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Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season

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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#181 » by dckingsfan » Tue Apr 13, 2021 5:53 pm

Missed the 50 game mark but... with 53 games in the book, you Washington Wizards are 20-33 sporting a .377 winning percentage and on pace to win 27 games.

Verbal is the leader in the clubhouse with only 19 games to play...

Someone else can comment on the play-in tourney.

verbal8 wrote:....
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#182 » by BigA » Wed Apr 14, 2021 12:52 pm

As of today, 538 is predicting 28 wins compared to their 25 win preseason prediction. So they would say that the Wizards have overperformed this season.

Also, if they end up within a few games of getting in the play-in tournament, the Wizards will have met the goal that Ted sets for every season: "compete for the playoffs."
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#183 » by doclinkin » Wed Apr 14, 2021 3:40 pm

doclinkin wrote:36(*). Three games better than Vegas. We lose some games with Westbrook resting, and some with him trying too hard. Bench rotation takes a little bit to gel and at PF we are up and down, but young players develop with the additional experience from resting veterans and starters. Midseason trade or pick up creates some stumbles while integrating a player. We finish as the 9th seed but catch fire and win the play-in tournament. Stay hot and win the first round due to injuries from the higher seeded team. Lose in the 2nd round. Impromptu parade ensues anyway.


Missed on the number, but I seemed to have the general shape of the season. You know, minus all the success part: Early struggles. Westbrook both off due to injury, then trying too hard. Mid season pick up, late wins, attempt to surge into the play-in games.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#184 » by closg00 » Wed Apr 14, 2021 4:03 pm

dckingsfan wrote:Additional notes; you still have up until game time for the second regular season game to change your prediction. Ties go to the standings. If not all games are played, it will be based upon winning percentage. Lots of posters haven't posted their eastern conference prediction for the Wizards.

52 - NatP4
50 - JWizmentality
47 - dorianwrite
46 - relinquishy
45 - Doug_Blew
44 - WallToWall; montestewart
43 - Frichuela; TheBlackCzar
42 - Rafael122; Tyrone Messby
41 - Shoe; Dat2U; CntOutSmrtCrazy
40 - Chaos Revenant; LyricalRico; keynote; prime1time; bsilver; DANNYLANDOVER
39 - tontoz; Ruzious; Halcyon; SizzlinSimms; Endless Loop
38 - miller31time; FAH1223; BearlyBallin; Kanyewest
37 - daSwami; Chocolate City Jordanaire; long suffrin' boulez fan; WizTom
36 - nate33; JAR69; DCZards; Eli Babak; doclinkin; Fanside
35 - trast66; gesa2; dobrojim; Wiz99
34 - Error Afflalo; mrdonut; dckingsfan; penbeast0
33 - TGW; Meliorus
32.5 - Las Vegas
32 - J-Ves
31 - queridiculo; SA37
30 - closg00
29 - BigA
27 - verbal8
25 - FiveThirtyEight

2nd - NatP4
3rd - relinquishy; Doug_Blew
4th - Dat2U; montestewart
5th - Chaos Revenant
6th - Frichuela; miller31time; CntOutSmrtCrazy; Halcyon; WallToWall; keynote; WizTom; prime1time; bsilver; DANNYLANDOVER
7th - Chocolate City Jordanaire; dckingsfan; trast66; long suffrin' boulez fan; JAR69; dckingsfan; BearlyBallin; DCZards; Kanyewest; Fanside
8th - daSwami; FAH1223; gesa2; Wiz99; Eli Babak
9th - nate33; TGW; Error Afflalo; J-Ves; doclinkin; closg00
10th - queridiculo; SA37; verbal8; FiveThirtyEight
11th - BigA

*Bump*
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#185 » by Ruzious » Wed Apr 14, 2021 4:06 pm

doclinkin wrote:
doclinkin wrote:36(*). Three games better than Vegas. We lose some games with Westbrook resting, and some with him trying too hard. Bench rotation takes a little bit to gel and at PF we are up and down, but young players develop with the additional experience from resting veterans and starters. Midseason trade or pick up creates some stumbles while integrating a player. We finish as the 9th seed but catch fire and win the play-in tournament. Stay hot and win the first round due to injuries from the higher seeded team. Lose in the 2nd round. Impromptu parade ensues anyway.


