ImageImage

Fun with Stats!!!

Moderators: BigSlam, yosemiteben, fatlever, JDR720, Diop

Dancingpanda
Senior
Posts: 612
And1: 109
Joined: Jul 02, 2014
   

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#361 » by Dancingpanda » Sat Nov 21, 2015 3:12 am

EwingSweatsALot wrote:Random Stat of the day:

PJ is 8 from 20 from behind the arc when his shot results from anything else besides a pass from Kemba.

When Kemba passes him the ball and he shoots a 3 he is 0-12.


So he's perfect if someone else passes him the ball>?
User avatar
BlackOutBuzz
Hornets Forum Capologist
Posts: 7,795
And1: 3,004
Joined: Jan 22, 2012
Location: Burlington, NC
       

Re: RE: Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#362 » by BlackOutBuzz » Sat Nov 21, 2015 3:26 am

Dancingpanda wrote:
EwingSweatsALot wrote:Random Stat of the day:

PJ is 8 from 20 from behind the arc when his shot results from anything else besides a pass from Kemba.

When Kemba passes him the ball and he shoots a 3 he is 0-12.


So he's perfect if someone else passes him the ball>?

No, the Kemba attempts aren't included in the 20.

Still, 40%.

Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk
Hornets Picks by Year
2021: Bouknight, Jones, Thor, Lewis

Protection on future 1st* (to NYK); 2nds
2022: 1-18; CHA (31-55), TOR 2 (55-60)
2023: 1-16; BOS (GH)
2024: 1-14; BOS (GH)
2025: 1-14; CHA (31-55)
*Becomes two 2nds if unconveyed
User avatar
EwingSweatsALot
Veteran
Posts: 2,783
And1: 919
Joined: Jul 12, 2013
     

Re: RE: Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#363 » by EwingSweatsALot » Sat Nov 21, 2015 3:31 am

BlackOutBuzz wrote:
Dancingpanda wrote:
EwingSweatsALot wrote:Random Stat of the day:

PJ is 8 from 20 from behind the arc when his shot results from anything else besides a pass from Kemba.

When Kemba passes him the ball and he shoots a 3 he is 0-12.


So he's perfect if someone else passes him the ball>?

No, the Kemba attempts aren't included in the 20.

Still, 40%.

Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk


Nope.

8-32 total, 25%

8-20 off attempts not potentially assisted by Kemba, 40%

0-12 on attempts that is from a Kemba AO(assist opp.), 0%
User avatar
BlackOutBuzz
Hornets Forum Capologist
Posts: 7,795
And1: 3,004
Joined: Jan 22, 2012
Location: Burlington, NC
       

Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#364 » by BlackOutBuzz » Sat Nov 21, 2015 3:34 am

EwingSweatsALot wrote:
BlackOutBuzz wrote:
Dancingpanda wrote:
So he's perfect if someone else passes him the ball>?

No, the Kemba attempts aren't included in the 20.

Still, 40%.

Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk


Nope.

8-32 total, 25%

8-20 off attempts not potentially assisted by Kemba, 40%

0-12 on attempts that is from a Kemba AO(assist opp.), 0%

I meant 40% off those unassisted from Kemba, since the other poster thought it was 100%.

Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk
Hornets Picks by Year
2021: Bouknight, Jones, Thor, Lewis

Protection on future 1st* (to NYK); 2nds
2022: 1-18; CHA (31-55), TOR 2 (55-60)
2023: 1-16; BOS (GH)
2024: 1-14; BOS (GH)
2025: 1-14; CHA (31-55)
*Becomes two 2nds if unconveyed
User avatar
EwingSweatsALot
Veteran
Posts: 2,783
And1: 919
Joined: Jul 12, 2013
     

Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#365 » by EwingSweatsALot » Sat Nov 21, 2015 3:36 am

BlackOutBuzz wrote:
EwingSweatsALot wrote:
BlackOutBuzz wrote:No, the Kemba attempts aren't included in the 20.

