ImageImage

Fool Me Twice: The Gordon Hayward Thread

Moderators: BigSlam, yosemiteben, fatlever, JDR720, Diop

Braggins
RealGM
Posts: 14,502
And1: 9,293
Joined: Jan 05, 2014

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#581 » by Braggins » Thu Nov 26, 2020 4:09 am

James Gatz wrote:
JDR720 wrote:I'd rather waive Batum than trade a first for Hayward in a S&T


Agreed.

Ugh, I unfortunately agree. What a crap situation.

Ive always though people were overestimating how much this situation allegedly favored us. You can say that Boston will be over the cap regardless and cant add another player, they won't want to lose Hayward for nothing, we have all the leverage blah blah blah, but at the end of the day, we are dealing with Danny Ainge, who is a weird spiteful creature who seems like hed rather self sabotage than get anything less than exactly what he wants and probably just doesn't give a **** about any of that. He knows it would also be terrible for us to stretch Batum and was smart enough to stall us out while all the other teams used all their cap space and all the decent players were signed already, so now we really have very few options other than to work with him and we have nothing else constructive to do with the cap space if this all falls through. Our front office will not want to back out now and look like failures, even though it would definitely be the right thing to do imo, and Ainge probably just doesn't care if he gets stuck with nothing.
SMTBSI
RealGM
Posts: 15,920
And1: 25,281
Joined: Jun 27, 2014
 

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#582 » by SMTBSI » Thu Nov 26, 2020 5:43 am

Braggins wrote:
James Gatz wrote:
JDR720 wrote:I'd rather waive Batum than trade a first for Hayward in a S&T

Agreed.

Ugh, I unfortunately agree. What a crap situation.

Ive always though people were overestimating how much this situation allegedly favored us. You can say that Boston will be over the cap regardless and cant add another player, they won't want to lose Hayward for nothing, we have all the leverage blah blah blah, but at the end of the day, we are dealing with Danny Ainge, who is a weird spiteful creature who seems like hed rather self sabotage than get anything less than exactly what he wants and probably just doesn't give a **** about any of that. He knows it would also be terrible for us to stretch Batum and was smart enough to stall us out while all the other teams used all their cap space and all the decent players were signed already, so now we really have very few options other than to work with him and we have nothing else constructive to do with the cap space if this all falls through. Our front office will not want to back out now and look like failures, even though it would definitely be the right thing to do imo, and Ainge probably just doesn't care if he gets stuck with nothing.

I just don't understand this. In a similar situation a year ago, admittedly after we poached Kemba from you, we still extended an olive branch and helped you try to recoup something with Rozier. All we asked was a 2nd swap that moved us up 9 slots. Now Rozier didn't really pan out, but that couldn't be known then. There's a precedent for our franchises basically being decent to one another.

Why is there now this assumption that Ainge is some slavering monster trying to wreak havoc on the league and willing to torpedo his own team just to do it? This narrative has taken on a life of its own that's bordering on the surreal.


I think we've probably agreed to a deal for a couple of 2nds for the TPE as a fallback, and now are just working through the long, slow process of trying to construct a 3-team trade and exhaust all other possibilities first. Batum trade -> Rozier trade -> fall back on the baseline Batum stretch and TPE for a couple 2nds.

The resolution is not obvious (to me anyway). It's not surprising to me this one is taking a while.
User avatar
BigSlam
Forum Mod - Hornets
Forum Mod - Hornets
Posts: 51,164
And1: 8,360
Joined: Jul 01, 2005

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#583 » by BigSlam » Thu Nov 26, 2020 12:26 pm

SMTBSI wrote:I just don't understand this. In a similar situation a year ago, admittedly after we poached Kemba from you, we still extended an olive branch and helped you try to recoup something with Rozier.

I agree.

Said the other day that I wondered if there was residual goodwill left over form Boston helping us out last year so could the hold up with the Hayward deal just be us being patient waiting for Boston to figure something out.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
B B M F 'ers
User avatar
MasterIchiro
RealGM
Posts: 21,388
And1: 6,845
Joined: Jan 18, 2013
Location: The Dirty Water
       

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#584 » by MasterIchiro » Thu Nov 26, 2020 1:41 pm

So wait, Celtics idea of the "original" baseline deal is we stretch Batum and give Boston full TPE for a couple picks in the mid-fifties? Because...Terry Rozier? Maybe Rozier wanted to come to the Hornets and the Celtics made it work for him and maybe we backed off making a final offer to Kemba and during the window period where his agent was waiting on our final call is when we swooped in to negotiate a truce for Rozier rather than get into a bidding war for Kemba.

