Nationals, A\'s, Pirates Have Best Odds At Landing No. 1 Pick In 2023

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Nationals, A\'s, Pirates Have Best Odds At Landing No. 1 Pick In 2023 

Post#1 » by RealGM Wiretap » Thu Oct 6, 2022 12:03 pm

With the regular season complete, the odds have been set for the top half of next year\'s Major League Baseball amateur draft.

The latest collective bargaining agreement introduced a lottery to determine the top six selections. The three teams with the worst winning percentage all have identical chances of landing the top picks.

The lottery only comes into play for the first round of the draft. Beginning in the second round, the order is determined in inverse order of the prior season\'s standings.

Below are the odds to land the first overall pick:

  1. Nationals (55-107): 16.5%
  2. Athletics (60-102): 16.5%
  3. Pirates (62-100, 61-101 in \'21): 16.5%
  4. Reds (62-100, 83-79 in \'21): 13.25%
  5. Royals (65-97): 10%
  6. Tigers (66-96): 7.5%
  7. Rangers (68-94, 60-102 in \'21): 5.5%
  8. Rockies (68-94, 74-87 in \'21): 3.9%
  9. Marlins (69-93): 2.7%
  10. Angels (73-89): 1.8%
  11. Diamondbacks (74-88, 52-110 in \'21): 1.4%
  12. Cubs (74-88, 71-91 in \'21): 1.1%
  13. Twins (78-84, 73-89 in \'21): 0.9%
  14. Red Sox (78-84, 92-70 in \'21): 0.76%
  15. White Sox (81-81, 93-69 in \'21): 0.62%
  16. Giants (81-81, 107-55 in \'21): 0.48%
  17. Orioles (83-79): 0.36%
  18. Brewers (86-76): 0.23%

Via Anthony Franco/MLB Trade Rumors

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