Still, 40%.

Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk


Nope.

8-32 total, 25%

8-20 off attempts not potentially assisted by Kemba, 40%

0-12 on attempts that is from a Kemba AO(assist opp.), 0%

I meant 40% off those unassisted from Kemba, since the other poster thought it was 100%.

Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk


Ahh, makes sense. My bad on that.
User avatar
EwingSweatsALot
Veteran
Posts: 2,783
And1: 919
Joined: Jul 12, 2013
     

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#366 » by EwingSweatsALot » Sat Nov 21, 2015 4:00 am

Taking a look at our three leading assisters. Walker, Lin, Batum.

Looking at how well guys shoot off their passes vs. how well the same guys shoot every way else (isos or assist opps from other guys).

All per 100.

For Kemba, the team is 11.7 POINTS WORSE per 100. So when his pass results in a shot they are 11.7 points worse than when they shoot any way else. -15.9 on twos. The big issue is Al and Batum. They shoot 42.9% when Kemba passes them the ball from 2 point range and 53.7% every way else.

For Lin, the team is 2.4 POINTS BETTER per 100. +4.1 on 3s and -1.7 on 2s.

For Batum, the team is 7.8 POINTS WORSE per 100. -7.5 on 3s and -0.3 on 2s. The team only shoots 27.7% from three on his assist opportunities. Kemba and Marvin shoot the most threes off his passes and both shoot 10% worse than when he doesn't pass them the ball.

I have no idea what any of this means. Assists are good we won't ball movement. We want passes. We want passes into open shots.

It's weird that our guys aren't shooting well off of our best passers passes. It more than likely is the reason why our guys don't average a lot of assists. It's why the complaints of Kemba's assists have been low in some games.

I doubt we are bad passers and just take a lot of bad shots off of passes. That doesn't make any sense. I guess more than likely our best scorers are better from ISO (Kemba, Al, Batum, Lamb).

Just weird numbers. more than likely pointless this early.
Yit
Junior
Posts: 456
And1: 31
Joined: Nov 01, 2015
 

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#367 » by Yit » Sat Nov 21, 2015 7:52 am

Updating after Game 13

Contribution Points of Players Per Game
Player---G1---G2---G3---G4---G5---G6---G7---G8---G9---G10---G11---G12---G13
KW15 ---36--- 26---39----25---30--- 51---18--- 21---39-----26-----49----36-----34
JL7 ------33---28--- 26---38--- 20---31--- 38---46----15----15------28----27-----18
BR22 ----21---NA---NA---UR---UR---UR---UR---NA---NA----UR----NA-----NA-----9
NB5 ------19---30---38----33----23---23----28---38---50-----47-----10-----32----22
JL3 ------NA---42---33--- 37---32----10----40---35----28-----30-----36-----17----22
TD30 ----NA---NA---NA--UR---UR---UR---NA---NA---UR----NA-----NA----NA-----UR
AH9 -----NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA----NA-----NA----NA-----UR
MW2 ----25---33----30---19----38----21---21----21---27----21-------7-----28-----25
PJH19 ---10---10---19----24---12----14---25----16----20----UR-----NA-----NA----NA
MKG14--NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA-----NA-----NA----NA----NA
CZ40 ----24---18---20----20---31------9---33----30---NA----10------21------8-----NA
FK44 ----NA---23---UR---18---UR---UR---UR---UR---18----NA------12------24----28
TH50 ---NA---NA---NA---UR---UR---UR---NA---NA---NA----NA------NA----NA-----UR
AJ25 ----43---30---30----32----60----30---20---16----20-----49------29-----36----52
SH00 ----23---31---12----29-----6-----15----9-----9----11-----11------47----34----16

Not all players have gathered enough stats for a 10 Game average - but here are the figures for players that has reach the point where a 10-game average could be computed:
NB5 - 33 +/- 10
AJ25 - 33 +/- 14
KW15 - 31 +/- 10
JL7 - 29 +/- 10
MW2 - 26 +/- 6
SH00 - 15 +/- 9
JL3 - 32 +/- 9
CZ40 - 21 +/- 8
Stability is a myth perpetuated by the agents called homeostasis and status quo....
TTNN
Junior
Posts: 325
And1: 168
Joined: Aug 16, 2015
 

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#368 » by TTNN » Sat Nov 21, 2015 4:02 pm

EwingSweatsALot wrote:Taking a look at our three leading assisters. Walker, Lin, Batum.

