Illuminaire wrote:For perspective, the player Rui might become...
...would be an improvement over the level he is at right now.
...would almost certainly be a better player than Kieff. In fact, forget the almost: Markieff Morris has had only 2 or 3 years when he was better than Rui was as a rookie.
...& could be terrific: why not?
But, how about asking whether he could be as good as some other young 4s? Could he become as good as John Collins, who was taking #19 in 2017? That would be a huge leap -- enormous. Collins was already absolutely outstanding as a rookie.
How about lowering the bar substantially? Can Rui be as good as Kyle Kuzma? Well, Rui was better as a rookie than Kuzma was. Ditto his 2d year. & I'm comfortable predicting he'll be better than Kuzma in his 3d year too, because Kuzma got way way worse. But this year, Kyle Kuzma is quite a bit better -- not actually "good." Don't get me wrong. But, at least he's headed in the right direction. &, as you'd expect, he's further along than (i.e. better than) Rui this year. But,. I'd say he's likely to turn out better than Kuzma. Only... that's not saying a lot. Moreover, Kuzma was the #27 pick in the draft.
How about Anunoby? Not quite the same comparison, as the guy has moved over to the 3. He was a bit better than Rui as a rookie, a bit worse than him his 2d year. Then he improved substantially, not that he's some kind of star. He isn't. But he is, to use nate's phrase, "an above average starter." Of course, OG was taken #23 in the draft -- but, really, why is that relevant? Zach Collins went #10 that year & isn't as good as Anunoby.
I'd say that if Rui turned out to be as good as Anunoby, people would be satisfied. He doesn't have to be as good as, say, Domantas Sabonis who went #11. Or Adebayo (a #17 pick).
Heck, he doesn't have to be as good as Keldon Johnson, who went #29 the year Rui was drafted #9 & whom I really don't think SA would swap straight up for Rui, do you?
He doesn't have to be as good as Matisse Thybulle, who went #20 that year. Or as good as Mr. Unnameable, picked #21.
In fact, he doesn't have to be as good as the guy who went #38 in the draft where Rui went #9.
But... he does have to become a player who is actually good. As does Deni.