RealGM

Predict the Wizards Record '22-'23 season

Well, it's that time again... Win's and ECF standings please (note the shortened season and back to backs!). Any outrageous predictions welcome

Final predictions are due before the second game of the season, WITH NO PENALTY

Remember - you can have the same number of wins and still win by more accurately predicting the standings.

Mods - sticky this until the start of the season - please...

Last year's predictions...

51 CCJ
50 Shoe
49 BearlyBallin
48 montestewart; dlts20
47 payitforward
46 JAR69; AWIZZINGBULLET
45 FAH1223; NatP4; leswizards
44 bsilver; queridiculo; keynote; DCZards; BigA
43 Endless Loop; Dat2U; tontoz; Dolevi; WizTom
42 Frichuela; gambitx777; Kanyewest
41 9 and 20; doclinkin; dobrojim; CntOutSmrtCrazy
40 penbeast0; Jimmy Recard; Dark Faze; 80sballboy
39 nate33; verbal8; fivethirtyeight
38 Wiz99; gesa2
37 Doug_Blew; WizBiz; miller31time; TGW
36 tripy_ran; dckingsfan; Nigel Tufnel
35 Halcyon
34
33.5 Vegas
33 J-Ves; CobraCommander;
32 trast66
31 WallToWall
30 Ruzious; closg00
29 long suffrin' boulez fan; I_Like_Dirt

3rd CCJ
4th montestewart; BearlyBallin
5th NatP4; payitforward; dlts20; AWIZZINGBULLET
6th FAH1223; Endless Loop; JAR69; leswizards; BigA
7th Frichuela; Dat2U; bsilver; dobrojim; CntOutSmrtCrazy; keynote; DCZards; Dolevi; WizTom
8th 9 and 20; doclinkin
9th Doug_Blew; penbeast0; dckingsfan; verbal8; Wiz99
10th Halcyon; nate33; TGW; tripy_ran; gesa2; WizBiz; miller31time; Kanyewest; fivethirtyeight; 80sballboy
11th J-Ves; trast66; WallToWall; CobraCommander; Nigel Tufnel
12th closg00; long suffrin' boulez fan; I_Like_Dirt
13th Ruzious

I'm going to go with 45 wins, and 9th seed in the East. I think people are going to underestimate just how bad some teams will intentionally be this season, and a team like the Wizards will use that to their advantage to pump up more wins.

I'll go with 39 wins and 11th place in the East. I don't think the talent is bad on the team, but Beal and Porz will miss games.

Didn't know where to post this, putting it here:

538's predictions (stolen from general board):

https://www.covers.com/nba/win-totals-odds

Washington Wizards 35.5

35 wins
11th place

33 wins
12th place

Bonus predictions:
Zingus misses 31 games.
Rui averages 15, 5 boards, .5 assists per game.
Kuzma is our best player for the year, with Zingus missing time.
Turdzma declares the season a success.

38 wins. No playoffs.

37 wins.

They will go on a run in March and April after all the smart teams have committed to tanking.

AFM wrote:Didn't know where to post this, putting it here:

538's predictions (stolen from general board):

Within striking distance of 11th seed. Not too shabby.

38 wins

11th. 36 wins. Maximum pain.

45 Rafael122
39 TGW
38 FAH1223; Nigel Tufnel
37 nate33
36 Eli Babak
35.5 Las Vegas
35 long suffrin' boulez fan
34 dckingsfan
33 9 and 20
32 Fivethirtyeight


9th Rafael122
11th TGW; Las Vegas; Eli Babak; long suffrin' boulez fan; Nigel Tufnel
12th dckingsfan; 9 and 20
13th Fivethirtyeight

This preseason, the team has the inevitable look of a lottery team. Most have us at 11th or 12th in the East and I'd agree with that.

Were a country mile from the top 8 in the East and I think those 8 are pretty locked in unless there are major injuries. Boston, Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Atlanta, Miami, Brooklyn, Cleveland & Toronto. That's a stacked 8 and all are capable of winning 50 games. I'd expect 45 wins to be the floor for this group.

New York I have 9th around the .500 mark give or take. Brunson helps. Barrett looks improved and they'll defend for sure.

We know for certain these 9 teams are not tanking no matter what. The Wizards will fall somewhere below this group. Somewhere b/w 10-13 is my projection so there is an outside chance for the last play-in spot.

The two clearly bad teams in the East so far are Detroit & Orlando. No need to tank. Both will have a low 20s win total at best.

That puts the Wizards in the mix with Chicago, Charlotte & Indiana. If all of those 3 teams decide to tank at some stage then the Wiz can squeak into the 10th spot. If Indy holds onto Turner, Charlotte gets LaMelo & Chicago gets Lonzo back, 13th is not out the question.

So the question is who out of Chicago, Charlotte & Indy will commit to tanking? If any of them goes for that play-in spot, I think they'd beat out the Wizards as currently constructed.

Which brings up my last point. I think a trade will come before this current roster construction goes down in flames. Whether its moving Kuz + Avdija or Davis for something considered an upgrade. I think we'll see tanking teams selling off remaining vets and with the Wizards always being buyers, I see something happening sooner than later.

I'm tentatively at 38 wins and the 10th play-in spot not based on the current roster but a presumable trade that's coming to help secure the available play-in spot.

Dat2U wrote:This preseason, the team has the inevitable look of a lottery team. Most have us at 11th or 12th in the East and I'd agree with that.

Were a country mile from the top 8 in the East and I think those 8 are pretty locked in unless there are major injuries. Boston, Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Atlanta, Miami, Brooklyn, Cleveland & Toronto. That's a stacked 8 and all are capable of winning 50 games. I'd expect 45 wins to be the floor for this group.

New York I have 9th around the .500 mark give or take. Brunson helps. Barrett looks improved and they'll defend for sure.

We know for certain these 9 teams are not tanking no matter what. The Wizards will fall somewhere below this group. Somewhere b/w 10-13 is my projection so there is an outside chance for the last play-in spot.

The two clearly bad teams in the East so far are Detroit & Orlando. No need to tank. Both will have a low 20s win total at best.

That puts the Wizards in the mix with Chicago, Charlotte & Indiana. If all of those 3 teams decide to tank at some stage then the Wiz can squeak into the 10th spot. If Indy holds onto Turner, Charlotte gets LaMelo & Chicago gets Lonzo back, 13th is not out the question.

So the question is who out of Chicago, Charlotte & Indy will commit to tanking? If any of them goes for that play-in spot, I think they'd beat out the Wizards as currently constructed.

Which brings up my last point. I think a trade will come before this current roster construction goes down in flames. Whether its moving Kuz + Avdija or Davis for something considered an upgrade. I think we'll see tanking teams selling off remaining vets and with the Wizards always being buyers, I see something happening sooner than later.

I'm tentatively at 38 wins and the 10th play-in spot not based on the current roster but a presumable trade that's coming to help secure the available play-in spot.

Chicago can't tank. They don't have their pick (it is top 4 protected that Orlando owns). I think Indy trades Turner before the deadline and will want to tank for Victor. Too many young guys. Detroit & Orlando will be improved. The Hornets look like a mess, but Ball &. Rozier will keep them in games (although Ball is injured now).

I think we win 33 games. Utah, SAS, and OKC are the tankers in the West. We don't have a shot at worst record unless KP and/or Beal get hurt.

32.

What's to like? Hate to admit it, but the snarky Kevin Broom comments have always been right.

Mediocre roster combined with a coach whose main achievement so far is that the team gets worse the longer he coaches.

And this last draft was not at all good. It seems like it was sort of a draft by committee, which usually results in a safe, underachieving choice. TS is a bit of a beta. Leonsis would do far better just buying beer and pizza, getting contributors to this forum together on draft night, and picking whoever they recommend. I will say, though, that I think Kispert will have a very solid career, and Avdija will continue to improve.

34 and 11th. Team sucks ass!!

38 wins and 11th

On the plus side 7 teams don’t care about winning.

On the down side this team is built to Tommy’s vision: unathletic, slow, soft, bad shooting, but all good guys.

Holy crap TGW is the most optimistic poster on the board except for RAF, who’s sipping koolaid mixed with something else.