Looking at how well guys shoot off their passes vs. how well the same guys shoot every way else (isos or assist opps from other guys).

All per 100.

For Kemba, the team is 11.7 POINTS WORSE per 100. So when his pass results in a shot they are 11.7 points worse than when they shoot any way else. -15.9 on twos. The big issue is Al and Batum. They shoot 42.9% when Kemba passes them the ball from 2 point range and 53.7% every way else.

For Lin, the team is 2.4 POINTS BETTER per 100. +4.1 on 3s and -1.7 on 2s.

For Batum, the team is 7.8 POINTS WORSE per 100. -7.5 on 3s and -0.3 on 2s. The team only shoots 27.7% from three on his assist opportunities. Kemba and Marvin shoot the most threes off his passes and both shoot 10% worse than when he doesn't pass them the ball.

I have no idea what any of this means. Assists are good we won't ball movement. We want passes. We want passes into open shots.

It's weird that our guys aren't shooting well off of our best passers passes. It more than likely is the reason why our guys don't average a lot of assists. It's why the complaints of Kemba's assists have been low in some games.

I doubt we are bad passers and just take a lot of bad shots off of passes. That doesn't make any sense. I guess more than likely our best scorers are better from ISO (Kemba, Al, Batum, Lamb).

Just weird numbers. more than likely pointless this early.


it is strange numbers, I'd assume passes from Batum should be good. Where did you get these numbers and I'm wondering how they aggregate the numbers from all the players to get that 100 possession. At least last season, Batum's teammates get higher FG% out of his pass, so I'm anticipate the same now.
User avatar
steady
Veteran
Posts: 2,638
And1: 1,351
Joined: Jul 13, 2015
 

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#369 » by steady » Sat Nov 21, 2015 4:44 pm

Mystical Apples wrote:I posted a little information over on Kemba's thread but I really started looking at the relative strengths of the first and second units. The good news is the second unit has been crushing it the last 6 games with a top 4 offensive rating and a top 3 defensive rating. Overall they are 2nd to San Antonio with a +14.8.

Obviously a small sample size with games against weak benches (Portland, Brooklyn), but also Chicago which has the third best net bench rating and 2 games against the Knicks who have an average bench.


Image


Great stuff. This will be interesting to watch going forward. Second unit was great in preseason. Seemed to stumble out of gate in regular season. It is good to see they may be regaining their footing.

Interesting to see that Bulls second unit is ranked highly. If I am remembering right didnt we crush their second unit in the first game we played them this year - aka the Jeremy Lamb has arrived party. The second Bulls game the second unit didn't fare as well but Clifford was experimenting with rotations and barely gave Batum any time with them and that probably played a part -- 23 seconds in first half and just over 2 minutes in second half if I am remembering right.
User avatar
steady
Veteran
Posts: 2,638
And1: 1,351
Joined: Jul 13, 2015
 

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#370 » by steady » Sat Nov 21, 2015 5:14 pm

Mystical Apples wrote:Finally, the +/- for the first/second units for every NBA team their last 6 games. For example, the Hornets starters are -3.2 and the second unit is +14.8 so their differential is 18. Keep in mind starters generally play starters and second units play against benches, so this isn't to say the bench is 18 points better than the starters. But relative to the other 29 teams the bench has had an over-sized contribution the last 6 games.

