Post#19 » by armchairgm » Mon Nov 18, 2013 4:06 pm
Not that I think that this trade is a good idea, but there may be a few reasons that Boston goes through with it. Rondo is not the easiest to work with. If management doesn't believe that he can handle being the starting point guard for a rebuilding team, they might trade him away. Additionally, they have no idea what Rondo will be like coming back from an ACL tear. Players can come back in 8 to 12 months, but typically (yes, there are exceptions) it takes 20 to 24 months to return to pre-tear performance levels.
Is there a better way to stick it to the Knicks than taking STAT -one of the few 'healthy' centers that they have-, Shump -their best wing defender and only young tradable asset-, and giving them back a point guard who needs the ball in his hands just like Melo, which might lead to flow and chemistry issues? Add to that fact Rondo might not return to top 10 PG form until next season, when Melo can opt out at the end of this year? It could be the trade that forces Melo out of NYK, and I think Ainge would take no small amount of pride in that fact.
On the Boston side of the trade, the Celtics only have 2 guaranteed contracts and 1 player option on the books for the 2015-2016 season. Gerald Wallace, Courtney Lee are the guaranteed contracts and Jeff Green is the player option. If the Celtics can flip Wallace and Lee for a contract that expires sooner, they will have (including next year's draft pick's potential cap hit) only 17 million on the books for 2015-16. Add cap holds for open roster spots, and the Celtics could have 42 million in cap room (assuming a salary cap of 63 million). If the Celtics can trade away Rondo, they won't get a midseason boost. Tanking goes off without a hitch. They add a Wiggins, Parker, Randle in this draft. Next year they add another lottery pick. Now we have a superstar in the making, a second lottery pick from the 2015 draft, a good wing defender in Iman, an athletic forward in Green, and the room to add 2 max contract players.
It hurts to lose Rondo, but there are certainly reasons why Danny Ainge would keep the phone lines open.