Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XXXVIII
Posted: Sun Sep 13, 2020 4:53 pm
PIF... You're getting to specific. Im talking about the general attitude and valuation around the league. Pointing out Euro players like Bonga and Doncic gets a bit more complicated... Also, Draymond was considered a swiss army knife, not a traditional big, so not sure what your point is.
Its simple. When a prospect is considered a limited ceiling prospect, guards and wings will always go higher than Bigs. There are plenty of reasons as to why this is the case, but numbers (Demand) seems to be the most obvious. You can only have so many players in the league that can only guard 1 position (And an increasingly rare position) without having some sort of elite offensive upside.
Also, going back to 2012 seems a bit disingenuous as the league has drastically changed since then.
Again, I pointed out Valentine, Vassell, Bey, Robinson, etc. All players who in skill set and/or age were perceived to be solid players, but never top 3 options on a high end playoff team, let alone all stars. And they were taken in the top half of the 1st round.
I just don't see bigs falling the same category.
Its allocation of resources. You cant have a 5-only player on the team (Bamba) with another 5-only player (Bryant) and expect to get a quality return on your investment. You claim Rui is a PF only... so would you prefer Bryant guarding a stretch 4, or Rui guarding a 3?
If you pick the former, I feel you are just digging in at this point. Both are below average defenders (Though Rui is probably a bit worse at this stage), yet you damn well know that he could at least make some solid plays guarding the perimeter whereas Bryant would look foolish guarding them.
I dont see why this that controversial. There are only so many minutes at the 5 spot available and the skill set required to be effective there is far cheaper and widely available than other skill sets.
You think Boston took even a slight hit from going from Horford to Theis?
CCJ already pointed out how good Jalen Smith looks along with his improvements from his freshman year. Nothing about his age or statline would lead you to believe he should be drafted behind Avdija, Josh Green, or Sadiq Bey... but all three are quite likely to do so. Why?
Because if it is believed Smith can only guard 5's at an average to above average level while having little to no projection on the perimeter, then his value is depressed...
Again... look at Reggie Perry, Vernon Carey, Isaiah Stewart... Their age & production is clearly a lotto pick 10-12 years ago, but now they are projected behind Maxey (Who you rightfully point out is older and less productive), Josh Green, and Cole Anthony.
Also... Im unclear of your Gary Clark reference. I liked him coming out, but more productive? The guy turns 26 in 2 months, which makes him 2.5 years older than an "Older" prospect like Robinson and 5 years older than a young one like Troy Brown!
And even then, Clark has been thoroughly underwhelming in his small sample size with negative BPM & On/Off numbers along with middling stats.
Its simple. When a prospect is considered a limited ceiling prospect, guards and wings will always go higher than Bigs. There are plenty of reasons as to why this is the case, but numbers (Demand) seems to be the most obvious. You can only have so many players in the league that can only guard 1 position (And an increasingly rare position) without having some sort of elite offensive upside.
Also, going back to 2012 seems a bit disingenuous as the league has drastically changed since then.
Again, I pointed out Valentine, Vassell, Bey, Robinson, etc. All players who in skill set and/or age were perceived to be solid players, but never top 3 options on a high end playoff team, let alone all stars. And they were taken in the top half of the 1st round.
I just don't see bigs falling the same category.
Its allocation of resources. You cant have a 5-only player on the team (Bamba) with another 5-only player (Bryant) and expect to get a quality return on your investment. You claim Rui is a PF only... so would you prefer Bryant guarding a stretch 4, or Rui guarding a 3?
If you pick the former, I feel you are just digging in at this point. Both are below average defenders (Though Rui is probably a bit worse at this stage), yet you damn well know that he could at least make some solid plays guarding the perimeter whereas Bryant would look foolish guarding them.
I dont see why this that controversial. There are only so many minutes at the 5 spot available and the skill set required to be effective there is far cheaper and widely available than other skill sets.
You think Boston took even a slight hit from going from Horford to Theis?
CCJ already pointed out how good Jalen Smith looks along with his improvements from his freshman year. Nothing about his age or statline would lead you to believe he should be drafted behind Avdija, Josh Green, or Sadiq Bey... but all three are quite likely to do so. Why?
Because if it is believed Smith can only guard 5's at an average to above average level while having little to no projection on the perimeter, then his value is depressed...
Again... look at Reggie Perry, Vernon Carey, Isaiah Stewart... Their age & production is clearly a lotto pick 10-12 years ago, but now they are projected behind Maxey (Who you rightfully point out is older and less productive), Josh Green, and Cole Anthony.
Also... Im unclear of your Gary Clark reference. I liked him coming out, but more productive? The guy turns 26 in 2 months, which makes him 2.5 years older than an "Older" prospect like Robinson and 5 years older than a young one like Troy Brown!
And even then, Clark has been thoroughly underwhelming in his small sample size with negative BPM & On/Off numbers along with middling stats.