Good news for the starters: in 24 hours they get a crack at the historically bad 76ers starting unit. Time to get healthy.

Image


This is nice confirmation of something Clifford has said a couple of times recently - how the starters are good but the bench is what could really make a difference for team this year
Mystical Apples
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,393
And1: 1,349
Joined: Jul 06, 2015
 

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#371 » by Mystical Apples » Sat Nov 21, 2015 5:51 pm

The Bulls in general were garbage in the first game. The bench was around -27 but they got all of that back during the next game against Charlotte.

http://stats.nba.com/league/team/#!/advanced/?Season=2015-16&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&DateFrom=11%2F13%2F2015&DateTo=11%2F13%2F2015&StarterBench=Bench&sort=NET_RATING&dir=1
geometry
User avatar
EwingSweatsALot
Veteran
Posts: 2,783
And1: 919
Joined: Jul 12, 2013
     

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#372 » by EwingSweatsALot » Sat Nov 21, 2015 6:45 pm

TTNN wrote:
EwingSweatsALot wrote:Taking a look at our three leading assisters. Walker, Lin, Batum.

Looking at how well guys shoot off their passes vs. how well the same guys shoot every way else (isos or assist opps from other guys).

All per 100.

For Kemba, the team is 11.7 POINTS WORSE per 100. So when his pass results in a shot they are 11.7 points worse than when they shoot any way else. -15.9 on twos. The big issue is Al and Batum. They shoot 42.9% when Kemba passes them the ball from 2 point range and 53.7% every way else.

For Lin, the team is 2.4 POINTS BETTER per 100. +4.1 on 3s and -1.7 on 2s.

For Batum, the team is 7.8 POINTS WORSE per 100. -7.5 on 3s and -0.3 on 2s. The team only shoots 27.7% from three on his assist opportunities. Kemba and Marvin shoot the most threes off his passes and both shoot 10% worse than when he doesn't pass them the ball.

I have no idea what any of this means. Assists are good we won't ball movement. We want passes. We want passes into open shots.

It's weird that our guys aren't shooting well off of our best passers passes. It more than likely is the reason why our guys don't average a lot of assists. It's why the complaints of Kemba's assists have been low in some games.

I doubt we are bad passers and just take a lot of bad shots off of passes. That doesn't make any sense. I guess more than likely our best scorers are better from ISO (Kemba, Al, Batum, Lamb).

Just weird numbers. more than likely pointless this early.


it is strange numbers, I'd assume passes from Batum should be good. Where did you get these numbers and I'm wondering how they aggregate the numbers from all the players to get that 100 possession. At least last season, Batum's teammates get higher FG% out of his pass, so I'm anticipate the same now.


I got it from NBA.com. Each player has a pass dashboard. It tells you how many times they've passed to each player. How many times those players have shot it and from where.

So I just took the shots each player took and subtracted it from their totals.

Did 100 possessions/shots. So if they shot 30 2s and 20 3s then it would be 60 and 40. Subtracted what they would get off those shots from their passes from what they got from all there other shots.

I also did it for Steph Curry. His is around -12. Chris Paul's is actually +11 something. I'm not in front of my computer to know their exact numbers.
Sauce_Castillo
Junior
Posts: 341
And1: 41
Joined: Nov 09, 2015
   

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#373 » by Sauce_Castillo » Sat Nov 21, 2015 7:59 pm

Top 10 teams in point Differential this season, IMO most indicative stat at correlating with future success:
1. Warriors +14.5
2. Spurs +8.8
3. Celtics +7.2
4. Cavs +6.8
5. Suns +4.8
6. Heat +4.7
7. Thunder +4.6
8. Raptors +4
9. Hornets +3.4
10. Jazz + 2.7
User avatar
yosemiteben
Forum Mod - Hornets
Forum Mod - Hornets
Posts: 22,501
And1: 15,704
Joined: Mar 20, 2013
   

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#374 » by yosemiteben » Mon Nov 23, 2015 1:42 am

It has been a popular trend this offseason rolling into this season to criticize our team's bigs and interior defense. I decided to look up some team defensive stats to see how we are doing in that regard. All these stats are based on stats.nba.com.

