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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Wed Dec 23, 2020 8:10 pm
by dckingsfan
NatP4 wrote:Are final predictions due before or after the first game?

I need to see some personnel decisions from Brooks in a real game first.

Up until start of game time of the second game.

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Wed Dec 23, 2020 8:11 pm
by dckingsfan
Ruzious wrote:Only 5 people are choosing below Vegas, while 57,000 or so are above. Hey, if we can't be optimistic before the season, when can we be?

Well, we know what they can't possibly know... 8-)

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Wed Dec 23, 2020 8:27 pm
by doclinkin
dckingsfan wrote:
NatP4 wrote:Are final predictions due before or after the first game?

I need to see some personnel decisions from Brooks in a real game first.

Up until start of game time of the second game.


Weak....

We should vote on this. Add a poll. Enough people have made their selections, why should they get a sneak peek at rotations etc. Make your best guess and commit to it! Trust your smarts. Use the force.

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Wed Dec 23, 2020 8:36 pm
by dckingsfan
doclinkin wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:
NatP4 wrote:Are final predictions due before or after the first game?

I need to see some personnel decisions from Brooks in a real game first.

Up until start of game time of the second game.

Weak....

We should vote on this. Add a poll. Enough people have made their selections, why should they get a sneak peek at rotations etc. Make your best guess and commit to it! Trust your smarts. Use the force.

Reasoning: There were only 3 preseason games. We were only going to get to see a few minutes of Westbrook and Bertans.

The zoom committee spent hours hashing this out (no real hash involved). Yes, okay - the first few hours were covering Confidentiality, Indemnification and Liability but you can't really blame the committee, now can you. Fortunately, I wasn't a voting member so, you can't criticize me :wink:.

But if you want to do a poll, that would be good with me. All votes need to be in by December 22nd, otherwise that would limit the prize from Ted. Just saying...

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Wed Dec 23, 2020 10:00 pm
by BigA
doclinkin wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:
NatP4 wrote:Are final predictions due before or after the first game?

I need to see some personnel decisions from Brooks in a real game first.

Up until start of game time of the second game.


Weak....

We should vote on this. Add a poll. Enough people have made their selections, why should they get a sneak peek at rotations etc. Make your best guess and commit to it! Trust your smarts. Use the force.

I'm fine with whatever. People fake themselves out and over react to the first game.

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Wed Dec 23, 2020 10:08 pm
by montestewart
BigA wrote:
doclinkin wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:Up until start of game time of the second game.


Weak....

We should vote on this. Add a poll. Enough people have made their selections, why should they get a sneak peek at rotations etc. Make your best guess and commit to it! Trust your smarts. Use the force.

I'm fine with whatever. People fake themselves out and over react to the first game.

I think dck has been doing it that way for a few years. Besides, as Kenny Rogers sang, "You picked a fine time to leave me Lucille..."

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Wed Dec 23, 2020 11:53 pm
by WallStar
40 wins
5th place

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Wed Dec 23, 2020 11:59 pm
by Mojo Amok
Hope Springs, USA is dropping in with 37 wins and the 7th seed.

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:56 am
by dckingsfan
oops..

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:57 am
by dckingsfan
double oops...

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 1:01 am
by dckingsfan
montestewart wrote:
BigA wrote:
doclinkin wrote:
Weak....

We should vote on this. Add a poll. Enough people have made their selections, why should they get a sneak peek at rotations etc. Make your best guess and commit to it! Trust your smarts. Use the force.

I'm fine with whatever. People fake themselves out and over react to the first game.

I think dck has been doing it that way for a few years. Besides, as Kenny Rogers sang, "You picked a fine time to leave me Lucille..."

and doc and I are good... :kiss

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 5:22 am
by wall_glizzy
37-35 for the eighth seed, I'll take the rosy view

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 6:07 am
by NatP4
If they fired Brooks this second and hired a random guy off the streets: 48 wins 3 seed

If they keep Brooks and continue on this path: 35ish wins and a low 7-8 seed.

I shall stick with my initial prediction though because I deserve it.

