Post#11 » by FrigginFalcon » Thu Oct 5, 2017 8:49 pm
In 2018 (KD), 2019 (KT), and for sure by 2020 (DG), there needs to be some kind of discussion about how much everyone wants the 4 stars to stay together. Paying all 4 the max (or "market value," if that is lower) will result in a punishing tax bill for the owners -- with an annual net loss likely well into 9 figures, and likely one they cannot or will not cover.
So at that point, the questions are:
(1) Will any of them play for less than the max, in order to stay together?
(2) If so, how will they share that "sacrifice?"
(3) How much of an annual loss will the owners accept?
(4) As part of the player decisions, are they even able to know (with accuracy) what loss for the owners a given payroll would create?
Lacob is not a MULTI-billionaire, and Guber is only about half a billionaire, so annual losses >$100 million are not sustainable. Bill Gates or Warren Buffet could shrug and think: "Oh well, that's the price of owning a Dynasty," but not Lacob and Guber. They could sell all or part of the franchise to such a person.
Given the highly progressive nature of the luxury tax, every dollar of salary saved creates a marginal savings of AT LEAST $6.00. So, let's say Curry and KD are both earning the same -- $43 million -- and for the sake of argument, let's say Klay & Dray would have a market value $8 million lower - $35 million per year. If all 4 of them played for 10% less, that would save $15.6 million in salary, and ~$94 million in total payroll cost. That $94 million could make the difference for the owners. And yes, in the strictest sense, it would be a sacrifice, but compared to being part of what could be among the greatest dynasties in all of sports, how much of a sacrifice is it really to be earning $30-plus million per year?
By contrast, trading (or waiving, or just not re-signing) just one of those players and replacing them with a FA at $15 million per year would save $20 - 33 million per year in total payroll cost, and $120 - $198 million in total payroll (possibly less, if it was enough to drop below the luxury tax top bracket, but in that case, the owners would probably be at least close to profitable again anyway).