The Tennessee Titans hold a 46 percent chance of securing the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, according to The Athletic\'s NFL Simulator. The Las Vegas Raiders trail at 17 percent, while the New York Jets sit at 15 percent with six weeks remaining in the regular season.
The Athletic released its latest mock draft projecting the top 10 selections. Ohio State edge rusher Arvell Reese leads the class as the projected No. 1 pick to Tennessee.
The Titans would land the top selection for a second consecutive year if projections hold. Tennessee also held the 2025 No. 1 pick and selected Cam Ward.
Reese has split time between playing in the box and on the edge this season. The Athletic described him as the draft\'s best Micah Parsons clone, noting his limited data but incredible ceiling.
Auburn edge defender Keldric Faulk projects as the No. 2 pick to Las Vegas. The 6-foot-6, 270-pound prospect offers positional versatility from zero- to nine-technique.
Ohio State safety Caleb Downs ranks as The Athletic\'s top player pound-for-pound in the class. He could land with the Jets at No. 3 despite positional value concerns.
Alabama\'s Ty Simpson appears as the first quarterback selected at No. 6 to Arizona. The Athletic noted Simpson has been the class\'s best processor but cautioned this is his first season as a starter.
Indiana\'s Fernando Mendoza projects to Cleveland at No. 8. Both quarterbacks are viewed as high-floor passers who could play winning football immediately.
The Raiders, Saints and Jets all could pursue quarterbacks early. Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love, projected as the 2025 Heisman winner, rounds out the top 10 at No. 9 to Minnesota.
Projected Top 10 Picks in 2026 NFL Draft:
1. Tennessee Titans: Arvell Reese, EDGE, Ohio State
2. Las Vegas Raiders: Keldric Faulk, EDGE, Auburn
3. New York Jets: Caleb Downs, DB, Ohio State
4. New Orleans Saints: Reuben Bain Jr., EDGE, Miami
5. New York Giants: Spencer Fano, OT, Utah
6. Arizona Cardinals: Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama
7. Washington Commanders: Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
8. Cleveland Browns: Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana
9. Minnesota Vikings: Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame
10. Miami Dolphins: Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami