The United States drew 1-1 to Honduras on Wednesday, which lowered their probability of qualifying for the 2018 World Cup to 69 percent from 77 percent.
Mexico has already clinched a berth, while Costa Rica has a 99.8 percent chance of qualifying.
The United States are still favored to finish third in CONCACAF with the easiest remaining schedule. Panama has a 40 percent chance of qualifying.
Via Paul Carr/ESPN