Post#849 » by payitforward » Thu Feb 15, 2018 4:55 pm
The Illmatic / Nat debate was sorta interesting -- & I'm glad that the tone of it settled down.
Everybody was right about something. There is no question that Holiday has had a better year than Wall. & there's also no question that Wall has been a better player than Holiday over their careers.
OTOH, Wall is overrated by a lot of people on this board. There's a tendency to rate him based on his best & to ignore his worst. That's what leads to people thinking, for example, that he's better than Kyle Lowry when in fact he's not nearly as good as Kyle Lowry.
The NBA offers two distinct things: entertainment & competition. Sometimes the guys who offer the most entertainment aren't necessarily having the biggest effect on the results of competition.
John Wall had a terrific season last year, his best season. But even last year, there were at least 6 PGs who were quite a bit better than he: Chris Paul, James Harden, Russell Westbrook, Lowry, Mike Conley & Steph Curry. & IT, Teague & Rubio were at least as good as Wall last year.
As to Porter, like Wall (& like Beal too for that matter) he's not having as good a season this year as last. That's why we're not as good a team as last year -- even though our bench is a good deal better than last year's.
But, Porter & Beal are only off a little this year. Wall has been off a lot. No doubt we can attribute it to injuries.
Still, even at his best, Porter doesn't contribute to the "entertainment" half of what the NBA offers in the way Wall does. But he contributes a lot to the "competition" half. Even last year, in Wall's best season, John contributed more to winning games (per minutes on the floor) than John.
Note that in a statement like the one I just made, opinions don't enter in at all, not in any way: that's what the numbers say; & numbers win games. Numbers & nothing else.
All the same it's a lot more likely that we will trade Porter than Wall. Or Porter than Beal. Even if we preferred to trade Wall, his mega-contract will make it hard.
Between Otto & Brad, however, it would make much more sense to trade Beal. On the numbers Porter is the better player. They're both really good shooters. Porter is a little better percentage-wise but doesn't shoot as much -- but overall everything else he does is much more impactful than Beal. Yet, I think we'd get more back for Beal.
So, best would be to trade Wall. 2d best would be to trade Beal. Worst would be to trade Porter -- which, no surprise, is almost certainly what Ernie will do.
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