cupcakesnake wrote:Was just browsing the ESPN article. They've released the rest of it and Taurasi is there at 21, the highest ranking for a women's basketball player. I know you've been clear you're not using this list as a strong indicator of "in-sport greatness" but I'm not sure what to use this list for at all. Fame is a huge metric for a lot of ESPN stuff and certainly a list like this. No doubt Taurasi was the post famous pre-CC WNBA athlete. The same list puts Kobe in the top 10 (comfortably ahead of Duncan and Shaq). Like Kobe, Taurasi (who had to share the White Mamba nickname with Brian Scalabrine) has been an ESPN darling. I do kind of see her as the Kobe of the WNBA; an incredible player near the top of her sport, but also one who many fans/media rate a little higher than is reasonable based on actual performance. I don't want to drag Taurasi here though. I still have her in the GOAT debate, I'd just start her closer to 10 than 1 with my initial assumptions.
(Also lol at Dave Mcmenamin being chosen to write Steve Nash's little entry. Basically uses his one paragraph to hint that Kobe/Shaq deserved Nash's MVPs. So rude!)
Not sure where I'd have Parker. I think I'd start her over Taurasi, but a lot of that is a personal preference for defense + versatility vs. scoring. I think you're underrating Parker's scoring a little bit. Yes she did not become the Lebron of the WNBA like the media hyped her as (a lot of that had to do with her winning that dunk contest in high school), but she wasn't exactly an offensive slouch or an Andre Iguodala type. We're still talking about someone who's 22nd all-time in points per game, and 40th all-time in ts%. I think it becomes a bit of Kevin Garnett situation (sorry for all the NBA analogies... hopefully we wont need them someday!), where fans over-index so hard on Candace being not as a good a scorer as some other stars, and forget she was still a very good scorer, and on top of that is one of the very best all-time defense and versatility players. Also her scoring game... we're talking about a multiple time 30 points per 100 type of player, who did so on very good efficiency despite not being a 3-point shooter.
I'm curious how you'd compare someone like Parker to someone like Tamika Catchings?
We should maybe start a WNBA historical thread? Or could move this to the
WNBA Board Projects Thread as a warm up for an eventual Retro POY project?
Yeah absolutely no surprise that Taurasi is in their Top 25. I saw it as a given she'd top all other female basketball players on their list.
I will reiterate: While before their list was released I wouldn't have seen Sue Bird or Breanna Stewart as likely Top 25 candidates, I'm surprised that they aren't on the list at all. In the case of Bird, I don't actually disagree necessarily, but it's interesting because despite the fact that Bird was never an MVP level player, her stature within women's basketball to me feels absolutely massive. With Stewie, her not making the list while A'ja does is something I object to. I just think Stewie's done more to this point in her career.
Re: Kobe so high. Yup, this is where a list like this predictably gets focused on who the biggest icons are from a sport rather than how good the players actually were.
Re: Taurasi as Kobe of WNBA. To some degree yeah: She's seen as the ultimate killer-instinct scorer. Funny thing is: I don't actually think Taurasi's scoring is overrated, while Kobe's absolutely was. With Taurasi I consider her the GOAT WNBA scorer and the issue is just that she's really not that great at anything else. With Kobe we're just talking about a guy who managed to inherit the mantle from the GOAT NBA scorer (Jordan) while not putting up stats that were anything like Jordan except peak PPG.
Re: McMenamin. Thank you for that. Yes, F that dude and F ESPN for having a Laker guy do the write-up for Nash. I used to tsk-tsk at people who knocked ESPN, but they've become the slap-dash quick-score corporation that people worried they would become.
Re: Parker & Catchings. The two greatest UT grads! Well, I think the big thing I tend to look at is actual ability to impact the game to help their team win, and I see Catchings as someone with a major track record along those lines while Parker not so much.
I previously have posted a link to Across the Court's 3-year RAPM studies from 2006-2015. This is imperfect in general of course, but particularly so in this case because Catchings was a superstar before 2006 and Parker's Sparks won the 2016 title, but still, I think it's capturing quite a lot of each player's prime.