Missed on the number, but I seemed to have the general shape of the season. You know, minus all the success part: Early struggles. Westbrook both off due to injury, then trying too hard. Mid season pick up, late wins, attempt to surge into the play-in games.

Don't write yourself off yet - 36 wins maybe isn't not somewhat unimpossible - to be precise. Everyone's got a compressed schedule, and the better teams might take opportunities to rest their best against teams like the Wiz.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#186 » by dckingsfan » Wed Apr 14, 2021 4:21 pm

Final

Ties go to the standings, lots with not stand predictions. Example: LyricalRico, you can only tie if everyone else who chose 40 misses on the standing (I know you don't worry about being picked on as the example).

If not all games are played, winning percentage will be used (52/72) = .722 winning percentage :o for example.

52 - NatP4
50 - JWizmentality
47 - dorianwrite
46 - relinquishy
45 - Doug_Blew
44 - WallToWall; montestewart
43 - Frichuela; TheBlackCzar
42 - Rafael122; Tyrone Messby
41 - Shoe; Dat2U; CntOutSmrtCrazy
40 - Chaos Revenant; LyricalRico; keynote; prime1time; bsilver; DANNYLANDOVER; WallStar

39 - tontoz; Ruzious; Halcyon; SizzlinSimms; Endless Loop
38 - miller31time; FAH1223; BearlyBallin; Kanyewest
37 - daSwami; Chocolate City Jordanaire; long suffrin' boulez fan; WizTom; Mojo Amok; wall_glizzy
36 - nate33; JAR69; DCZards; Eli Babak; doclinkin; payitforward; Fanside
35 - trast66; gesa2; dobrojim; Wiz99
34 - Error Afflalo; mrdonut; dckingsfan; penbeast0
33 - TGW; Meliorus
32.5 - Las Vegas
32 - J-Ves
31 - queridiculo; SA37
30 - closg00
29 - BigA
27 - verbal8
25 - FiveThirtyEight

2nd - NatP4
3rd - relinquishy; Doug_Blew
4th - Dat2U; montestewart
5th - Chaos Revenant; WallStar
6th - Frichuela; miller31time; CntOutSmrtCrazy; Halcyon; WallToWall; keynote; WizTom; prime1time; bsilver; DANNYLANDOVER; payitforward
7th - Chocolate City Jordanaire; dckingsfan; trast66; long suffrin' boulez fan; JAR69; dckingsfan; BearlyBallin; DCZards; Kanyewest; Fanside; Mojo Amok
8th - daSwami; FAH1223; gesa2; Wiz99; Eli Babak; wall_glizzy
9th - nate33; TGW; Error Afflalo; J-Ves; doclinkin; closg00; Las Vegas
10th - queridiculo; SA37; verbal8; FiveThirtyEight
11th - BigA
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#187 » by verbal8 » Wed Apr 14, 2021 10:29 pm

I think the play-ins are a good idea. Being an 8th seed or even 7th seed is usually a matter of trying to win a couple games, not really winning the season. The play-in does give the marginal playoff teams something to play for. I like that a 9/10 has to win 2 games to get in and a 7/8 has to lose 2 games to drop out.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#188 » by FAH1223 » Wed Apr 14, 2021 11:12 pm

I feel so stupid for saying 38 wins
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#189 » by dckingsfan » Wed Apr 14, 2021 11:41 pm

FAH1223 wrote:I feel so stupid for saying 38 wins

I am at 34 and feel the same way brother...
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#190 » by nate33 » Thu Apr 15, 2021 2:10 pm

Man, I glanced at our upcoming schedule and it really looks like we will make the play-in tournament. Our remaining schedule is a sh*tshow of tanking teams.

