RealGM

Per Fanduel as of 4/16/2025:

OKC +175
BOS +190
CLE +490
LAL +1500
GSW +1900
NYK +3100
LAC +3200
DEN +3900
MIN +5500
IND +7500
HOU +7500
MIL +16000
DET +42000
MEM +65000
ORL +100000
CHI +100000
DAL +100000
MIA +100000
ATL +100000

What are your biggest 'mispriced' lines?

For reference, I believe going into the 'yoffs, the biggest underdog to win it all was the 2011 Mavs at +2000 odds*. So, any team below GSW winning would become the longest odds winner.

* Used ChatGPT for quick research on this so it may be incorrect - please correct me if I'm wrong re 2011 Mavs.

Waiting for Tyler Durdens picks so I can fade

The odds I would most likely take:

1. Houston - I don't think they will win it, but i can't remember the last time a 2 seed was at +7500
2. Denver - They still have the same core that won in 2023. Their betting odds are simply 10x more favorable
3. Cleveland - I think the gap between Cleveland and Boston is a lot smaller that what is offered in the betting odds.

azcatz11 wrote:Waiting for Tyler Durdens picks so I can fade

That's your excuse?

bluejerseyjinx wrote:

azcatz11 wrote:Waiting for Tyler Durdens picks so I can fade

That's your excuse?

I will tail yours. Let’s see them

based on last night's game, Warriors odds are too favorable vs their performance

azcatz11 wrote:

bluejerseyjinx wrote:

azcatz11 wrote:Waiting for Tyler Durdens picks so I can fade

That's your excuse?

I will tail yours. Let’s see them

I haven't bet on basketball since 1983. However, I did place a bet last night that the Celtics would sweep the Magic to win the series. It pays more taking the sweep and I believe they will pull it off.

bluejerseyjinx wrote:

azcatz11 wrote:

bluejerseyjinx wrote:That's your excuse?

I will tail yours. Let’s see them

I haven't bet on basketball since 1983. However, I did place a bet last night that the Celtics would sweep the Magic to win the series. It pays more taking the sweep and I believe they will pull it off.

I was looking at that bet this morning….+130

Warriors, Nuggets, and Pacers odds are what I’d look at.

But ultimately my bets will only go to the Warriors and Celtics. Two teams I know can win a title.

Lakers and Warriors +1500/+1900

Feels like one of those teams is guaranteed to be in the WCF at least and then you can possibly hedge in some manner

ATL is going all the way, they're one of my favorite 'chises

People need to stop trying to make Yoff happen, it's beyond lame lol

It feels like we’re all trying our best to convince ourselves this will be interesting, and then OKC will go 16-1.

Bet 100 dollars will net you $1500? That is the easy money right there for Lakers

Put me down for the Mavericks. 100,000 to 1 baby.

Defense wins Championships - Nico Harrison

What's the case for the Lakers being so far ahead of the TWolves? Basically the same amount of talent on the roster overall. TWolves have a better overall net rating and have been playing better recently

Beethoven wrote:Bet 100 dollars will net you $1500? That is the easy money right there for Lakers

Or a sucker bet. Just be patient, put $1000 on the Thunder and forget about it until the Finals, when you can possibly hedge and win either way.


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Special_Puppy wrote:What's the case for the Lakers being so far ahead of the TWolves? Basically the same amount of talent on the roster overall. TWolves have a better overall net rating and have been playing better recently

Public is pounding on the Lakers line, so nothing about quality of teams.

The series odds show it’s closer between the two:

Wolves (+165) vs Lakers (-200)


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I wouldn't bet any of these. If someone forced me to bet or gave me a free $100 bet, I would put it all on OKC.