Here are the Top 10 performances by this metric between the two players:
1. Catchings 2011-13 +8.7
2. Catchings 2005-07 +7.4
3. Parker 2013-15 +6.7
4. Catchings 2006-08 +6.3
(tie) Catchings 2010-12 +6.3
6. Catchings 2009-11 +6.0
7. Catchings 2008-10 +5.8
8. Catchings 2013-15 +5.7
9. Catchings 2007-09 +5.5
10. Catchings 2014-16 +4.9
(tie) Parker 2007-09 +4.9
So yeah, by such a metric, it's really no contest.
By one of my pet stats - just raw +/- team leaders from season to season - here's the all-time leaderboard through 2023:
1. Tamika Catchings 10
2. Maya Moore 8
3. Elena Delle Donne 6
(tie) Sancho Lyttle 6
5. Yolanda Griffith 5
(tie) Lauren Jackson 5
(tie) Kara Lawson 5
(tie)Breanna Stewart 5
9. Sue Bird 4
(tie) Margo Dydek 4
(tie) Lisa Leslie 4
(tie) Candace Parker 4
(tie) Diana Taurasi 4
(tie) Penny Taylor 4
(tie) Alyssa Thomas 4
And for reference, the other player on ESPN's list not on this list:
A'ja Wilson 2
This is a super-simplistic metric not to be taken too seriously, but I think that basically no matter what +/- metrics you use, you'll tend to see Catchings & Moore at the top.
Here's where I'll also note that Moore has the WNBA record for most years in a row leading her team in +/- at 8, that in our records we have no man surpassing this (Dirk did it 8 times in a row), and the feather in the cap: Moore only played 8 seasons, which means she led every single team she was on in the WNBA in +/-.
Now, all of this information doesn't actually focus on the play. Why was it that Parker didn't show as strong of an impact signal as Catchings (or Moore)? This data can't explain the why.
I do think the big part of the disconnect between her stature among ESPN-types and her impact has to do with the volume scoring.
We see that as a rookie on the Sparks she's immediately given full offensive primacy, the team has a massive turnaround, and she wins the MVP as a rookie.
However, the team's offense sucked. The turnaround came from defense, and in the previous year, Lisa Leslie was out having a baby. Now Parker's a fine defender who I think can be said to be more versatile than Leslie, but I consider Leslie to be the superior defensive anchor, and I don't think there's generally much of a debate about that.
So then what Parker experienced as a rookie was pretty much the perfect situation to allow the hype machine surrounding her to get carried away. Looking like an amazing offensive player...but not really having massive impact, and having a correlation with defensive team success that happened to coincide with arguably the best defender in WNBA history to that point.
My feeling on Parker is that while in another role she was very capable of being a versatile "connector" type making heady plays, when the offense was based around her volume scoring, the results were not amazing. And in this, along with her hype, I'd say she's kinda like the WNBA's Wilt. Supposed to emerge as the best the league had ever seen, but fell short achieving that despite initial hype (MVP as rookie) seeming to indicate she was achieving it.
Re: similarities to Garnett. Understandable connection to make, but Garnett's a guy who shows impact that's more impressive than the box score while Parker doesn't. I think perhaps part of what's going on here is that we might think of Parker being comparable in height for a woman as Garnett is for a man, but a) with a gap in height that might be as high as 9 inches, this probably isn't so, and b) I would say Garnett was more quick-twitch for his size than Parker.
Now, none of this means Parker couldn't have been better offensively than Garnett, and frankly that's a specific comparison we could have, but if we're also seeing signs that alpha Parker didn't have the kind of offensive impact her box score implied, then it's not necessarily a surprise that Parker would fall short of being a women's KG.
Thinking in these terms I can't help but look over to Brittney Griner who I think is a physical standout in the women's game at least as much KG in the men's. But Griner's got some other things holding her back.