Knicks cap room
Posted: Wed Mar 3, 2010 5:35 pm
My recent article for Hoopsworld (LINK) generated a lot of questions on the difference between my first and third scenarios, so I thought I'd address the issue here.
The short answer, if you don't want to read it all the way through, is that I wasn't comparing apples to apples. If you carry out the first scenario so that it results in the same signings as the third scenario, the numbers work out the same.
To review, here are the two scenarios in question:
1. Renounce everyone/everything to gain as much cap room as possible, then sign free agents.
3. Take advantage of temporarily being over the cap by using the Mid-Level and Bi-Annual exceptions, THEN renounce everyone/everything you can, and use the rest for free agents.
The master plan in either scenario is to sign LeBron James and fill in the rest of the roster with what cap room remains, so I'll work through each scenario in detail, using LBJ as the first signing.
I'm going to assume the cap comes in at exactly $53 million.
We have the following players under contract:
Curry: $11,276,863
Gallinari: $3,304,560
Chandler: $2,130,482
Douglas: $1,071,000
Total: $17,782,905
I'm going to assume they don't keep any potential free agents, including Lee and Rodriguez. I'm also going to assume they waive Bill Walker prior to July 7.
Scenario 1:
Start with the $17,782,905. Since this is for four players, we need to add eight cap holds at $473,604 each, totaling $3,788,832.
So the team salary is $21,571,737. With a $53 million cap, this leaves $31,428,263 cap room.
Assuming LeBron James signs for $16,568,908, this leaves $15,332,959 in cap room (after removing one cap hold to account for the James' signing).
Scenario 2:
Sign players with the MLE ($5,730,000) and BAE ($2,080,000). The team salary is $25,592,905 plus six roster charges for $2,841,624, for a total of $28,434,529. With a $53 million cap, we have $24,565,471. After James signs for the same amount as in Scenario 1, we have $8,470,167 in cap room (again, after adjusting for one cap hold).
Now let's look at what we spent or have to spend (after signing LeBron James, which is common to both scenarios and can be factored out):
Scenario 1: $15,332,959
Scenario 2: $8,470,167 + $5,730,000 + $2,080,000 = $16,280,167
So let's say that with both scenarios the team uses their remaining cap room to sign one free agent. They indeed will have spent $947,208 more on free agents under Scenario 2. This was the ending point of my analysis for the article.
However, a couple of astute people pointed out that I wasn't comparing apples to apples. If you carry Scenario 1 a step further by signing two players to amounts equivalent to the MLE and BAE, and then look at the resulting cap room, you end up with the same amounts with both scenarios.
In other words, starting from Scenario 1's $15,332,959, sign MLE & BAE players for $7,810,000, and this leaves you with $8,470,167 in cap room, after adjusting for two cap holds. This is the same amount of resulting cap room as Scenario 2.
So when comparing apples to apples, they are indeed the same. Thanks for the catch, guys.
The short answer, if you don't want to read it all the way through, is that I wasn't comparing apples to apples. If you carry out the first scenario so that it results in the same signings as the third scenario, the numbers work out the same.
To review, here are the two scenarios in question:
1. Renounce everyone/everything to gain as much cap room as possible, then sign free agents.
3. Take advantage of temporarily being over the cap by using the Mid-Level and Bi-Annual exceptions, THEN renounce everyone/everything you can, and use the rest for free agents.
The master plan in either scenario is to sign LeBron James and fill in the rest of the roster with what cap room remains, so I'll work through each scenario in detail, using LBJ as the first signing.
I'm going to assume the cap comes in at exactly $53 million.
We have the following players under contract:
Curry: $11,276,863
Gallinari: $3,304,560
Chandler: $2,130,482
Douglas: $1,071,000
Total: $17,782,905
I'm going to assume they don't keep any potential free agents, including Lee and Rodriguez. I'm also going to assume they waive Bill Walker prior to July 7.
Scenario 1:
Start with the $17,782,905. Since this is for four players, we need to add eight cap holds at $473,604 each, totaling $3,788,832.
So the team salary is $21,571,737. With a $53 million cap, this leaves $31,428,263 cap room.
Assuming LeBron James signs for $16,568,908, this leaves $15,332,959 in cap room (after removing one cap hold to account for the James' signing).
Scenario 2:
Sign players with the MLE ($5,730,000) and BAE ($2,080,000). The team salary is $25,592,905 plus six roster charges for $2,841,624, for a total of $28,434,529. With a $53 million cap, we have $24,565,471. After James signs for the same amount as in Scenario 1, we have $8,470,167 in cap room (again, after adjusting for one cap hold).
Now let's look at what we spent or have to spend (after signing LeBron James, which is common to both scenarios and can be factored out):
Scenario 1: $15,332,959
Scenario 2: $8,470,167 + $5,730,000 + $2,080,000 = $16,280,167
So let's say that with both scenarios the team uses their remaining cap room to sign one free agent. They indeed will have spent $947,208 more on free agents under Scenario 2. This was the ending point of my analysis for the article.
However, a couple of astute people pointed out that I wasn't comparing apples to apples. If you carry Scenario 1 a step further by signing two players to amounts equivalent to the MLE and BAE, and then look at the resulting cap room, you end up with the same amounts with both scenarios.
In other words, starting from Scenario 1's $15,332,959, sign MLE & BAE players for $7,810,000, and this leaves you with $8,470,167 in cap room, after adjusting for two cap holds. This is the same amount of resulting cap room as Scenario 2.
So when comparing apples to apples, they are indeed the same. Thanks for the catch, guys.