I think there was no baseline Hayward deal. We stole Hayward from the Pacers and Knicks. He was never going back to Boston to be a 4th option. The Celtics were all set to collect Turner, McDermott and a first when MJ swooped in and called Hayward and Kupchak beat the Pacers offer, throwing a wrench in the outgoing salaries required to match Hayward's contract number coming in from our front office. That is when Ainge started asking for Warren and Oladipo.

When we suggested stretching Batum that is when Ainge engaged with Kupchak because Ainge didn't want to lose Hayward for nothing.

Kupchak is motivated to not stretch Batum.

Ainge is motivated to not lose Hayward for nothing.

Considering both GM's are motivated it shouldn't be taking so long. Ainge lacks credibility here due to his asking price for Hayward from the Pacers. It was desperate and unreasonable if true he demanded Turner + Warren as bids pushed up Hayward's outgoing salary.
It has been written...
GoBobs
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,947
And1: 1,926
Joined: Jul 13, 2009

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#585 » by GoBobs » Thu Nov 26, 2020 1:47 pm

Im fine stretching Batum. What do people think we might need that 10 mil for in the next three years that is going to put us over the top? Who is walking through that door as a free agent that we need that 10 mil for?

The Hayward trade isnt what i would have done becausd i am cheap. I think he will be a 25 pt per game scorer next year and be a solid asset by the trade deadline.

Most people here would probably like miles turned on his contract better but hayward is likely a lot better even for our center poor team.
User avatar
Liver_Pooty
RealGM
Posts: 40,767
And1: 16,749
Joined: Dec 29, 2008
Location: Asheville, NC
   

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#586 » by Liver_Pooty » Thu Nov 26, 2020 1:47 pm

We're not going to intentionally try to screw Boston over. At the end of the day its still a business where good relationships matter for future transactions.
Balllin wrote:Zion Williamson is 6-5, with a 6-10 wingspan. I see him as a slightly better Kenneth Faried.
DY_nasty
General Manager
Posts: 9,369
And1: 4,947
Joined: Apr 14, 2010

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#587 » by DY_nasty » Thu Nov 26, 2020 1:48 pm

this was the wrong free agency period to try something like this in. the market has dried up crazy fast and all these teams are pretty much set at this point. the only teams that could further facilitate this deal would be looking to capitalize on both the hornets and celtics desperation...
DY_nasty
General Manager
Posts: 9,369
And1: 4,947
Joined: Apr 14, 2010

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#588 » by DY_nasty » Thu Nov 26, 2020 1:52 pm

GoBobs wrote:Im fine stretching Batum. What do people think we might need that 10 mil for in the next three years that is going to put us over the top? Who is walking through that door as a free agent that we need that 10 mil for?

The Hayward trade isnt what i would have done becausd i am cheap. I think he will be a 25 pt per game scorer next year and be a solid asset by the trade deadline.

Most people here would probably like miles turned on his contract better but hayward is likely a lot better even for our center poor team.

We might need that for anything lol

better to have it and not need it, then need it and not have it

and he's scored more than 20 for a season once. empty cap space to absorb a contract for picks > overpaid guy with multiple years left on his deal every single time too...
User avatar
BigSlam
Forum Mod - Hornets
Forum Mod - Hornets
Posts: 51,164
And1: 8,360
Joined: Jul 01, 2005

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#589 » by BigSlam » Thu Nov 26, 2020 2:03 pm

DY_nasty wrote:better to have it and not need it, then need it and not have it

Couldn't you also say: "better to not have a unproductive player (Batum) and have a productive player (Hayward)?".
B B M F 'ers
DY_nasty
General Manager
Posts: 9,369
And1: 4,947
Joined: Apr 14, 2010

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#590 » by DY_nasty » Thu Nov 26, 2020 2:18 pm

BigSlam wrote:
DY_nasty wrote:better to have it and not need it, then need it and not have it

Couldn't you also say: "better to not have a unproductive player (Batum) and have a productive player (Hayward)?".

not when batum was on the last year of his contract and we're not even close to winning anytime soon or even having multiple core players to start developing a team around...

