18-year stretch. The last time we beat them in San Antonio was the last time they weren't an elite team. It's not so much that San Antonio owns us specifically. They pretty much have owned all of the bad/mediocre teams in the league. If they beat bad/mediocre teams at home 90% of the time, it's just a matter of statistical probability that a handful of those bad/mediocre teams are going to have a very long streak of losses.

Dallas has beaten us, home and away, in 15 of the last 16 meetings, and Dallas hasn't even been very good since 2011. They won 22, 33, 42, 50, 49 and 41 games in the last 6 seasons respectively but still manage to beat us every time. We have legitimately been BETTER than Dallas for the last 3 years, but still have managed to lose all 3 of our HOME games against them. How does that happen?


Carlisle is pretty much our daddy regardless of who runs this team. :nonono:

Of the games remaining, the only one that seems like a sure fire loss is the home against CHA :lol:

Things could potentially change if when Wall comes back he displaces Sessions and we still get 25+ mins of Sato a night. Kudos to the team for maintaining the record they have but they need a jolt of energy.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#159 » by dckingsfan » Sat Mar 24, 2018 1:59 pm

Wins
62 - payitforward
60 - BearlyBallin
58 - montestewart
57 - Dark Faze, ClutchDJ
56 - stevemcqueen1
55 - bsilver, CobraCommander
54 - Wizardspride, CntOutSmrtCrazy, WizTom, dobrojim
53 - dangermouse, JWizmentality, NatP4, zero2hero, wizfan1984
52 - MOrgil, diaboliQ_Mo, queridiculo, Mojo Amok, nuposse04, stilldropin20, Halcyon
51 - J-Ves, europeanfan, keynote, DANNYLANDOVER, nate33, SizzlinSimms, Dat2U

50 - Sluggerface, Tricky_Kid, Ruzious, Illmatic12, cammac, benb331, dlts20
49 - HoopsMalone, m1chal, Kanyewest
48 - DCZards, youngWizzy, Rafael122
47 - MikeTheKid, TheBabyMaker
46 - BigA, gesa2, miller31time, DCKingsFan
45 - FAH1223, tontoz, closg00
44 - tkunit, Wiz99, JAR69
42 - long suffrin' boulez fan
41 - verbal8
40 - Chocolate City Jordanaire
38 - Zonkerbl
31 - WallToWall


Eastern Conference Standings

1st - CobraCommander, stevemcqueen1, montestewart, BearlyBallin
2nd - NatP4, DANNYLANDOVER, bsilver, nuposse04, CntOutSmrtCrazy, J-Ves, Wizardspride, Mojo Amok, WizTom, ClutchDJ, dobrojim
3rd - keynote, Ruzious, Illmatic12, m1chal, JWizmentality, benb331, nate33, MikeTheKid, DCZards, Halcyon, wizfan1984, Rafael122, Kanyewest, diaboliQ_Mo
4th - BigA, tkunit, stilldropin20, TheBabyMaker, gesa2, JAR69, closg00
5th - Wiz99, FAH1223, DCKingsFan
6th - verbal8
8th - Chocolate City Jordanaire
No Playoffs - Zonkerbl
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '17-'18 season 

Post#160 » by BigA » Mon Mar 26, 2018 11:47 am

verbal8 wrote:I am glad to see my pessimistic win prediction should soon be eliminated.

Not so fast, my friend.

Also, interesting that nobody had 43 wins.

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