The Hornets are in fact giving up a relatively high FG% within 6 feet - 59.7%, ranked 19th. That is actually misleadingly positive, because teams shoot 3.5% above their average percentage from that distance when they play us, which ranks 28th in the league. So that's the bad.

Now here is the good - the Hornets have the fewest % of attempted FGs within 6 feet in the league at 26.5%. So while we may be giving up a non-elite percentage and teams are shooting better than their averages against us from within 6 feet, we are the best in the league at limiting shots in the paint altogether.

Now given the choice between the two, I would prefer to have a higher % of attempted FGs within 6 feet and a lower FG% on those shots, but I don't think the data supports the conclusion that teams sense an advantage against our bigs and inordinately target our interior defense. In fact reality is quite the opposite, teams target our interior defense less than any other team in the league.

It will be interesting to see how these percentages hold out as the season progresses. I will note that if you go to the general team stats section and sort by FG% with 5 feet, it says we limit teams to 56.7% from that range, good for 13th overall. That makes me somewhat skeptical of the data altogether, given that it seems unlikely that we would have enough shots in the five to six foot range at a high enough percentage to account for a 3% difference in shots within 6 feet and shots within 5 feet.
Braggins
RealGM
Posts: 14,663
And1: 9,393
Joined: Jan 05, 2014

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#375 » by Braggins » Mon Nov 23, 2015 12:12 pm

That makes sense based on the eye test too. You can tell teams have a pretty easy time scoring on us when they get the ball in the paint, but it hasn't happened enough to really hurt us too bad. Seems like it might be some combination of our scheme and our perimeter defenders doing that good of a job that is keeping it from being a huge issue. I feel like it will really be tested as the season goes on and the good teams start to make more of an effort to attack our weak spots. I think at some point Hansbrough is going to have to get some burn if this becomes an issue and we don't add someone else via trade. Once Cody returns it might be enough to just limit Al's minutes late in games.

Interior defense might be our only major weaknesses. We get exploited on the boards at times but that might just be more of a situational thing based on matchups. I can't help but feel like none of this would really be a problem at all if MKG was healthy and we might have actually been an elite team in the East had he not gotten injured.

We should have a much better idea of how much potential there is for our interior defense to hurt us after the Sacramento game tonight. Cousins is as good of a test as any.
Yit
Junior
Posts: 456
And1: 31
Joined: Nov 01, 2015
 

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#376 » by Yit » Tue Nov 24, 2015 6:33 am

Updating after Game 14

Contribution Points of Players Per Game
Player---G1---G2---G3---G4---G5---G6---G7---G8---G9---G10---G11---G12---G13----G14
KW15 ---36--- 26---39----25---30--- 51---18--- 21---39-----26-----49----36-----34-----49
JL7 ------33---28--- 26---38--- 20---31--- 38---46----15----15------28----27-----18-----24
BR22 ----21---NA---NA---UR---UR---UR---UR---NA---NA----UR----NA-----NA-----9------NA
NB5 ------19---30---38----33----23---23----28---38---50-----47-----10-----32----22-----30
JL3 ------NA---42---33--- 37---32----10----40---35----28-----30-----36-----17----22-----25
TD30 ----NA---NA---NA--UR---UR---UR---NA---NA---UR----NA-----NA----NA-----UR-----NA
AH9 -----NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA----NA-----NA----NA-----UR----NA
MW2 ----25---33----30---19----38----21---21----21---27----21-------7-----28-----25------21
PJH19 ---10---10---19----24---12----14---25----16----20----UR-----NA-----NA----NA-----18
MKG14--NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA---NA-----NA-----NA----NA----NA------NA
CZ40 ----24---18---20----20---31------9---33----30---NA----10------21------8-----NA-----22
FK44 ----NA---23---UR---18---UR---UR---UR---UR---18----NA------12------24----28------22
TH50 ---NA---NA---NA---UR---UR---UR---NA---NA---NA----NA------NA----NA-----UR-----NA
AJ25 ----43---30---30----32----60----30---20---16----20-----49------29-----36----52------21
SH00 ----23---31---12----29-----6-----15----9-----9----11-----11------47----34----16------UR

