sp6r=underrated wrote:Ballerhogger wrote:the last few games scored over 20 + 2 doubes hes fine. Its him just staying healthy hes 23 10 guy with being hurt most of the year
The advanced statistical portraits paint a picture of real decline. HE used to be HOF level plus/minus. The last two years he hasn't. The advanced box box score stats tell the same story. And I'm sure the far more sophisticated proprietary tools NBA teams have access to tell a similar story
If it was just injuries with 2018-20 level of play while on the court his value would be diminished but injuries and 2 years of good not great play is a much harder sell.
Davis looked like he put on too much muscle at the start of the season (although Bill Simmons can not confirm as he does not have a scale) and it effected his quickness and athleticism, which is what made him a great player. Also, he someone has Julius Randle beat as the guy who lost his jump shot the most. The challenge is, guys 6-10 and taller who are super athletic can never stay healthy.
AD is a power forward who can play center in small ball lineups. In some ways, Davis gaining muscle in an effort to stay healthy and play more C reminds me of Amare Stoudemire after his first season with the Knicks. He hurt his back in the playoffs against Boston, added 10-15 lbs of muscle in the offseason, but was never the same player again. Of course with Amare, in his 3rd season with the Knicks he had surgery on both knees and that was all she wrote. And while Davis has a history of always being hurt and missing time, he does not have a major injury on his resume.
If Davis can drop the weight, get back to his old, athletic self and regain his jump shot, even if he's a 50 game a season player, he's a very valuable piece, especially if he's healthy for the playoffs.