RealGM

Heat & Pels over

Bulls under

***Major emphasis on Heat over***

Kinda like Spurs over, Hornets under and OKC under as well, but not as confident.

Nets 54.5 under
Bucks 53.5 over
Lakers, Sixers, Jazz 51.5 under over over
Suns 50.5 over
Warriors 48.5 under
Heat, Mavs, Nuggets 47.5 under over under
Hawks, Celtics 46.5 under under
Clippers 44.5 over
Blazers 43.5 over
Pacers 42.5 under
Grizzlies, Knicks, Bulls 41.5 over, under, under
Pelicans 40.5 under
Charlotte 37.5 under
Raptors 36.5 under
Kings 35.5 under
Wolves, Wizards 33.5 under, over
Spurs 29.5 under
Cavs 26.5 under
Rockers, Pistons 25.5 under, under
Magic 23.5 over
Thunder 22.5 over


Best bet take the Pacers under.

Wiz over....cash money

Clips, Knicks, Spurs over

Sixers, Suns, Hornets under.

Warriors under, Thunder under.

Every year, Vegas underestimates the Jazz pretty badly.

Last year, the Jazz came in over by 10.5 games. This year, they'll be over by at least 6 or 7 games.

Catchall wrote:Every year, Vegas underestimates the Jazz pretty badly.

Last year, the Jazz came in over by 10.5 games. This year, they'll be over by at least 6 or 7 games.

I'm surprised the highest they have any WC team is 51.5 games. The Jazz had more wins than that with 10 fewer games. Suns had more wins than their total too with 10 fewer games.

CobraCommander wrote:Wiz over....cash money

Yeah, that was one that stood out a bit to me. I think if healthy and a little more progression from the young guys, along with Bryant back, they should beat that.

Raptors have hit the over every year since 2014 outside of last year when they were forced to play in Tampa.

Raptors are an easy over. We coming back strong this season mark my words.

Overs: Raptors, Jazz, Nuggets, Wolves, Pacers
Unders: Blazers, Celtics, Heat, Sixers

Sixers under
Heat over
Charlotte over
Pistons over
Spurs over

Spurs over without a doubt

CobraCommander wrote:Wiz over....cash money

This 100% bookies mistake

Each situation, health is going to be important, but I have no doubt that the lakers and the nets will be over.

bwgood77 wrote:

CobraCommander wrote:Wiz over....cash money

Yeah, that was one that stood out a bit to me. I think if healthy and a little more progression from the young guys, along with Bryant back, they should beat that.

If they can’t, Beal ain’t who we think he is...and I think they can easily

Need an Over?

Look among the very best teams. The book suggests only one team will win 65% of its games (BRK). But recent NBA history tells us that would be a huge anomaly. (maybe unprecedented?)

# of teams that won at least 65% of games:
2021: 6 teams
2020: 5 teams
2019: 4 teams
2018: 4 teams
2017: 3 teams
2016: 5 teams
2015: 6 teams
2014: 7 teams
2013: 7 teams
2012: 4 teams
2011: 7 teams

Warriors, Hornets, and Heat over.

Spurs and jazz over.
Jazz especially since they overperform in the regular season due to 3 point shooting.