nate33 wrote:Studies have shown that teams are typically 8 points worse than normal when playing the 4th game in 5 nights. Home court advantage is also worth 3 points. So basically, the Knicks were spotted an 11 point advantage against Detroit and Washington.
The Sagarin ratings suggest that Detroit is 13 points better than New York under neutral conditions, so New York should have been a 2 point underdog that game.
Sagarin has Washington as a 7 points better than New York, so New York should have been favored that game by 4.
New York was coming off a back-to-back against Jersey (which usually hurts a team by about 3 points). Jersey is 3 points better than New York so New York should have been 6 point underdogs (I don't think home court advantage really applies in this case).
So basically, New York should have lost by 2 to Detroit. Winning was nice, but nothing to write home about.
New York should have won by 4 against Washington. That win was expected.
New York should have lost by 6 to Jersey. That was a quality win.
Um...no win is expected. Unless the odds are incredibly stacked against the other team, you can't expect a win.