Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza has emerged as the projected No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, according to The Athletic\'s latest mock draft analysis.
Draft analyst projections place Mendoza with the Las Vegas Raiders at the top spot. The Athletic\'s evaluation highlighted his clutch performance against Ohio State as evidence of his readiness for professional football, though analysts noted continued room for growth in third-down situations and processing speed.
The 2026 draft class remains fluid as top quarterback prospects have yet to announce their intentions. Clemson cornerback Avieon Terrell and Texas linebacker Anthony Hill Jr. declared for the draft on Monday, but decision-makers are awaiting word from elite quarterback prospects.
Oregon\'s Dante Moore, age 20, is projected as the fourth overall pick to the Cleveland Browns. Alabama\'s Ty Simpson also remains a potential first-round selection, though analysts suggest both could return to school.
Ohio State linebacker Arvell Reese ranks second in projections to the Tennessee Titans, while safety Caleb Downs could make history as the highest-drafted safety ever at No. 3 to the New York Jets. Downs draws comparisons to former Kansas City Chiefs star Eric Berry for his versatility and football IQ.
The Athletic\'s analysis compared Mendoza\'s playing style to Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff, citing his leadership qualities and ability to perform under pressure. Scouts view his positive attitude as potentially transformative for struggling franchises.
With four weeks remaining in the NFL regular season, teams falling out of playoff contention are beginning their draft evaluations. The actual draft order will be determined by final standings in early 2026.
Projected Top 10 Picks
1. Las Vegas Raiders: Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana
2. Tennessee Titans: Arvell Reese, LB/edge, Ohio State
3. New York Jets: Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State
4. Cleveland Browns: Dante Moore, QB, Oregon
5. New York Giants: Spencer Fano, OT, Utah
6. Arizona Cardinals: Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
7. Washington Commanders: Keldric Faulk, edge, Auburn
8. New Orleans Saints: Reuben Bain Jr., edge, Miami
9. Los Angeles Rams (from Atlanta): Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami
10. Minnesota Vikings: Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame