HurricaneKid wrote:If you own a widget and can sell that widget for $6 it doesn't matter if the next guy that has a widget can only get $5.
1) It does, because it's a distortion. 1 guy can get $6, everyone else can only get 3-5 for it.
2) It's a theoretical $6, because to get the above market value the NBA has to let you do so (and they won't)
The fact that there is a city out there that will pay $625 for a team and can't buy one should tell you all you need to know about the Forbes valuations, especially considering the last several teams/portions of teams that have sold were sold for ~150-170% of those valuations.
The new CBA is increasing values, because teams are now more easily to be profitable. This trend should continue (though inflation is a factor too). But it was only a few years ago teams were selling for less than 300 mill, good solid franchises like the 76ers.
As far as the Bucks, well as a Bucks fan I can tell you you have gone off the deep end.
The NBA is definitely going to push Milwaukee to play ball, everyone knows this, and long term if the Kings can get their act together the Bucks likely will too... but the timeframe for doing this is still years away. Kohl is still owner for a while, and says he won't sell to an owner who will move the team, and the NBA doesn't want to approve such an action until the city gets a chance to play ball. That takes years and years (and the process has barely started), whereas Seattle expansion is something that will likely start moving as soon as the TV deal is done. It's not like the NBA can't find alternative cities to use as leverage against Milwaukee- San Jose for example. But San Jose or other cities won't be bidding so far above market, because they're not as desperate (or rich) as the guys who want a team back in Seattle.
You seem wholely oblivious to how teams are funded assets borrowed against. This is my profession. Shinn openly bragged about how much money he made when he sold the Hornets (again, saying someone lost money when they bought an asset for 32.5M and sold it for 318M is laughable). The reason the league took it over is because they wanted to keep the team in NO and the presumed buyer had informed the league he wanted to move the team. Rather than give the NBA a black eye for pulling out of NO in their time of need they paid 318M and sold it for the same to Benson a year later.
Feel free to link me to Shinn's bragging. I'm going off the widely reported coverage of Shinn having run out of money and being unable to keep managing a pro basketball team. Which makes sense, because if the team was profitable, he'd have hung on to it to help improve his sinking fortunes, and held protracted negotiations to bid the price up.
http://m.espn.go.com/nba/story?storyId=5887687&lang=ESAfter the long-stalled sale of the Hornets from longtime owner George Shinn to minority partner Gary Chouest collapsed for good in recent days, NBA officials moved forward with their proposal to purchase operational control of the team. The reason that the NBA felt the need to take this Expos-style step for the first time, sources said, is that the cash-strapped Shinn can no longer afford to run the team but also can't find a buyer.
If the Hornets were making money, Shinn would have had no need to sell them, would he?
And who knows where the debt came from. It was likely used to help his many other business ventures through some really rough times. Yet you use that debt, much of which has nothing to do with the teams, as evidence of the business doing poorly.
The bolded part is the bit that matters- you just don't know about the specifics. But clearly logic tells us Shinn would have had a buyer if the team was profitable (and wouldn't have been forced to sell so suddenly).
Cuban has lost money on the Mavs? GTFO. Seriously. Your evidence is a nuisance lawsuit that was thrown out? The Mavs are conservatively worth 700M. He paid 300. GTFO NOW.
The team is more valuable now than the $421 mill (inflation adjusted) he paid for it (Forbes estimates 685 mill), but on the other hand the team has lost money nearly every year he's owned it, which is why Perot sued him. Like I said, it's by design, he's got a plausible business rationale for doing it, but there is no question the way he has run it has lost money consistently, and not small amounts. The Mavs lost $125 mill in the last 10 years (more if we excluded last years $13mill profit), and the extra cost of things like debt, other expenses, tax, etc, would make that number even bigger. Losing money and value is not the same thing. NBA team should be able to make money, as well as add value.
Your understanding of business is subpar. You can't continue to use debt service AND inflation and its absurd to do so. When you finance the purchase of a franchise you use the low loan rates partly as a hedge against inflation. Someone else (the bank) is taking those risks.
Inflation isn't always separate to loans actually, in some cases interest rates are variable. Do you have evidence Cuban is using only non-variable loans? No? Didn't think so. Also, let's remember that inflation is separate from debt, because the inflation is being used to calculate the difference in things like purchase price which you misleadingly cite only in dollars, and not in adjusted dollars (to reflect the different value those dollars had at the time).
As for Ratner, he bought the team so he could build the Barclay center. And he made plenty off the $1B building to more than offset any perceived inflationary (read: non-existent) losses.
You've just ignored what I wrote. Ratner was in desperate straights, and was forced to sell 80% of his share of the team to get out of trouble. He clearly lost a tonne of money with the Nets, which I broke down for you. The others you ignore (of course). The reality is multiple owners have lost money, not "one ever" as you claimed.