Pickled Prunes wrote:Bob8 wrote:Pickled Prunes wrote:But it is about AD, if you are going to critique the return in the trade. IF AD kept on the path he was on and was all-NBA this season, what would his trade value have been? OK, add another 1st and Max Christie to that... that was the Mavs return in this trade. DAL could have waited until the off-season and maybe gotten another pick, but they wanted to test the waters with AD and Kyrie before they gave Kyrie an extension.
I'm not saying that I would have pulled the trigger on this deal. But I do think people are either undervaluing AD or overvaluing Luka. DAL wanted to get rid of him for a reason. We won't know how this works out for a few years. It will be fun to watch it develop.
You're missing crucial difference between those 2 players. Luka is 6 years younger. Even, if you say, they're on the same level now, which you can't, knowing that Luka was 5x in a row in first All Nba team, won scoring title last year and have insane stats. 6 years is still a huge difference. We could have had conversation, if they were similar age, but even then you don't trade by fans beloved 25 years old international superstar, who you drafted.
You said they're both injury prone. That's not true at all. Luka had first long term injury this year. This will be a first time he won't play 60+ games in his career. AD had only 1 60+ games in last 5 years. Since Luka came in Nba, he has played 74 games more than AD, this season not counting.
Trade was a disaster from the start, even from a PR perspective. You just can't say that you're afraid of 25 years old player bad conditioning and then trade for 6 years older far more injury prone player. Everything about this trade is idiotic and Mavs are paying huge price now.
It's over for Dallas. They lost this season and next, you can't expect anything from Kyrie next season. His first and only concern will be rehabilitating his knee, he won't hurry back no matter what. Mavs missing playoffs 2x in a row is highly probable.
1) You think I don't know how old AD is? I am not convinced that DAL plans to keep AD long term. It was my feeling fro the beginning that they might want to flip him in the summer, after checking his fit with Kyrie. Last season AD was All-NBA 2nd and All-NBA Defensive 1st. If he did that again, which he was on pace for, they could have dictated their price. As it stands, his value is still pretty high.
2) Luka averages 67 games per season. That's not great. And DAL clearly believes conditioning was a major factor and expected it to get worse, not better. It's ticky-tack things more than the long term injuries AD has dealt with, but those little injuries stack up. AD has average 61 games per season. I in his first six seasons he played 10 more games than Luka did in his first six. Only hindsight will give us the answer to the durability question.
3) You are correct about the PR disaster. I actually understand the DAL side of the trade: The nightmare it could be to deal with a diva like Luka every day, the potential value they got back with AD. I also knew from the get go that DAL fans would want to burn the arena with Nico in it. I'm sure he saw it as well and decided to pull the trigger anyway. He decided it was worth it.
I don't think DAL won the trade, only time will tell on that. Where I differ with most people is the idea that AD, Christie and a pick is chopped liver. If they traded Luka to UTH for Collins, Sexton and five 1sts,... is that really a better deal? Not if winning this decade is something they care about. As I said before, this trade isn't over. We may have to wait a couple of seasons for the dust to clear. One thing we will never know is whether DAL (with Luka on a supermax) would ever have gotten a third star to join him in DAL.
What are you talking about? They traded 25 years old superstar for injury prone 31 years old AD, just to trade him away?

You said they are both injury prone. We're talking about now, not about AD in the start of his career. AD is missing a lot of games in last 5 years, he had only 1 healthy season last 5 years. He played 1 game for Mavs. 1. When you're talking about Luka's average of games played, you have to understand that 2 seasons were shortened because of Covid. I would say that he's playing pretty normal number of games for today's standards. He played the most minutes, RS and playoffs combined, last year. Mavs were afraid about a player, who played the most minutes, with the highest usage, winning scoring title, and brought you in Finals?

What Diva like behavior? What he does? Europeans are having anti Diva behaviour, if anything.
You're talking like Mavs were lottery team with Luka. Mavs were in the Finals last year, they were in WCF in 22. They overachieved in both seasons. They had some success with Luka, they are lottery team now after stupid trade and will probably be next year, they don't have their picks from 27-30 and their stars will be pretty old very soon. Do you really believe they can win something with around 35 years old Kyrie and AD? I doubt very much they will come even close to Finals in next 10 years.