pcbothwel wrote: gtn130 wrote:
nate33 wrote:People are overstating the gravity of the situation. The team isn't going to implode because of Wall's contract. It will make it difficult to add any significant talent via free agency, but they'll be able to retain their own. And as you said, Mahinmi can be stretched so that his $15.5M contract only costs $5.2M.
What happens if Wall loses 5% of his athletic ability due to age/injury? Suddenly the Wizards are capped at ~38 wins. They could offload Porter and Beal and rebuild with Wall on the books, I suppose, but it still makes that contract a pretty bad situation. The sky isn't falling, but I don't see how ultimately that contract will be a positive or even neutral asset.
Same can probably be said for RWB and OKC but they're generally in a better spot than the Wizards.
nate33 wrote:We certainly don't need to make any panic trades like dumping Beal, but I do think it's time to calmly consider a reload trade where we accept a year or two of being out of the playoffs in exchange for more young talent and a better salary situation (i.e. trade Wall).
Would be in favor of this, but it would require a massive cultural shift starting with Ted changing his thinking.
His athletic advantage/dependence is obvious, but overstated. He is 6'4 and 210 lbs with a massive wingspan. You can see how is game is already maturing as he is getting better at post ups (Both scoring and passing out of it) and finishing through contact.
As he ages and loses speed (only marginal..hes not 35), he will get more savvy at using his size and strength.
As long as he can hit a 3 at a decent rate (35%), then I think we'll be just fine.
Agreed. His knee is definitely an injury concern, but I'm not that worried with his overall quickness and athleticism. These days, with better nutrition and training, guys don't really decline until at least 32, which is when Wall's contract is up.
People are acting like Wall is some kind of albatross contract like Noah or Melo. It's just not the case. We're talking about a 5-time all star who was 2nd team all NBA just 2 years ago. He's a legit star who puts butts in seats. I can see why some of the analytics driven franchises like Houston, San Antonio or Toronto would think he's overrated, but there are lots of teams like New York, Sacramento and Brooklyn who would gladly take him just to be relevant again.
Heck, even after watching for 8 years and knowing all of his flaws, I can talk myself into thinking that he just needs the right coaching and right system to succeed. Even in this generally awful season, he has been getting into the lane at will (now that he is surrounded by outside shooting). His percentage of shots at the rim has increased from 31% last year to a whopping 45% this year and his FT rate has increased from 36% to 48%! He is 2nd in the league (behind De'Aaron Fox) among non-centers is FT rate. Wall's only real weakness this year has been the uncharacteristically low 3P%. If he shot his career average 3P% this year, his overall TS% would be a career high 57%
Also, as Dat2U constantly points out, the man shows up for the playoffs. He has legit alpha talent. He's not a smoke-and-mirrors talent created out of scheme and execution that falls on his face when a team has time to scout him (like Lowry or Dragic).