we dealt with batum being a bum for years while we were trying to make the playoffs - why drop him now to play marginally better and weaken our position in better free agent and draft classes? and its not like hayward can recruit either because he'd have done it in Utah if he could've.

if we wanted a guy of hayward's caliber or better on a long term deal, we could've traded using Batum's expiring contract straight up and possibly even got a draft pick out of a team too. at least okc got picks out of taking on horford. we're actively hamstringing ourselves for a worse player.

lost in all this is how in free agency teams with cap space leverage that to facilitate bigger trades in the league. nola found themselves a pick just for hanging around and being available. i already mentioned okc. its not always about signing people. its about being in the best position to take advantage of opportunities.
User avatar
Snidely FC
Head Coach
Posts: 6,340
And1: 3,621
Joined: Jan 19, 2011
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#591 » by Snidely FC » Thu Nov 26, 2020 2:22 pm

SMTBSI wrote:Why is there now this assumption that Ainge is some slavering monster trying to wreak havoc on the league and willing to torpedo his own team just to do it? This narrative has taken on a life of its own that's bordering on the surreal.

because any reasonable GM would have jumped at Indiana's Turner+McDermott S&T for Hayward instead he tried to extort Turner + Warren or Olidipo neither of which was ever going to happen and if he'd just been reasonable CHA & BOS wouldn't be in this mess

tangentially in CHA there is residual resentment here over Ainge announcing after the 2015 draft that he offered CHA 5 first rd draft picks for rights to pick #9 he seems to perennially claim such after the fact offers and that doesn't sit well with other fan bases
User avatar
MasterIchiro
RealGM
Posts: 21,388
And1: 6,845
Joined: Jan 18, 2013
Location: The Dirty Water
       

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#592 » by MasterIchiro » Thu Nov 26, 2020 3:04 pm

You would think the prospect of losing Hayward for nothing would speed up this process but NO!
It has been written...
User avatar
JMAC3
RealGM
Posts: 13,244
And1: 6,257
Joined: May 22, 2010
     

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#593 » by JMAC3 » Thu Nov 26, 2020 3:23 pm

Okay this is what I think happened step by step in the Hayward deal.

I think Boston tried to get him to opt out because they thought he would not get very good offers on the open market and were hoping he would sign back with them for the low low. 2/40 or something like that.

Once that didn't happen Ainge got lost thinking he still owned Hayward and he was treating it like he had all the leverage against teams like Indy and Atlanta. Atlanta quickly decided it was a waste of time and swooped and stole Galo from Miami, so that left Indy. Ainge lost his mind and started asking for two of their best players because they didn't have the open cap space. Reasonable to want something from Indy, but Indy did not see it as a player for player trade but rather a money transaction.

I don't think Hayward ever wanted to go NYK so that seems like they were there just there to drive up his asking price, enter Charlotte.

I think we approached Hayward assuming it would be easy to work out a sign a trade with Boston, but Danny still had Myles Turner and Oladipo on his brain so he asked the Hornets to include some combo of Rozier and a first/Bridges. We quickly became bored with that conversation and just announced the signing and said we would waive Batum to make it work while we tried to figure out a deal.

This made Ainge realize all along he did not have much leverage and started to hear the fans clamoring that he lost another player for nothing (Irving, Horford, Hayward). Now he has become more motivated to get the TPE because it is best case scenario and finally after days the Hornets and Celtics are working together to find a third team to unload Batum too.

Also think that our management team has basically told Boston that if you can help us find a way to not stretch Batum then we will make sure you get TPE. If we end up waiving Batum then no sign and trade.
Braggins
RealGM
Posts: 14,502
And1: 9,293
Joined: Jan 05, 2014

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#594 » by Braggins » Thu Nov 26, 2020 4:00 pm

I'm not even mad at Ainge. I'm annoyed with our front office for going into this situation with no plan other than hoping a hard ass like Ainge would help them make a deal.
User avatar
yosemiteben
Forum Mod - Hornets
Forum Mod - Hornets
Posts: 22,298
And1: 15,512
Joined: Mar 20, 2013
   

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#595 » by yosemiteben » Thu Nov 26, 2020 4:19 pm

Braggins wrote:I'm not even mad at Ainge. I'm annoyed with our front office for going into this situation with no plan other than hoping a hard ass like Ainge would help them make a deal.

