TGW wrote:I'm still not buying Biden being up by some insurmountable lead. Biden being a weak candidate and hiding from the public makes him just as beatable as the person Trump beat in 2016.
All the evidence supports Biden having a big lead. Live caller polls post-convention are coming out and Trump doesn't have a bump. In 2016, the race tightened to Clinton up 3% in early September in the averages and it was tied after her fainting episode in NYC on 9/11 anniversary.
Biden is up on average 8 points nationally in all these polls. His swing state numbers are solid and pollsters are weighing them by education and sampling accordingly.
New Q poll
Biden is winning black voters, 83% to 11%
Latinos by 56% to 36% (red flag!, Trump won 28% in 2016)
Trump is winning white voters by 50% to 46%. He's got white men at 57% to 38%. Biden is winning white women at 52% to 44%.
Trump is winning non-college educated whites by 61% to 35%. Biden only being down 26% is huge. Hillary lost this demo by over 37% in 2016.
Biden is winning college educated whites 63% to 32%. Another huge swing to Biden. More than Clinton's 51 percent to 42 percent lead among that group in 2016 according to the Cooperative Congressional Election Study, a nationally representative sample of 64,600 adults.