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 9:54 pm
by dckingsfan
NatP4 wrote:If they fired Brooks this second and hired a random guy off the streets: 48 wins 3 seed

If they keep Brooks and continue on this path: 35ish wins and a low 7-8 seed.

I shall stick with my initial prediction though because I deserve it.

My take - the rules were set-up to see what the team looked like and how Brooks would manage minutes... And to make changes :D

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 10:03 pm
by dckingsfan
You still have up until December 26th at 7:00 PM EST, PIF?

Ties go to the standings, lots with not stand predictions. Example: LyricalRico, you can only tie if everyone else who chose 40 misses on the standing (I know you don't worry about being picked on as the example).

If not all games are played, wwinning percentage will be used (52/72) = .722 winning percentage :o for example.

52 - NatP4
50 - JWizmentality
47 - dorianwrite
46 - relinquishy
45 - Doug_Blew
44 - WallToWall; montestewart
43 - Frichuela; TheBlackCzar
42 - Rafael122; Tyrone Messby
41 - Shoe; Dat2U; CntOutSmrtCrazy
40 - Chaos Revenant; LyricalRico; keynote; prime1time; bsilver; DANNYLANDOVER; WallStar
39 - tontoz; Ruzious; Halcyon; SizzlinSimms; Endless Loop
38 - miller31time; FAH1223; BearlyBallin; Kanyewest
37 - daSwami; Chocolate City Jordanaire; long suffrin' boulez fan; WizTom; Mojo Amok; wall_glizzy
36 - nate33; JAR69; DCZards; Eli Babak; doclinkin; Fanside
35 - trast66; gesa2; dobrojim; Wiz99
34 - Error Afflalo; mrdonut; dckingsfan; penbeast0
33 - TGW; Meliorus
32.5 - Las Vegas
32 - J-Ves
31 - queridiculo; SA37
30 - closg00
29 - BigA
27 - verbal8
25 - FiveThirtyEight

2nd - NatP4
3rd - relinquishy; Doug_Blew
4th - Dat2U; montestewart
5th - Chaos Revenant; WallStar
6th - Frichuela; miller31time; CntOutSmrtCrazy; Halcyon; WallToWall; keynote; WizTom; prime1time; bsilver; DANNYLANDOVER
7th - Chocolate City Jordanaire; dckingsfan; trast66; long suffrin' boulez fan; JAR69; dckingsfan; BearlyBallin; DCZards; Kanyewest; Fanside; Mojo Amok
8th - daSwami; FAH1223; gesa2; Wiz99; Eli Babak; wall_glizzy
9th - nate33; TGW; Error Afflalo; J-Ves; doclinkin; closg00; Las Vegas
10th - queridiculo; SA37; verbal8; FiveThirtyEight
11th - BigA

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 11:26 pm
by nate33
Wow! FIveThirtyEight bringing the hate!

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Thu Dec 24, 2020 11:44 pm
by payitforward
Well, being late to the party, I have to put my mark where only strangeness will give me a win, I'm going to go with...

36 wins & 6th position.

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Fri Dec 25, 2020 4:05 pm
by dckingsfan
payitforward wrote:Well, being late to the party, I have to put my mark where only strangeness will give me a win, I'm going to go with...

36 wins & 6th position.

A very strategic pick indeed...

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Fri Dec 25, 2020 11:48 pm
by payitforward
Actually, I think it's a guaranteed loser -- even if 36 turns out to be the number, it'll be a pretty big surprise for it to wind up as the right number for 6th position. I think it'll take more wins to get there.

Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

Posted: Sat Dec 26, 2020 2:45 pm
by dckingsfan
payitforward wrote:Actually, I think it's a guaranteed loser -- even if 36 turns out to be the number, it'll be a pretty big surprise for it to wind up as the right number for 6th position. I think it'll take more wins to get there.

So, last year 6th position would have been the team with a greater winning percentage than .486 and less than .603 or in this years terms 34 > x > 43.

You are essentially taking the low range. Given where Las Vegas has us, it would be the upper (optimistic bound) while tying in the bottom of that range. Quite awesome actually.

Don't worry, I won't steal it or tell anyone :D