I think their plan was that if it came to it, they'd stretch Batum. I don't think they'd make the commitment if they weren't ok with stretching him.
GoBobs
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,947
And1: 1,926
Joined: Jul 13, 2009

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#596 » by GoBobs » Thu Nov 26, 2020 4:29 pm

DY_nasty wrote:
GoBobs wrote:Im fine stretching Batum. What do people think we might need that 10 mil for in the next three years that is going to put us over the top? Who is walking through that door as a free agent that we need that 10 mil for?

The Hayward trade isnt what i would have done becausd i am cheap. I think he will be a 25 pt per game scorer next year and be a solid asset by the trade deadline.

Most people here would probably like miles turned on his contract better but hayward is likely a lot better even for our center poor team.

We might need that for anything lol

better to have it and not need it, then need it and not have it

and he's scored more than 20 for a season once. empty cap space to absorb a contract for picks > overpaid guy with multiple years left on his deal every single time too...


He scored 17 last year with walker, tatum and brown also taking up a bunch of shots. Hayward had a better true shooting percentage than all those guys and would easily have averaged over 20 with more shots.

I Hayward increase his value playing for us and we could then trade him for a pick that is better than taking on some dead weight contract
User avatar
James Gatz
Veteran
Posts: 2,727
And1: 693
Joined: Mar 12, 2012

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#597 » by James Gatz » Thu Nov 26, 2020 4:31 pm

GoBobs wrote:
DY_nasty wrote:
GoBobs wrote:Im fine stretching Batum. What do people think we might need that 10 mil for in the next three years that is going to put us over the top? Who is walking through that door as a free agent that we need that 10 mil for?

The Hayward trade isnt what i would have done becausd i am cheap. I think he will be a 25 pt per game scorer next year and be a solid asset by the trade deadline.

Most people here would probably like miles turned on his contract better but hayward is likely a lot better even for our center poor team.

We might need that for anything lol

better to have it and not need it, then need it and not have it

and he's scored more than 20 for a season once. empty cap space to absorb a contract for picks > overpaid guy with multiple years left on his deal every single time too...


He scored 17 last year with walker, tatum and brown also taking up a bunch of shots. Hayward had a better true shooting percentage than all those guys and would easily have averaged over 20 with more shots.

I Hayward increase his value playing for us and we could then trade him for a pick that is better than taking on some dead weight contract


I don't think it's really a good look to trade Hayward soon after signing his contract. If anything the earliest we'd move him is trade deadline 2021. I think it's more likely he plays out his whole contract here or gets traded/bought out in his final year.
DY_nasty
General Manager
Posts: 9,369
And1: 4,947
Joined: Apr 14, 2010

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#598 » by DY_nasty » Thu Nov 26, 2020 4:36 pm

GoBobs wrote:
DY_nasty wrote:
GoBobs wrote:Im fine stretching Batum. What do people think we might need that 10 mil for in the next three years that is going to put us over the top? Who is walking through that door as a free agent that we need that 10 mil for?

The Hayward trade isnt what i would have done becausd i am cheap. I think he will be a 25 pt per game scorer next year and be a solid asset by the trade deadline.

Most people here would probably like miles turned on his contract better but hayward is likely a lot better even for our center poor team.

We might need that for anything lol

better to have it and not need it, then need it and not have it

and he's scored more than 20 for a season once. empty cap space to absorb a contract for picks > overpaid guy with multiple years left on his deal every single time too...


He scored 17 last year with walker, tatum and brown also taking up a bunch of shots. Hayward had a better true shooting percentage than all those guys and would easily have averaged over 20 with more shots.

I Hayward increase his value playing for us and we could then trade him for a pick that is better than taking on some dead weight contract

what's the point of signing a guy and losing draft position just to give him away again?

that's a lot of wheel spinning no matter how you cut it. and yeah, i'd like to think that a guy who is playing 3 scorers back is efficient in the shots they make after the defense is gameplanning and loading up against others. but that same logic had chicago thinking that otto porter was about to have a breakout season when they acquired him :lol:

maybe he's just better suited to that role. or maybe he's just not able to keep up. either way, you don't pay money to figure that out when the best possible outcome still doesn't benefit you that much.

i'm just saying guys.... if you've got to do this amount of mental gymnastics to make a move sound reasonable then its bad. positivity doesn't make it better. and if we had a larger fanbase, that was pissed, then the FO wouldn't be so comfortable doing this kind of thing time and time again.
HornetsFan29
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,501
And1: 955
Joined: May 24, 2016
       

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#599 » by HornetsFan29 » Thu Nov 26, 2020 5:24 pm

Braggins wrote:I'm not even mad at Ainge. I'm annoyed with our front office for going into this situation with no plan other than hoping a hard ass like Ainge would help them make a deal.