Not all players have gathered enough stats for a 10 Game average - but here are the figures for players that has reach the point where a 10-game average could be computed:
NB5 - 33 +/- 10
AJ25 - 33 +/- 14
KW15 - 31 +/- 10
JL7 - 29 +/- 10
MW2 - 26 +/- 6
SH00 - 15 +/- 9
JL3 - 32 +/- 9
CZ40 - 21 +/- 8
PJH19 - 17 +/- 5
Stability is a myth perpetuated by the agents called homeostasis and status quo....
User avatar
yosemiteben
Forum Mod - Hornets
Forum Mod - Hornets
Posts: 22,501
And1: 15,704
Joined: Mar 20, 2013
   

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#377 » by yosemiteben » Tue Nov 24, 2015 2:36 pm

Two seasons before Steve Clifford comes to Charlotte: #30 both years in defensive efficiency, #30 and #28 in offensive efficiency, #25 and #28 in DRB%, #15 and #7 in TO ratio (yay, we didn't suck at something!)

First two season with Steve Clifford: #6 and #9 in defensive efficiency, #24 and #28 in offensive efficiency, #1 in DRB% both seasons, #1 in TO ratio both seasons

This season: #15 in defensive efficiency, #4 in offensive efficiency, #1 in DRB%, #1 in TO ratio

Steve Clifford ladies and gentlemen :clap:
User avatar
EwingSweatsALot
Veteran
Posts: 2,783
And1: 919
Joined: Jul 12, 2013
     

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#378 » by EwingSweatsALot » Tue Nov 24, 2015 7:41 pm

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/rpm/_/sort/RPM/

Real Plus Minus is out

Kemba 13th PG with 1.37
Lin 64th PG with -2.17

Batum 4th SG with 1.36
Lamb is 5th SG with 1.35

PJ is 28th SF with 0.55

Marv is 6th PF with 3.31
Hawes is 28th PF with 0.62
Zeller is 65th PF with -0.84

Al is 14th C with 2.23
Frank is 41st C with 0.20
User avatar
yosemiteben
Forum Mod - Hornets
Forum Mod - Hornets
Posts: 22,501
And1: 15,704
Joined: Mar 20, 2013
   

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#379 » by yosemiteben » Tue Nov 24, 2015 7:49 pm

EwingSweatsALot wrote:http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/rpm/_/sort/RPM/

Real Plus Minus is out

Our best defender based on DRPM is none other than Al Jefferson, who ranks 32nd overall. To be fair he's the 23rd ranked center.
User avatar
JDR720
Forum Mod - Hornets
Forum Mod - Hornets
Posts: 44,339
And1: 45,989
Joined: Jul 09, 2013
     

Re: Fun with Stats!!! 

Post#380 » by JDR720 » Tue Nov 24, 2015 7:57 pm

some players

kemba-13th PG. 3.05 ORPM, -1.68 DRPM
nic 4th SG 2.09 ORPM, -.74 DRPM
lamb 5th SG 3.20 ORPM -1.92 DRPM
al- 14th C -.04 ORPM 2.27 DRPM
marv 6th PF 1.08 PRPM 2.23 DRPM
hawes 28th PF -1.38 ORPM 2 DRPM
cody 65th PF -1.48 ORPM .64 DRPM
lin 64th PG -.46 ORPM -1.71 DRPm

only real problem i have it it favors frontcourt players a lot of DRPM, no way in hell should Al and Hawes have positive ratings there.

Return to Charlotte Hornets