We play OKC twice, Cleveland 3 times, Detroit once and the Raptors once.

We also play the Pelicans, Indiana twice, Charlotte (no Ball and possibly no Hayward), San Antonio and the Lakers (no Lebron). All those teams will be trying, but they're not particularly good.

The only sure loss is 1 game against Milwaukee. We play Dallas once and the Hawks twice which are probable losses, but not guaranteed.

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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#191 » by NatP4 » Thu Apr 15, 2021 6:30 pm

dckingsfan wrote:
FAH1223 wrote:I feel so stupid for saying 38 wins

I am at 34 and feel the same way brother...


What were you guys thinking..
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#192 » by dckingsfan » Thu Apr 15, 2021 7:19 pm

NatP4 wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:
FAH1223 wrote:I feel so stupid for saying 38 wins

I am at 34 and feel the same way brother...

What were you guys thinking..

:rofl: - okay I feel better now - thanks Nat!
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#193 » by Ruzious » Thu Apr 15, 2021 8:30 pm

I'd like to say I forgot the season was shortened, but nah - I'm always irrationally optimistic before the season starts.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#194 » by JAR69 » Thu Apr 15, 2021 9:55 pm

nate33 wrote:Man, I glanced at our upcoming schedule and it really looks like we will make the play-in tournament. Our remaining schedule is a sh*tshow of tanking teams.

We play OKC twice, Cleveland 3 times, Detroit once and the Raptors once.

We also play the Pelicans, Indiana twice, Charlotte (no Ball and possibly no Hayward), San Antonio and the Lakers (no Lebron). All those teams will be trying, but they're not particularly good.

The only sure loss is 1 game against Milwaukee. We play Dallas once and the Hawks twice which are probable losses, but not guaranteed.

Image


Our remaining SOS is second-easiest in the East: http://www.tankathon.com/remaining_schedule_strength. And the remaining SOSs of the teams ahead of us - Toronto and Chicago - are first and third hardest in the East. That doesn't count the Zach LeVine injury.

And yet, our ability to lose to crap teams is remarkable.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#195 » by dckingsfan » Mon Apr 26, 2021 6:06 pm

With 60 games in the books, your Washington Wizards sport a 27-33 record and a .450 winning percentage on pace for 32 wins. J-Ves is the leader in the clubhouse with 12 games left.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#196 » by nate33 » Mon Apr 26, 2021 6:14 pm

Just need to go 9-3 over these last 12 games and I win!

It's truly unbelievable that my 36-win estimate is still a remote possibility. The Wizards were 17-32 just 11 games ago.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#197 » by Ruzious » Mon Apr 26, 2021 7:47 pm

nate33 wrote:Just need to go 9-3 over these last 12 games and I win!

It's truly unbelievable that my 36-win estimate is still a remote possibility. The Wizards were 17-32 just 11 games ago.

They just need to finish the regular season with a 20 game win streak to reach my absurd 39 win guestimate. :falloff:
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#198 » by doclinkin » Mon Apr 26, 2021 7:52 pm

nate33 wrote:Just need to go 9-3 over these last 12 games and I win!

It's truly unbelievable that my 36-win estimate is still a remote possibility. The Wizards were 17-32 just 11 games ago.


Likewise. Though it also means PIF wins as well, which would surely make him insufferable. :clown:
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#199 » by nate33 » Mon Apr 26, 2021 8:17 pm

doclinkin wrote:
nate33 wrote:Just need to go 9-3 over these last 12 games and I win!

It's truly unbelievable that my 36-win estimate is still a remote possibility. The Wizards were 17-32 just 11 games ago.


Likewise. Though it also means PIF wins as well, which would surely make him insufferable. :clown:

Yeah, nevermind. I hope I lose.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '20-'21 season 

Post#200 » by payitforward » Tue Apr 27, 2021 3:56 pm

Buncha meanies....

Let me just say that I chose my win total using the Ernie Grunfeld methodology (pin tail on donkey).
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