Vae Victus wrote:kg01 wrote:JC28 wrote:
End of the day if LAL wants any sort of real value they will have to compensate Griffen, which probably means Kuzma and cash, possibly more first. Even then I don't think it's likely. Maybe LAL will be able to dump a contract in there.
That's what I'm confused about. If I were NOP, I'd want additional compensation. Maybe not Kuzma but maybe drop the protections on the pick(s) that are currently protected. Something like that.
Then, by extension, does ATL also get a lil' sumthin, sumthin?
If LAL gets strongarmed like that, then they'll renege, the deal falls apart, and Pelinka uses it as an easy excuse on how things fell apart. No matter what, Pelinka will get called a clown, but by this point, better to be called a clown than be confirmed a clown by going through with a deal that makes no sense at all for the Lakers (IE no max slot).
Griffin NEEDS this deal to be executed, cuz his future pick haul is insane. If NOP needs to beg ATL to be involved in a 3way or to ask em to be cool with Hunter unable to join the ATL Summer League team, they'll be the ones to cough up an asset to ATL for the trouble. Maybe ask LAL to toss in a future SRP to ATL where LAL would be more than happy to do that since a 7/30 deal means they get to keep Wagner, Bonga (Moon will be waived), and AD gets his trade kicker.
The stakes are too high for NOP to screw it up.
Cuz if this deal falls apart...
Now what?
But if New Orleans allows, for whatever reason, the date to be pushed back to July 30th, the stakes for them in this deal drastically decrease, because the value of the Lakers' offer drastically decreases. A Lakers team with three max players might not have the highest ceiling among their various cap options, but it'd undoubtedly have the highest floor. By giving the Lakers max room, the Pelicans would essentially be locking all those future Lakers picks into late teens through late twenties slots.
But a Lakers team with only two max players is an injury away from being in the lottery. I'd guarantee that Griffin took this into consideration when negotiating the deal. A handful of late first round picks aren't nearly as valuable as a player like Kuzma; there's a reason that Griffin took the picks, and it wasn't because he wanted to guarantee they'd be marginal. And a situational outcome that essentially guarantees they'd be marginal would be fairly easy for the Pelicans to walk away from, in my opinion.
I wouldn't be surprised to learn that New Orleans made the deal with Atlanta primarily because they wanted to lock in July 6th, and not simply because they found value in-and-of-itself in the trade with the Hawks.