Is it too late for us to say **** it and let Hayward go to the pacers? I mean i did'n really want his contract with his injury history and wish we would be patient and ride it one more year get a good draft pick in next draft and go for the playoffs next season.
SMTBSI
RealGM
Posts: 15,920
And1: 25,281
Joined: Jun 27, 2014
 

Re: Hayward to Charlotte 4yr/120 million 

Post#600 » by SMTBSI » Thu Nov 26, 2020 5:33 pm

Snidely FC wrote:
SMTBSI wrote:Why is there now this assumption that Ainge is some slavering monster trying to wreak havoc on the league and willing to torpedo his own team just to do it? This narrative has taken on a life of its own that's bordering on the surreal.

because any reasonable GM would have jumped at Indiana's Turner+McDermott S&T for Hayward instead he tried to extort Turner + Warren or Olidipo neither of which was ever going to happen and if he'd just been reasonable CHA & BOS wouldn't be in this mess
JMAC3 wrote:I think we approached Hayward assuming it would be easy to work out a sign a trade with Boston, but Danny still had Myles Turner and Oladipo on his brain so he asked the Hornets to include some combo of Rozier and a first/Bridges. We quickly became bored with that conversation and just announced the signing and said we would waive Batum to make it work while we tried to figure out a deal.

I have a very different take on what went down, even than most of my own fanbase. Over there, they're either teeing off on Ainge for being "greedy", or trying to convince themselves that we preferred Tristan Thompson over Myles Turner in the first place (lol).

In particular, I seriously doubt the timeline being suggested here, that Charlotte engaged us on a sign-and-trade, and only threatened to stretch Batum after we refused to be reasonable. Maybe you guys heard something we didn't, but we never heard a single peep that Charlotte was in the picture until the official 4/120 deal came down. Caught us completely by surprise.

Here's what I think happened, and yes, it's pure speculation, but I honestly think it fits the fact pattern.

1.) Our first preference was actually just to re-sign Hayward. We thought we'd offered him enough $ that the likelihood of a third team swooping in and making a godfather offer was pretty low. Atlanta moved on, New York's offer was never competitive. We didn't think you guys would actually go to the nuclear option and stretch Batum. So, we assigned a pretty low value to the probability of losing him for nothing - we figured, one way or the other, he was going to wind up either with us or Indy.

2.) We knew he had his heart set on Indy, and were willing to work with him to make that happen to an extent. But not to the extent of eating a clear loss. We viewed Hayward as clearly the best player in a Hayward for Turner+McDermott trade, and by enough of a margin that making that trade was a clear loss (I do personally think it makes us worse on-court, but I seem to value Hayward more than most - I think he's going to step it up this season with you). Since we were perfectly fine simply resigning Hayward, and viewed losing him for nothing as pretty unlikely, we asked for enough from Indy to make it a win, content with the fact that if they said no, we'd just keep him.

Where it all fell apart is obviously that you did make the godfather offer, essentially willing to commit $40 a year to Hayward's roster slot, after stretching Batum. But, I don't blame them for assigning a low probability to that outcome. I mean, we all acknowledge it is kind of crazy, right?

Anyway, the key points here are that:

1.) it was very much in our interest for no other teams to be involved. If we were trying to leverage Indy, having anyone else in the picture obliterates our leverage. We needed them to believe we were perfectly content keeping Hayward, and had the ability to do so.

2.) We were not motivated to facilitate a Hayward trade to any other destination. We really wanted to just keep him. We were only ever even engaging with Indy because that's where he wanted to go, and we thought that mutual interest gave us some leverage - was essentially our only opportunity to find an outcome superior to simply keeping him. There was no reason at all for us to be trying to find a third home for him, where that opportunity didn't exist.

In that light, Charlotte's only mechanism for acquiring Hayward was to go to the nuclear option and threaten the Batum stretch-waive. Once you declared your willingness to do that, okay, now we're in a new reality and have to try to figure out how to make the best of it for everyone, which is what's going on now.

Return to Charlotte Hornets