TheCage4 wrote:As much as I want to believe he’ll accept and stay in Milwaukee, if only for the sake of having a semblance of superstar parity in the league, I just know it won’t be the case.
I predict Giannis will become the third superstar/franchise player to reject the supermax after Kawhi Leonard and Anthony Davis. The latter two were eligible and despite previous injury/durability issues decided to roll the dice passing on the sizable amount of guaranteed money (including being able to sign the extension one full season in advance) and forced trades. In Davis' case he landed in his desired destination in the Lakers with his bird rights. In Kawhi's case he was traded to Toronto but made most of that pit stop by winning a title and revealed the roadmap to make up that supermax money as a ufa by inking a 2+1 deal to gain early bird rights with your new team his being the Clippers and ink a 4 year max at 35% of the cap two seasons later (after accruing 10 seasons of nba experience) in a bigger/major market like LA with more endorsement income potential off the court.The supermax is not a big enough incentive to stop superstars from jumping from small market teams to bigger ones. We have seen two superstars in Kyrie Irving (force a trade from Cavs to Celtics) and Paul George (force a trade from Pacers to Thunder) despite likely being a season away from meeting the supermax criteria with their original teams.
We have only seen 4 guards who deserve the supermax sign it in Stephen Curry, James Harden, Russell Westbrook and Damian Lillard. We have seen one player in John Wall get overpaid by signing it. We saw one team in Charlotte let their franchise player in Kemba Walker walk for nothing by refusing to pay him the supermax despite his eligibility. We have seen two teams in the Chicago Bulls and Sacramento Kings trade away their franchise players in Jimmy Butler and Demarcus Cousins abruptly to avoid having to pay the supermax once their players became eligible. And we have seen one player in Russell Westbrook sign the supermax and request a trade from OKC to Houston exactly 1 year into his contract.